Kaner587 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I wouldn't get carried away, it's still at the tail end of the NAM's good range and based on what it looks like at hr 48 at 500mb I wouldn't worry too much. I agree..and we saw a discrepancy with the two before the blizzard too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 http://www.ecmwf.int/samples/d/inspect/catalog/samplers/banner/mean_sea_level_pressure_and_24h_cumulated_precipitations!60!North%20America!msl!pop!od!oper!w_mslrain!2013021112!!/ The 12Z EURO precipitation for 12hrs. prior to Thurs., 7AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS is running. Out to Hour 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The Euro ensemble mean track looks like it would be around .35 NYC area as the track is a hair north of the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Sub 1008 mb in eastern TN at hour 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Upton I think is the most accurate and advanced nws offices at least in the region. "advanced?" yeah.... could be. i heard mt. holly doesn't even have electricity yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The differences between the NAM and GFS at 500mb remain very large. Especially late in day 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Gfs is going to be a good run. Hr 51 light qpf to ewr. Low over central va. 850s cold, surface warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Wow hr 57 further north. Heavy snow city. Se jersey rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Hr 60 wet paste bomb. Heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Mod snow hr 63. This might be 4-8 6-12 of wet snow on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 18z GFS is still going to be a nice hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The Euro ensemble mean track looks like it would be around .35 NYC area as the track is a hair north of the OP. this looks like a quick 4-6 inch snowfall between wed night and thurs morning. Even DT agrees that a general 4-6 inch snowfall is possible in his latest facebook post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 SV snow maps 4-8 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Awesome looking run at first glance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Lovin the trends at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Wow hr 57 further north. Heavy snow city. Se jersey rain. se Jersey way out of our area Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 se Jersey way out of our area Rossi Okay thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS is back to being the wettest model, 0.50"-0.75" area wide. Slighty more south and east. Verbatim probably very close to Uptons forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS joined the 6-10" grouping...Very impressive hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 GFS trended a tick more amplified, beautiful trend for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The best i have seen the GfS look yet for this storm! Looks like a longer duration storm than the NaM is portraying and gets heavier precip further north west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 A possible analog I mentioned in the central PA thread is 12/5/02. Was a quick hitter but a good moderate-some places significant event. I think this can be similar-and there could/should be some enhancement as this rides NE along the coast and collects more moisture. But it will be a fast mover so no prolific amounts. I think the max potential would be 9-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Okay thanks More work for you - hope you can keep up with it. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 You Sufflok county guys w 30 inches of snow on your roof , with a half inch of rain in it today , better clear you`re roofs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 A possible analog I mentioned in the central PA thread is 12/5/02. Was a quick hitter but a good moderate-some places significant event. I think this can be similar-and there could/should be some enhancement as this rides NE along the coast and collects more moisture. But it will be a fast mover so no prolific amounts. I think the max potential would be 9-10". A possible analog I mentioned in the central PA thread is 12/5/02. Was a quick hitter but a good moderate-some places significant event. I think this can be similar-and there could/should be some enhancement as this rides NE along the coast and collects more moisture. But it will be a fast mover so no prolific amounts. I think the max potential would be 9-10". yeah, to have two 9-10" events in ONE WEEK around here, is pretty awesome...when was the last time that happened? Feb 1994? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Looks like a decent amount falls wednesday evening, wonder if we see this trend a little quicker, seems to be happening a decent amount lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 You Sufflok county guys w 30 inches of snow on your roof , with a half inch of rain in it today , better clear you`re roofs . Not to clog this thread, but this is no joke. My departments had two residential collapses so far. Thankfully no injuries but the next 7 days only look to worsen things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 What about temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 The non weenies (the general public) are not going to like dealing with a heavy wet snow just after they've dealt with this one. Central NJ looks like a good spot right now honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.