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Extreme amplitude GWO cycle in progress


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I'm just looking more into this now, but just wanted to kick this off ... With an amplitude of 4.5 on January 20 (the latest day in the data file), the GWO is currently at the 8th greatest amplitude on record (of 20,109 days) that began in 1958. And the 5th highest amplitude cycle on record.

 

The four cycles ahead of this one were from November 2002, March 2005, January 1983, and January 2006

 

post-128-0-33256500-1358895118_thumb.gif post-128-0-44940500-1358896527_thumb.gif post-128-0-99465600-1358896096_thumb.gif post-128-0-66066500-1358896103_thumb.gif

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MJO wave is for real, son

 

lol, seriously.

 

Three of the four cycles ahead of this one were notable El Ninos. 2006 was a La Nina, but interestingly had a major stratospheric warming coincide with the MJO/GWO cycle ... the whole thing practically perfectly in sync with the current evolution.

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lol, seriously.

 

Three of the four cycles ahead of this one were notable El Ninos. 2006 was a La Nina, but interestingly had a major stratospheric warming coincide with the MJO/GWO cycle ... the whole thing practically perfectly in sync with the current evolution.

some big storms followed in many of those years....blizzard of 83, 2003 and 2006

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Most of the Mountain torque is from South America. Wonder how much of a difference it makes in the Northern Hemisphere?

Two things:

 

1. The NH has contributed to the surge (outside of N. America, so far) and there is frictional dissipation going on (due to the MJO) in the Subtropical-Tropical C PAC.

 

2. These all contribute to the global budget, length of day etc. so the SA MT is important, just like any other area of the world. But in terms of the Pacific Jet and CONUS teleconnections, its connection is obviously looser.

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