CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Still a stubborn southern track.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 hmmm...it is stubborn Thats kinda worrisome. I mean, we still get in on some good precip tho? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Thats kinda worrisome. I mean, we still get in on some good precip tho? Right on the northen edge in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Ian, you do know that is what you guys named it right? yeah.. totally stupid still. especially the part that it's more meaningful than 'saturn' plus pretty sure someone here mentioned it before who they attribute it to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Ugh, Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Right on the northen edge in DC Looking at SV maps, Dc does decent, I wouldnt want to be north of I 70 though on this run with the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 Right on the northen edge in DC Perilous. We need a weenie reason it's south. Can somebody make up something real quick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Well, that sucks. Can't get too excited until the euro is on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Thats kinda worrisome. I mean, we still get in on some good precip tho? .75 runs the potomac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Perilous. We need a weenie reason it's south. Can somebody make up something real quick... Initialization errors..... toss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Central VA is the jackpot. 1.75" ROA-RIC-Williamsburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 quick and dirty DCA - 0.85 IAD - 0.8 EZF -1.25 BWI - 0.7 CHO - 1.5 I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 .75 runs the potomac Is that farther south even than last night? Thought the 1" line was close to DC but I don't remember the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 dang it. ens mean will be north I'm sure. After seeing the gefs members was I almost certain the euro was going to be fully on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 slightly better.. at least it's not worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Snowquester. naming of storms, dumb The fact that multiple sources now have multiple names will allow this to get old fast, but I'll be looking forward to ending the 2 inch snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hokierulz98 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Euro showing a lot of consistency with the more southern track. I'm thinking Charlottesville over to Fredericksburg will be the bulleye before all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 3, 2013 Author Share Posted March 3, 2013 slightly better.. at least it's not worse Indeed. Hopefully the ensembles will still be north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Common Euro suppression bias. It's too far south on this run, and the consensus is still further north. Toss it. I wouldn't dismiss this solution....... you do know their track record, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Is that farther south even than last night? Thought the 1" line was close to DC but I don't remember the details. Almost exactly the same.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 yea, it's slightly better but awful close to last night...hmmm...I suppose worse things could have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 quick and dirty DCA - 0.85 IAD - 0.8 EZF -1.25 BWI - 0.7 CHO - 1.5 PHL - 0.25 I would be extremely content if that verified. After these last couple years all I'm craving is a standard 2-4" storm...anything else is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Oh lord Shouldn't we get to vote on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 So Euro still likes Richmond. Don't have access to details. But I'd assume there still a rain to snow scenario.. even with the higher precip totals for the Metro area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Cant toss the Euro. Still a viable solution I would guess. What does it do with the block? Does it move it due east by 48? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Ha, this is quite old and outdated (where did you get it from?). The fact that it references T216 is all you need to know (the ECMWF is run at T1279 now, I think). From a NWS office in KY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I don't buy it that far south. Look how it wraps the low back to the southwest at hr 84-90. It seems to do that quite a bit, but never really verifies to that extent. I can't rule it out, but I'm suspicious of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 I'm temped to toss it given it's almost THE only outlier, that's including other op's and 90% of ensembles. I'll wait for the HPC WPC model disco though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Shouldn't we get to vote on this? i will forever mock storm naming so whatever. but i'm still pretty sure the idea originated here. i saw it first from wxusaf... no doubt a lot of the cwg peeps read this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 slightly better.. at least it's not worse at least it is trending the right way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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