SoCoWx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Okay, so I saw there wasn't a forecasting/discussion thread for Spring in the SE subforum. So here it is. What will Spring bring? I know one analogue I'm looking at currently is 2009. What you do think for the MAM timeframe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I hope it brings cooler weather! These high temps lately have been bad. I'd love to see some highs in the 40's and 50's for a change. I hate hot winters and a cold spring and cool summer would be just the tonic for me T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 we will finally get the cold temps we should have received during winter. april will probably bring temps in the 40's during the day and 20's at night with a little snow here and there. we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcworthWx Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 we will finally get the cold temps we should have received during winter. april will probably bring temps in the 40's during the day and 20's at night with a little snow here and there. we'll see Based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 I see absolutely nothing in the foreseeable future that looks like anything even remotely resembling something in the ballpark of possibly being considered as potential interesting weather. The torch looks to continue and no legitimate severe weather threats exist. Capital B to the oring.....just like this miserable excuse for a Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 I see absolutely nothing in the foreseeable future that looks like anything even remotely resembling something in the ballpark of possibly being considered as potential interesting weather. The torch looks to continue and no legitimate severe weather threats exist. Capital B to the oring.....just like this miserable excuse for a Winter. +1 This is when this forum gets really reallllyyyy slowwww. I have the SPC's conv. outlook page set to my homepage so I reckon I'll come back when I see something intersting pop up. As of now, I don't garden or fish, so I need to find another hobby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Well i for one hope it stays slow for a long while temps in the 70's day and 50's night.. with some rain in and out! save me some money on the heating and cooling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Hello Spring! No wonder Chicago gets near 70 next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Summer begins on St. Patrick's day this year . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 11, 2012 Share Posted March 11, 2012 Alaska still well below,go figure.I hope one winter we can stay way below normal like they have! Looking forward to some low 80s by end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 +14C 850mb temperature anomalies just south of Hudson Bay on the Week 1 Euro weeklies that came out last night...+10C is covering much of the northeast, plains and midwest...about as impressive a warm spell relative to normal as you will see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 +14C 850mb temperature anomalies just south of Hudson Bay on the Week 1 Euro weeklies that came out last night...+10C is covering much of the northeast, plains and midwest...about as impressive a warm spell relative to normal as you will see... Hi Bob! Hope all is well with you?! Those weeklies seemed to verify well over the winter months. Have you had any further thoughts on how this summer may play out compared to normals? TIA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 For Charlotte, NC: Looks like high temps are gonna be at least in the 70's in the next week to ten days with the probability of subfreezing temperatures very low. Hope everyone is enjoying the spring-like weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Hi Bob! Hope all is well with you?! Those weeklies seemed to verify well over the winter months. Have you had any further thoughts on how this summer may play out compared to normals? TIA! All is good here! Thanks for asking. As long as ENSO drifts into a warm episode I like the near normal scenario...front loaded but not quite so cool as 09...maybe a little less cooler than 08. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 All is good here! Thanks for asking. As long as ENSO drifts into a warm episode I like the near normal scenario...front loaded but not quite so cool as 09...maybe a little less cooler than 08. That is all I'm asking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 I am somewhat concerned that this pattern is going to perpetuate drought conditions over the southeast if it continues. Dry springs in TN are usually disasterous for agriculture. Let's hope the pattern shifts to a weak Nino - If not, time to get out the water hose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 I am somewhat concerned that this pattern is going to perpetuate drought conditions over the southeast if it continues. Dry springs in TN are usually disasterous for agriculture. Let's hope the pattern shifts to a weak Nino - If not, time to get out the water hose. Agreed. CPC is already hinting at a major drought on their indicator graphs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Agreed. CPC is already hinting at a major drought on their indicator graphs. I've only had 4.62" since Jan 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 I've only had 4.62" since Jan 1. Dry... I've had 5.31" for the year so far. 1.17" for the march so far. Departures from Normal Nov +1.06" - wettest month of 2011, only one other month had above normal. Dec -0.98" Jan -2.82" Feb -1.01" March - less than 1/2 of normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 In E TN, it's not bad yet - not like other places to the SE. But w/ this big ridge, it doesn't take much imagination to see things getting very dry, very quickly. And just at the wrong time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Dry... I've had 5.31" for the year so far. 1.17" for the march so far. Departures from Normal Nov +1.06" - wettest month of 2011, only one other month had above normal. Dec -0.98" Jan -2.82" Feb -1.01" March - less than 1/2 of normal. I'm only at 0.57 for March. Doesn't bode well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 wow, there are some rather large discrepancies across the se for rain. there's been 12" or more for most of ne ga so far this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 The NAO is not looking so positive in the long run. Oh boy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Based on what? just making a statement man, can't take a joke. i was just saying that would probably happen after the warm winter, geez, lighten up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Dry... I've had 5.31" for the year so far. 1.17" for the march so far. Departures from Normal Nov +1.06" - wettest month of 2011, only one other month had above normal. Dec -0.98" Jan -2.82" Feb -1.01" March - less than 1/2 of normal. Nov 1.68 (-1.06) Dec 1.11 (-2.11) Jan 1.76 (-1.82) Feb 2.46 - most rain I have seen in MONTHS (-1.15) Mar .95 (normal for the month is 4.95) I'm down -3.81 for this year already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 The NAO is not looking so positive in the long run. Oh boy. Doubt any northern latitude blocking is going to be of much consequence this time of year, and this Spring. Warming between 10-20N should exert enough influence to keep the mean storm track through the Plains/MS river valley and any shots of cold transient and glancing, 40N. Doubt we have had our last frost here, seen them in early May, but heavy freezes are over, even 20's in my mind are gone at this point till Nov. I strongly feel that we are going to the SE ridge get cranking into Bermuda, nosing into SE Canada at times (like the next week), storm track is west, instability abound, but without any sig triggers, could be a dry period (3-4 weeks) for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Nov 1.68 (-1.06) Dec 1.11 (-2.11) Jan 1.76 (-1.82) Feb 2.46 - most rain I have seen in MONTHS (-1.15) Mar .95 (normal for the month is 4.95) I'm down -3.81 for this year already Now ThATs dry... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Alright, so I am getting married in 8 days so I am hoping the current pattern we are in can hold thru next Saturday the 24th. I'm pretty confident we are going to be ok temp wise based on what I have seen but I am just not sure what the outlook is precip wise. I'm conflicted based on what I have read and looked at. What are the experts opinions? Trending dry or wet towards next weekend for Florida? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 Lol Best forecast on Wunderground for next Wednesday in 10 days says High of 93 with a heat index of 122. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted March 18, 2012 Share Posted March 18, 2012 Lol Best forecast on Wunderground for next Wednesday in 10 days says High of 93 with a heat index of 122. lol haha that's crazy. I would not discount wunderground though. I have been using them for forecasts for 5 years now. I think they are very accurate form my personal experience. They are, for sure, better than accuweather haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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