snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 0z GFS and Euro(going by Wundermap snow loop) both appear to generally agree on where the snowfall is. Not sure of amounts on the Euro since i don't have access to that but i have the 0z GFS snowfall below. 0z GGEM did move south some but is still the most north of the 3. Could be the last shot at a decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 1. runs out of gas when it gets to IN 2. trends north = warm air = rain modis oprandi this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 0z EURO is actually a brush job for Toronto, which is a significant jump north from its previous runs. If we could lose that lobe of energy rotating around the Atlantic gyre around D4, this would have a better chance at getting further north still. As it stands right now though, 0z EURO has probably maxed out the potential latitude gain with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I have a strange feeling this one might sneek in some snow for the DTX area..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 1. runs out of gas when it gets to IN 2. trends north = warm air = rain modis oprandi this year Pretty easy call for LAF...0.0". Final. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Pretty easy call for LAF...0.0". Final. Yep, just no chance of getting accumulating snow here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 LOL NAM says congrats DULUTH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 LOL NAM says congrats DULUTH Too amped and too far north ALL winter beyond 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Too amped and too far north ALL winter beyond 72 hours. LOL i know that its terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 big ole closed 500 lows dropping southeast out of southern canada and the n. plains rarely turn into anything decent for central OH. Usually warm air, dryslot, or a miss to the south. I'm more intrigued with the hopeful prospects of a warm up later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Too amped and too far north ALL winter beyond 72 hours. played right in to its fantasy land bias last storm to score the coupe here. should probably retire it. Man that last storm kicked my arse and it came right on the heels of another long tracker before it. This is the first time since tuesday night that I've really cared to look at what models are showing down the road. I like something john dee's map if I was to make a first call.. Looks like GFS is bouncing n/s... NAM is north along with the POS GEM.. Euro I have no clue, but by reading the afd from mke it sounds like its bouncing around also. John dee's map look like a fine starting point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Not seeing the usual Chicago suspects adding to the discussion tells me plenty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 0z GFS and Euro(going by Wundermap snow loop) both appear to generally agree on where the snowfall is. Not sure of amounts on the Euro since i don't have access to that but i have the 0z GFS snowfall below. 0z GGEM did move south some but is still the most north of the 3. Could be the last shot at a decent snow. for Ohio, the 12z ggem is about as best as you could ask for regarding this type of set up. Threading the needle with a primary to WV that transfers. Any stronger and warm air would be an issue, any weaker and precip amounts would suck. UK is an OTS slider that bombs for the fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Thinking this one will be a Cyclone to maybe LAF special and then weaken. At least the southern solutions are favored among the models right now. Forget the NAM until Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Watching with interest. Seems like there are some timing discrepancies among the models but they generally have it as a daytime event around here. Not crazy about that unless we could manage good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 1, 2013 Author Share Posted March 1, 2013 12z Euro looks like a similar track to the 0z run but also a touch stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Not in the best spot here, but certainly not DOA here yet. Models are violently changing run to run, so I am watching with slight interest for southern MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Sorry to ask this, but what does the Euro look like for Chicago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I have a strange feeling this one might sneek in some snow for the DTX area..... Another 1-4" for the books? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 At this point I'm not really sure why I'm comparing these two but you can see why the NAM is further north as it builds the ridge over the western Great Lakes. While the GFS shows very little ridging and allows the system to dive SE across IA and IL and as a result the GFS has more noticeable baroclinic zone across the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 18z NAM favors Cyclone up to DLL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 18z nam has tons of potential, but thn again it's the 18z NAM...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted March 2, 2013 Author Share Posted March 2, 2013 0z GFS snowfall - just a little more east please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 0z GFS snowfall - just a little more east please. Wow, a foot in southeast Indiana. Nice, beefy totals from a clipper type system. Noice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 0z GFS snowfall - just a little more east please. looks good for a lot of areas.Sent from my iPhone 5 using Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 0z gfs is really close to a decent hit for Hoosier and Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 4km NAM. Kind of reminds me of the 12/3/10 storm in a way. That one had a very sharp cutoff in amounts on the southwest edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 I believe it when I see it but this sure would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 0zGFS is stupid. Much like any GFS run, it overwhelms everything with a overblown northern stream. This is either a phase or nothing. Wouldn't be so sure. The trend this winter seems to focus on the northern stream as we get closer and closer to an event. Think of how many times we've been burned this winter because a partial phase trended more northern stream dominated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2013 Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 18z nam has tons of potential, but thn again it's the 18z NAM...!The Nam isn't worth the energy it takes to run it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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