weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 jerry, call me crazy but i'm starting to feel warning criteria materializing in our hood if Euro holds tnite... this is absolutely incredible and historic. and for the records, clear NAM/Euro vs. GFS battle in <24 hour timeframe, and GFS finally caved. hasn't always in the past, but it sure has in a huge way tonight. I'm a little worried about the lack of a drop in temps tonight. But the dynamics I suppose make it all irrelevant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 NW CONN, don;t hotlink the mesonet temp map....upload it first then post it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 well the cold air is here huh? Interesting.. my thermometer says 32.5F it is brand new but that is hard to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Kevn L on Fox right now Live. Boston to Providence to Taunto to Exit 4 on Rte 3 in Plymouth less than 2" Just NW of Providence, just on the NW edge of Boston up to Beverly 2-5" over to nashua NH down to Worcester down to around Tolland and arcing WSW from there 2-5" Worcester and poitns west, nashua west out to the GC into center and NE CT 5-8" with up to 10" WOW, conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Fox 25 has me at 2-5"..boo Noyes and Kevin L have been surpisingly conservative tonight. Kevn L's numbers are kind of shocking 5-8" is the max? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Noyes and Kevin L have been surpisingly conservative tonight. Kevn L's numbers are kind of shocking 5-8" is the max? I don't see how high terrain areas get less than 8" unless there is just an epic model failure on the thermal profiles across the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 UKMET is very cold at least down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I'm a little worried about the lack of a drop in temps tonight. But the dynamics I suppose make it all irrelevant. still could see some stars an hour ago... we should radiate some but yeah, i think dynamics will make this moot by sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Noyes and Kevin L have been surpisingly conservative tonight. Kevn L's numbers are kind of shocking 5-8" is the max? When is the last time Kevin Lemana-whatever nailed a storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Time sensitive but unga bunga! http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-wv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Can someone provide the history here? What will we need in the major cities to break records? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I don't see how high terrain areas get less than 8" unless there is just an epic model failure on the thermal profiles across the board. Yeah weird? I'm really encouraged for my old stomping grounds. Euro may trickle east. UK is cold I think? It's 34 here with a dewpoint of 28. It's 10/29. Astounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I don't see how high terrain areas get less than 8" unless there is just an epic model failure on the thermal profiles across the board. Agreed. There may be some banking on climo there but I don't speak for them. Harvey came across to me as very worried because as he said it this is so anomalous that one cannot draw from common experience. BUF had 2 feet of snow in 2006 in a doubted pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Can someone provide the history here? What will we need in the major cities to break records? Biggest October snowfalls on record: BOS: 1.1" ORH: 7.5" PVD: 2.5" BDL: 1.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Hey guys... I'll just tell you straight up right now... I'm hammered lol.... I just wanted to tell Will, Scott, Ryan, Tip, and Capecod that they've done a hell of a job with this storm. Its pretty remarkable that the Euro nailed this 7 days ago lol.... Anyways, I think many people in here have that boxing day bust in their minds. I know I do. I'm just hoping that this storm wipes that out completely. Just think.... We are going to have a freaking KU storm in OCTOBER!!! Biggest snows in 140 years. A snow that our ancestors fighting in WWI have never seen. Before women voting... heck, before the telephone was invented in 1877. My biggest concern is that the top 5 all time outages of northeast utilities was after the Nov 1987 snowstorm, and that was before PSNH was apart of the system. I got a bunch of my buddies going to UNH homecoming tomorrow and I told them how bad the storm was going to be. They poo pooed it cause WMUR said only 2-4 inches for rockingham county. I just laughed and said, have fun... I have 4 more posts that I'll probably save for the obs section of the storm tomorrow. I just wanted to say how excited I was and that this is probably how wiz feels before a great severe threat with his 40s lol.... I just wanted to leave you all with a video of what most of us will feel like after tracking this monster and before the snow hits.... Enjoy it guys, cause we'll never see this again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Yeah the band from hell over E MA late in the game might be slow to move east as Phil is sniffing ozone on the Cape...thats the point in the storm where it might get captured back to the W for an extra 3-6 hours. Sort of the same phenomenon that kept the steady snow going into the afternoon hours in the Jan 12 storm. Phil is gonna wake up sunday morning and hit his head on the tropopause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Biggest October snowfalls on record: BOS: 1.1" ORH: 7.5" PVD: 2.5" BDL: 1.7" All of those will likely be broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Biggest October snowfalls on record: BOS: 1.1" ORH: 7.5" PVD: 2.5" BDL: 1.7" Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 All of those will likely be broken. I'd say it's about a 99% chance most of them are smashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Phil is gonna wake up sunday morning and hit his head on the tropopause. I told him to ride out the storm on the first floor because the oxygen might get a little thin on the 2nd floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Well time for rest. Lots of sleep tonight and most of the am tomorrow. Then the party's on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Biggest October snowfalls on record: BOS: 1.1" ORH: 7.5" PVD: 2.5" BDL: 1.7" CON's 2.1" should get shattered too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Did the CMC finally pull the plug on the RGEM and GGEM? How's the ukie looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 I told him to ride out the storm on the first floor because the oxygen might get a little thin on the 2nd floor. The low level jet is probably going to end up on his front lawn too with this type of low level lapse rate Sunday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 good post SNOW NH your posts usually have a good natured humor in them and yes i think you hit the nail on the head w/ the boxing day storms shredded precip in the minds of some i think this storm will have a death band similiar to boxing day storm but i think the precip will have a much more impressive showing over the ORH-FIT area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The low level jet is probably going to end up on his front lawn too with this type of low level lapse rate Sunday morning Cweat's lawn tractor may fly right by Phil's head if he's not careful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 UK is a lot colder than the GFS from what I can see. Recognize graphics may be wrong, but it's chilly at 30 hours versus the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The low level jet is probably going to end up on his front lawn too with this type of low level lapse rate Sunday morning Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Cweat's lawn tractor may fly right by Phil's head if he's not careful. I don't have a tractor. I have cows and a few goats. I'm eco-friendly. UK is cold as a witches ti*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Jesus. 65-70 knots sustained at 950mb and DA (or better) lapse rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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