Time to fire this thread up again for winter. Hopefully, this year it will be more than Jorge and me talking to ourselves. For the next ten days or so, it looks to be cool west/warm east with intermittent shots of cool behind shortwaves in a typical -PNA/gradient flow pattern. The big question is when will the pattern change? Judging by the tropical convection forecasts, I'd guess some time around Thanksgiving. As convection fires over the Western Indian Ocean, we should see ridging go up acros