LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Since its apparent that many of the more eccentric pro mets are going for some seriously silly and extreme solutions to make their fans foam at the mouth or jump out the window lets not clog the regular thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Since its apparent that many of the more eccentric pro mets are going for some seriously silly and extreme solutions to make their fans foam at the mouth or jump out the window lets not clog the regular thread. Well you can blame the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Well you can blame the Euro. Yeah its insane. Of course we all want that but safe bet out this far is to find the middle road. Then again sandy and 12/10, 2 of my favorite events ever were handled oh so well by king euro. I created this thread because its inevitable the mods (i guess they aren't up yet) will rip the main thread to pieces! (and rightfully so) When you have one pro met going for epic boxing level blizzard and another going for no accums... Its a troll paradise as evident in whats soon to be surely removed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Yeah its insane. Of course we all want that but safe bet out this far is to find the middle road. Then again sandy and 12/10, 2 of my favorite events ever were handled oh so well by king euro. I created this thread because its inevitable the mods (i guess they aren't up yet) will rip the main thread to pieces! (and rightfully so) When you have one pro met going for epic boxing level blizzard and another going for no accums... Its a troll paradise as evident in whats soon to be surely removed. I get it, but the Euro parade seems to be gaining floats so to say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Can anyone message Snow88 with the RPM model snow map? I bet $20 that he will print it out and show it to his CVS store employees via hanging it up on the window. I am only 3 blocks away from his store, so that I could always check if he has done so if need be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Can anyone message Snow88 with the RPM model snow map? I bet $20 that he will print it out and show it to his CVS store employees via hanging it up on the window. I am only 3 blocks away from his store, so that I could always check if he has done so if need be. I put it on FB saying how ridiculous it was and people said its "overdue" and NYC hasn't seen a storm like that in a long time. Hype works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I am still believing what Alan Kasper is forecasting - he has no hidden agendas - his forecast is a mix to start changing to rain except far northwest NJ where there will be an accumulating snow - no mention of a change back to snow later rest of NJ and no mention of any accumulations outside of northwest NJ .......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I am still believing what Alan Kasper is forecasting - he has no hidden agendas - his forecast is a mix to start changing to rain except far northwest NJ where there will be an accumulating snow - no mention of a change back to snow later rest of NJ and no mention of any accumulations outside of northwest NJ .......... The GFS even shows a change to decent snow, must be riding the canadian train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The GFS even shows a change to decent snow, must be riding the canadian train. I just think that the 1038 or whatever high in eastern canada is not strong in enough to lock in in this pattern with a lack of strong enough blocking - so the warm layers will win out - plus the mainly rain scenerio makes sense in this winter where it just does not want to snow significantly here and when it does it has limited moisture to work with............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I just think that the 1038 or whatever high in eastern canada is not strong in enough to lock in in this pattern with a lack of strong enough blocking - so the warm layers will win out - plus the mainly rain scenerio makes sense in this winter where it just does not want to snow significantly here and when it does it has limited moisture to work with............. !038 is pretty strong, and where is it going to get that warm from(and not overcomeable) with relatively cool waters and a bombing low at the BM? GFS solution is completely viable and likely, I just don't see how at least a 3-5" snowfall area wide doesn't occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 All is right with the world, ace has given up the optimism act. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Alan is now even mentioning it going to a mix in far northwest NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Can anyone message Snow88 with the RPM model snow map? I bet $20 that he will print it out and show it to his CVS store employees via hanging it up on the window. I am only 3 blocks away from his store, so that I could always check if he has done so if need be. LOL. Maybe I should do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 12Z nam QPF map is actually physically sickening lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Its a hard kick in the nuts if the nam was to be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 this is happening because i uploaded boxing day pictures to the gallery yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Its a hard kick in the nuts if the nam was to be correct. The question is: Would you take a kick in the nuts for the euro to verify? I've thought about this already and the answer is yes, provided the kicker is at most 9 years old and doesn't participate in soccer and/or martial arts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Sandy's little brother with snow...east coast of Mass is in for a ass kicking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 some of the analysis in the main thread of this storm is very interesting to say the least - some folks throwing all types of high snowfall numbers around for NYC and the rest of the area - going to be more interesting when everything starts going wrong again for most of the metro.............IMO time to start listening to the experienced METS in the region - still going with Alan Kaspers mainly liquid for NJ except Northwest http://nj1015.com/weather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The question is: Would you take a kick in the nuts for the euro to verify? I've thought about this already and the answer is yes, provided the kicker is at most 9 years old and doesn't participate in soccer and/or martial arts.of course, the fact that the gfs and even the nam to a point have trended towards a euro solution, make me stand in the middle of this right now. I would throw a 70% chance nyc gets 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 describing what a model shows without posting images should be against the rules Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 describing what a model shows without posting images should be against the rules hey forky is that a pic of you ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 JB in favor of the EURO solution - someone is going to set a record bust for NYC metro and NJ guaranteed - will it be JB or AK ? http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/299152765597409282/photo/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 JB in favor of the EURO solution - someone is going to set a record bust for NYC metro and NJ guaranteed - will it be JB or AK ? http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/299152765597409282/photo/1 Is that AK old forecast? I don't see how he could be right given that every model is giving us some snow, several show significant snows, if the Euro holds serve than he better start changing his tone or he will look like a fool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Walt Drag chimes in about the storm http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2013/02/snow_in_fridays_forecast_-_but.html#incart_m-rpt-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Its a good thing the indices dont line up enough for this to be a big coastal low, or it could have been an epic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Mt holly going for 8+ in new briefing package. Heavy snow to impact Friday pm rush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Its a good thing the indices dont line up enough for this to be a big coastal low, or it could have been an epic storm. I'm going to wait for the 00z run Saturday night of euro before I believe it. Nam is 100 inches for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Dt saying gfs is too warm and yelling why anyone is using the gfs over euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Mt holly going for 8+ in new briefing package. Heavy snow to impact Friday pm rush. next time would be appreciated if you post a link http://www.erh.noaa.gov/phi/briefing/packages/current_briefing.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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