Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 After 24 hours of pain, 24 hours of tossing everything but the JMA and UKMET, in a time when the NoGaps is more amplified then the oz nam and GFS we embark on a journey to bring this home, to bring snow back to where it belongs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 untoss the toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 my brain hurts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 6z nam much better, great start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 6z gfs cleaner and the phase is a little earlier. Another improvement by 12z and by 18 and 0z tonight sne will be very happy. Un-Toss the toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 How did the Nogaps look Giuseppe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 How did the Nogaps look Giuseppe? Not sure Reverend but the 12z gfs looks a heck of a lot better! ju ju, ns looks stout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 12z another step in the right direction, as I said earlier by 18 then 0z I think sne snow weenies will be happy, even if its 1-3 2-4 or 3-6 we should be thankful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 1-3 north of pike 2-4 south coast 3-6 cape and islands Plenty of time to ramp up, good fluff factor decent lift and warm air advection is the reason for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 NAM nw coming in line with other guidance just not there yet but now has measurable over sne, even the nam would be a 1-2 inch fluffernutter. Everything on track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I think 12z GFS and EURO set the baseline track. Now let's see if we can make small improvements NW over the next 12-24 hours. I think that is the window. A Nantucket jackpot still looks on track to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 6z gfs cleaner and the phase is a little earlier. Another improvement by 12z and by 18 and 0z tonight sne will be very happy. Un-Toss the toss Yes sir! Sight for snowless eyes that run was........might have to tick upwards Hold steady for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 lol Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Blizzard option is still on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Blizzard option is still on the table. it is? How so? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 can we pin this and lock the other one for 0z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 TWC still saying 3-6 fwiw Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 can we pin this and lock the other one for 0z?. No don't pin bad luck this year, just lock the other. Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 it is? How so? Lol, it's a joke/reference to a couple of storms ago when Tim Kelley was theorizing a blizzard several days out on twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Lol, it's a joke/reference to a couple of storms ago when Tim Kelley was theorizing a blizzard several days out on twitter. OK Had a feeling that was what you were referring to just wanted to make sure that I wasn't missing something -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 ugh maybe luck will change this time . No don't pin bad luck this year, just lock the other. Using IPad or IPhone or BB so my grammar may suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
17iceman Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 all of these swings are getting anxious for spring training.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 24, 2013 Author Share Posted January 24, 2013 Well, luck was not on our side during this cold outbreak, wish we had some blocking around and things might have been different, nws says less than an inch down here now, I am just hoping to see a period of light snow that lasts more than a few minutes. It will be a real shame to come away from this stretch with absolutely nothing but the same crappy brown landscape that we had entering it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Well, luck was not on our side during this cold outbreak, wish we had some blocking around and things might have been different, nws says less than an inch down here now, I am just hoping to see a period of light snow that lasts more than a few minutes. It will be a real shame to come away from this stretch with absolutely nothing but the same crappy brown landscape that we had entering it. Yeah if it's going to be cold at least put some snow on the ground. No more than 3" though b/c I'm not a snow junkie. We were never really progged to get much anyways. Couple weenie runs made people interested but most runs have put us in the back row to get any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Yeah if it's going to be cold at least put some snow on the ground. No more than 3" though b/c I'm not a snow junkie. We were never really progged to get much anyways. Couple weenie runs made people interested but most runs have put us in the back row to get any snow. What good is less than 3"? It just blows and sublimates away. Obviously any snow is good snow, especially over the past 2 years, but the more the better. Learn to love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 Purely for commiseration's sake: This hardly counts as a "snow pack" out there along R2 in Mass. There are bare regions, and what is white is this popcorn, granular stuff with a mix of powdered sugar on top. Mostly, it's just cold, dry, barren, boring, eventless ennui. The pattern is pulling off the abject. We've been dusted by so many chances, and even transpire through a week of arctic chill, only to have the entire mass field flip around to mid April by this time next week, then ... 2 days later, slips back into the arctic chill, and we don't see more than .2" in QPF during that entire 10 days of b-banging. The shear odds of that much INactivity, particularly for that much mass transitioning, is nothing shy of astounding to overcome - yet, this seems so utterly easy right now. Ah well - that's why you can't care about the weather. You can be interested in it, but don't let yourself care, because the weather is a horrifyingly abusive spouse, period! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 What good is less than 3"? It just blows and sublimates away. Obviously any snow is good snow, especially over the past 2 years, but the more the better. Learn to love it. Yeah well I don't mind one or two big snowstorms but I really just hate the cold and I get tired of the snow fast. I'm looking forward to this torch at the end of the month preceding a monster low barreling through northern Great Lakes/Ontario/Quebec. End of the month is looking messy according to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 I guess we can use this thread to continue a "discussion" on this itsy bitsy event. I think it's a generally inch or less for most areas. Interior Mass. may see little to no snow. Could see isolated 2" reports, mainly along and SE of BDR-GON-PVD-TAN. MAYBE 3" on the Outer Cape and Islands is my guess, but even that may be a stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 One of the problems is for whatever reason we yet again have a s/w complex versus strong s/w's. Look above ND, three or maybe 4 visible circulations spinning in a general mass. They stay that way as they dive east. My thought is it's the progressive, fast flow preventing the consolidation of these systems as they move across the Pacific into Canada. There's really nothing to slow them down anywhere SW of NS so they fly along disjointed until they're forced to come together offshore, too late for us. Lack of a traditional -NAO is really hurting for storminess in this pattern. I feel a coating to an inch or two is still quite possible Boston to Hartford but obviously areas to the SE have the best probability. The Euro was close enough to a better hit to keep an eye on it. It was actually a touch stronger than the earlier run and we have the extension of QPF to the north and later NW that we'll have to watch. In short I'm a little encouraged in the 12z non NCEP guidance. Just a little. If you go back and look at the system that gave Phil 3.7" a week or so ago there are some similarities in the northern stream. We're waiting on a late s/w to attempt to pull the redevelopment closer which fails in all cases. At 48 it's diving through the Lakes, who knows it's coming out of northern Canada at a terrific pace, maybe we can get lucky and some areas pull off a better snow. There's nowhere near the moisture source that we had last time with the bowling ball s/w in the south, but it is what it is. Timing could also change for the worse and we end up with a total whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 24, 2013 Share Posted January 24, 2013 SREF's just ticked a bit north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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