powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 6Z GFS pretty bullish on a relatively cold swfe 1/25-6. That run is awesome for a lot of New England.... looks beautiful up here. In fact, that run is awesome all around... the clipper coming up is looking more and more robust here, especially with the WAA precip late tonight and tomorrow. Then arctic hounds, then what looks like a fairly significant snowstorm next weekend. Lock this in please... though I think this one keeps trending colder and further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Thought I'd break off a thread to discuss this potential that has popped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I would have no problem whatsovever locking the 6z GFS-might be borderline for stamford but for Lake Placid that is 6"+ of snow and since i'm skiing that weekend it should be sweet! Unfortunatley though as we all know the chances of this verbatim are close to zero, just ask the rest of the long range storms that were suppsoed to come this winter. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 i think this is the same threat, maybe some slight timing differences? if not, my apologies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 That run is awesome for a lot of New England.... looks beautiful up here. In fact, that run is awesome all around... the clipper coming up is looking more and more robust here, especially with the WAA precip late tonight and tomorrow. Then arctic hounds, then what looks like a fairly significant snowstorm next weekend. Lock this in please... though I think this one keeps trending colder and further south. 180.JPG 186.JPG 192.JPG Scott, See if you can lock this up....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Thought I'd break off a thread to discuss this potential that has popped up. Good call... I just think this one has a good shot to head further south and be a good shot of snow for a lot of New England. There is no way that cold air (-30C H85) is going to lift out quickly (though I know weirder things have happened) but this system could quickly go from a cutter to a major winter storm for the northeast. The prior airmass will certainly be cold enough, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I feel as confident about this storm as any this winter. SWFEs are easy to see...straight forward, straight across. I think there are less nuances than we get with clippers, Miller Bs and As. I like this storm, although maybe 26-27th, not 25th-26th? I think it ushers in a snowy period that will get us a true west NAO. February will rock and we will have deep snow. Love that the MJO is continue to be robust and move slowly into the correct phases. Combine this with the Strat warm and we should be good for a few more weeks at least. The slower it develops the longer it takes to leave.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Stay the course with 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Stay the course with 12z GFS I am onboard with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 12Z GGEM is south of the GFS and looks more like a classic coastal developer. 180h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 Yeah the 12z GFS continues it... but I still think this will be solid for SNE and end up more SE...even if the GFS is a toaster bath down there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 euro is going to be good for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 euro is going to be good for this one. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 I seriously think this one has good potential for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Oh Lord, hear thy prayer from coastal SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Oh Lord, hear thy prayer from coastal SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 I seriously think this one has good potential for most of us. Yeah much better shot down south than up here...as good as the GFS looks up here, it just doesn't make sense to me . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Oh Lord, hear thy prayer from coastal SNE. thy patience shall be rewarded with snow to the top of thy knickers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Can we get some detes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 f168.gif What happens after 168? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 What happens after 168? I don't have the next image. I think the image says it all though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 This could be one of the few weeks Kevin could accurately say "deep deep winter"...one minor event, one major event, and arctic cold in between...if all works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 I don't have the next image. I think the image says it all though. Haha yeah... But how far north is sort of what I'm getting at. It looks like H7 wants to close and extrapolating it looks like mid-level centers go over SNE which usually brings snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Haha yeah... But how far north is sort of what I'm getting at. It looks like H7 wants to close and extrapolating it looks like mid-level centers go over SNE which usually brings snow here. It gets squeezed out S of LI. SNE/CNE special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 18, 2013 Author Share Posted January 18, 2013 It gets squeezed out S of LI. SNE/CNE special. Cool...that solution makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Not to pee in cheerios, but lots of time left either way with a day 7 prog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Yeah, No spiking footballs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Has Tim Kelley tweeted blizzard alert? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2013 Share Posted January 18, 2013 Cool...that solution makes sense.Good spot for it right now. There's confluence, but I feel safer trying to get it a tick north than a tick south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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