famartin Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GFS, NAM, EC, GEM, NOGAPS, UKMET all show this potential. I'm tired so I won't get into details right now. But figured this thread needed to be started, it *could* be more productive than the Wednesday night system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 And cuz I'm TTN-centric I'll post a few QPF totals from the 0Z suite: 0Z NAM: 0.18" 0Z GFS: 0.22" 0Z EC: 0.18" 0Z NOGAPS: ~0.15" 0Z GEM: ~0.11" Some have BL issues, some are cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 is it a surprise when it's been modeled on the Euro off and on for a few days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 is it a surprise when it's been modeled on the Euro off and on for a few days? Well, BL has been an issue on the EC. Fine then, got a better name? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Well, BL has been an issue on the EC. Fine then, got a better name? PD 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 PD 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hey guys I'm at work and my boss said there is a chance of snow again now Friday night? Anyone have QPF for abe? (PennDOT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 06 GFS has 4-6" for the southern half of area - 2-4 for north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hey guys I'm at work and my boss said there is a chance of snow again now Friday night? Anyone have QPF for abe? (PennDOT) ABE - 00 GFS has <0.1, 06GFS - 0.17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 ABE - 00 GFS has <0.1, 06GFS - 0.17 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B Dawk 20 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 ABE - 00 GFS has <0.1, 06GFS - 0.17 I know it's not an official number, but from my rough calculations looks like somewhere around .25-.3 on the 06GFS for lower Montco? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Could be some nice fluff. Sounding also indicate some TT's near 50. Any thoughts ray? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM trending slightly stronger with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The 12z NAM came in less amplified but the vort looks stronger in some ways. I like where we are going with this as the previous run had p-type issues east of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 Could be some nice fluff. Sounding also indicate some TT's near 50. Any thoughts ray? agree, if the BL is cold enough this one looks fluffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm somewhat impressed that they were showing this yesterday on TWC, saying that this could be an interesting little "surprise" for the DC - NYC corridor late Friday night into early Saturday. The fact that they have started showing model output for upcoming storm threats, including the Euro, is nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The "Friday night surprise" extends into Saturday and Sunday on the NAM. It seems to be more or less a advection boundary rather than a cohesive system and it does produce quite decently in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 NAM disorganized as it slowly consolidates system offshore. Would like to see a more focused sytem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 9z Sref's bring about .25-.5" into the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I'm somewhat impressed that they were showing this yesterday on TWC, saying that this could be an interesting little "surprise" for the DC - NYC corridor late Friday night into early Saturday. The fact that they have started showing model output for upcoming storm threats, including the Euro, is nice to see. Yeah believe it or not they are getting much better when we have snow threats on the east coast. They are constantly bringing in their winter weather experts to go into more detail and talk about the different models and scenarios, etc unlike the past couple of years. So kudos to them for going back to their roots a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Yeah believe it or not they are getting much better when we have snow threats on the east coast. They are constantly bringing in their winter weather experts to go into more detail and talk about the different models and scenarios, etc unlike the past couple of years. So kudos to them for going back to their roots a bit. I don't think TWC has ever been this nice to weather enthusiasts and they never used model data until recently. They've gone back to their roots and more IMO. They seem to know what to cover and how to track it. There is usually more widespread live coverage during weather events. They are just responding to a more weather aware population. Social networking and the internet has allowed everyone to track the weather in a more efficient way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Gfs looks great so far through 54. Mod snow Plenty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Hr 60 mod to heavy snow up and down 95. Great hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That is phenomenal! The best model run i've seen this winter for down here, H5 jet aligns perfectly with moisture flux off the Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Coastal developing on GFS closer to shore. edit: If all snow 6-12" for most of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 SV maps 4-8 for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 SV maps 4-8 for the area. Does it have an axis of highest frzn ppt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Does it have an axis of highest frzn ppt? Newark-Phl-ewr-NYC then to the coast. Delmarva is 4-8 also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 There is a 1.00+ QPF maximum over SNJ, wow......this run has to be too wet. If this verifies I will run down the street naked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 There is a 1.00+ QPF maximum over SNJ, wow......this run has to be too wet. If this verifies I will run down the street naked. well good thing you don't have to do that because half of that is non snow. Map i have shows around 3 or so for you. Which is solid to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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