Here's my latest thinking on my website: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ Discussion/debate welcome. While there is a delay, I think in the end it works out in our favor...other thoughts welcome Heading into mid November, we have a global pattern in place which argues for the maintenance of ridging into the Southeast/Eastern US, at least for the next couple weeks. The three "big ones" in terms of important teleconnections, the PNA, AO, and NAO, are all in an unfavorable phase for the time being