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Vendor, Blog and TV Channel Forecasts Thread


earthlight

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DTs calls have been bad this year in my backyard.    if  the euro is right, DT will be wrong on this one too for most of NJ

 

 

DTs calls have been bad this year in my backyard.    if  the euro is right, DT will be wrong on this one too for most of NJ

 

 

DTs calls have been bad this year in my backyard.    if  the euro is right, DT will be wrong on this one too for most of NJ

Whatare Lee Goldberg's thoughts, he seems to be fairly good for these parts. I don't think this is our year for snow here. December rule: less than 4 in New Brunswick, below average snowfall for the winter. Seems on track for this year; it's finding all kinds of ways to not snow much this year.

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DT is being way too generous with those snowfall amounts.

He is off by at least 50% in my opinion another bust likely  for him but what else is new ?- soon to be called DBT. Sign up and pay for his 3 week forecast -LOL - but seriously the warmer air is arriving already with temps a few degrees above freezing today then tonight in the metro NYC dropping to a couple degrees of freezing tonight maybe a 2 -4 inch event if we are lucky in the immediate metro then a couple hours of mix then rain and the change back to snow possibilities rarely work out so roads should be mainly wet tomorrow morning once the salt trucks keep dumping on them - also DBT is not alone in the bust parade JB is leading the

parade with his 6 - 10 -Joe Cioffe is the smart one here lowering his totals

 

https://www.facebook.com/WxRisk/photos/a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717/812843285429598/?type=1&theater

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amazing how this has turned into a non event around the immediate metro and once again certain individuals are not seeing it and will bust bad if they don't open their eyes soon Joe Cioffi is doing the best work with this storm

Also the writing is on the wall regarding this winter - plenty of potential then under achievement

https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi

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amazing how this has turned into a non event around the immediate metro and once again certain individuals are not seeing it and will bust bad if they don't open their eyes soon Joe Cioffi is doing the best work with this storm

 

https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi

I don't know as to go so strongly to say non-event. Let's see how the temps respond as this thing begins and the first few hours into it. 

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amazing how this has turned into a non event and once again certain individuals are not seeing it and will bust bad if they don't open their eyes soon Joe Cioffi is doing the best work with this storm

https://www.facebook.com/meteorologistjoecioffi

Especially lately, I feel like all of these accumulation maps by everyone are basically just the latest model runs put onto a pretty map and delayed by 4 or 5 hours. Next series of model runs comes out and "might have to come out with a new map and adjust things based on new info".....new map, etc etc. Altogether, it's so much better to just check the model runs ourselves rather than look at a map based on the last series of model runs as newer ones are coming out which will reflect the updated "map calls" to be released in several hours
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I don't know as to go so strongly to say non-event. Let's see how the temps respond as this thing begins and the first few hours into it. 

well where i am in northern middlesex county NJ the temp is flirting with 40 I am wondering if we will go down to 30 tonight

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ok hot off the presses from mount holly for my area

 

595
WWUS41 KPHI 012042
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
342 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

..WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY

.LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
MOVE UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT AND ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA AND
NEW JERSEY ON MONDAY MORNING. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY
ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF LONG
ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND.

NJZ007>010-012-PAZ060>062-103-105-021000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0003.150202T0000Z-150202T1800Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE

342 PM EST SUN FEB 1 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR 2 TO 6 INCHES
OF SNOW.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A TENTH TO A
QUARTER INCH OF ICE.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO OUR REGION FROM THE WEST
THIS EVENING. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME STEADIER AND
HEAVIER OVERNIGHT AND IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION
IS FORECAST TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A WHILE ON MONDAY
MORNING AT MOST LOCATIONS BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO LIGHT SLEET
AND SNOW ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW SHOULD
COME TO AN END ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY. THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO HAVE A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE. SHARPLY
FALLING TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL REFREEZE ANY
STANDING WATER ON ROADS, WALKWAYS AND PARKING LOTS.

* WINDS...A LIGHT SOUTHEAST WIND IS EXPECTED TO TURN GRADUALLY TO
THE NORTHEAST THEN TO THE NORTHWEST DURING THE COURSE OF TONIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING. THE NORTHWEST WIND IS FORECAST TO INCREASE
TO 10 TO 20 MPH ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITY...LESS THAN A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...MAINLY RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S TO THE MIDDLE
30S, THEN FALLING INTO THE 20S ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW,
SLEET AND ICE ARE EXPECTED, MAKING TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.

 

  
 
 

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