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Severe Weather Risk 10-17-2012 (ARK, MS, TN, MO, KY)


Jim Martin

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Strong Words from latest mesoscale update

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP REVEALS SEVERAL ROTATING STORMS NOW

MOVING ENEWD ACROSS ERN AND SRN AR...WITHIN FAVORABLY

MOIST/UNSTABLE/SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THE EVENING SHV /SHREVEPORT LA/

RAOB REVEALS A DEEP/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND OVER 2000 J/KG

MIXED-LAYER CAPE...ALONG WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR OF 28 KT. GIVEN

THIS...POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG/LONGER-LIVED TORNADO REMAINS EVIDENT

WITHIN THIS REGION.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN

802 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2012

ARC035-093-TNC157-167-180130-

/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0061.000000T0000Z-121018T0130Z/

CRITTENDEN AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-SHELBY TN-TIPTON TN-

802 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR

SOUTHWESTERN TIPTON...NORTHWESTERN SHELBY...SOUTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI

AND NORTHERN CRITTENDEN COUNTIES...

AT 801 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS

TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAMBETHVILLE...OR 6 MILES WEST OF MEEMAN

SHELBY FOREST STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. SHERIFF REPORTED A

TORNADO CROSSING INTERSTATE 55 NEAR THE JERICHO EXIT AT 750 PM.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO TURRELL...

WILSON...FRENCHMANS BAYOU...ST THOMAS...PECAN POINT...SHAWNEE...

DELPRO...GOLDEN LAKE...STACY...MENESHA...HEAFER...LAMBETHVILLE...

LANSING AND BOOKER.

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