Harry Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Doing this as the other thread is nearing the 1,000 mark and the euro is still not out. Thus can start the euro convo here. If mods object feel free to delete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 00zgfsensemblep12048.gif Hammer time out that way! As mentioned in the other thread they have atleast stopped the bleeding here for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Skilling's RPM with 12" from north of ORD up to southeast WI near the lake and into northern IN/southwest MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 For my area, the NAM/GFS holding out is bothersome but I guess I'm feeling about as good as you can feel under those circumstances. Lots of uncertainty with amounts but wonder if IND might pull the trigger on a watch in the morning update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Skilling's RPM with 12" from north of ORD up to southeast WI near the lake and into northern IN/southwest MI. Holy cow! Near South Bend FTW. ~16" Edit: Lol, just noticed the subtitle. Might need to rent a Bobcat for Tuesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Nice little upper level jet coupling progged for Tuesday at 18z. Sitting in the left exit region of the strong upper jet coming around the base of the trof and right entrance region just to our northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 0z Euro looks a touch south of the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 Better looking 500mb UL track for those along the north side. Better QPF in here imby which is still not saying alot but am closer to the .25 line per the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Skilling's RPM is ridiculously dry for the QC and eastern Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Another bump north with the ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL...Congrats St.Louis...S/In...S.Oh.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Another bump north with the ECMWF. ?? Looks south to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 0z Euro looks a touch south of the 12z run. Another bump north with the ECMWF. Great consistency here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Another bump north with the ECMWF. You gonna post the text list? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 You gonna post the text list? On it's way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 ?? Looks south to me? I guess the QPF field is north, which is weird but whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STL Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 LOL...Congrats St.Louis...S/In...S.Oh.. That south?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 ?? Looks south to me? DTW actually gets precip this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 The NAM is showing almost none of the current snow in Iowa. That alone should discount it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Great consistency here. lol, always important to specify what is being talked about. Sometimes the qpf can go farther north without the track going farther north, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 4, 2013 Author Share Posted March 4, 2013 ?? Looks south to me? Follow the 500mb low track. It is further north of the 12z at 48hrs on 00z vs 60hrs on the 12z. I personally kinda have doubts about that sudden drop to the south the model has after 48hrs. Not impossible but it is unusual. Better QPF has also now made it's way out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 That doesn't look like it sucks....but who knows this one is giving me whiplash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DTW actually gets precip this run. First guess .03 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Skilling's RPM is ridiculously dry for the QC and eastern Iowa. Agreed. Band with 6"+ is narrower than other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 DTW actually gets precip this run. Yep, a whopping 0.04" (0.02" at DET). 0.19" for BTL. So the crazy uncle Ukie notwithstanding, all of the models are at least in agreement on a nice hit for MSP-ORD-TOL/FWA. I'm still liking the prospects for some more pocket change here (1-3"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 Yep, a whopping 0.04" (0.02" at DET). 0.19" for BTL. So the crazy uncle Ukie notwithstanding, all of the models are at least in agreement on a nice hit for MSP-ORD-TOL/FWA. I'm still liking the prospects for some more pocket change here (1-3"). All snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 All snow? No, mostly freezing drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 6km grid spacing WRF-ARW initialized with 02z RAP 4 hour forecast (model start time: 06z) and used 00z NAM for boundary conditions. Morrison MP scheme used as well. All snowfall totals are assuming a 10:1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 4, 2013 Share Posted March 4, 2013 No, mostly freezing drizzle. LOL, would not surprise me at all.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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