So where are we going? Here is a look at the 00z GEFS and 00z EC ensembles at d10. I think this gives an idea heading into late October. Here is the difference. Notice the difference in blocking up by the Aleutians. Why is this? Well it may be related to what's going on with tropical convection in the west PAC. While the tropical convection as modeled doesn't completely agree with the so called temp correlations in October and what is forecasted (a reason why I'm not a big fan of using these in