Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 1st Event underway today and tonight. Good start to the season. Time to start an new discussion for Sat/Sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 NNE needs to see another few ticks west, Right now coastal areas look like they see snow, But i would love to see the euro go back to the track it had a few days ago...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 4-8" lollies to 10" Lock it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Lot of nice weenie panels in there, Hope the trends continue westward today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Kevin's looking to the weekend as payback for today/tonight. 38.0/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Kevin's looking to the weekend as payback for today/tonight. 38.0/37 Payback for what? me getting an inch or 2 of snow tonight and then 6-12 on Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Payback for what? me getting an inch or 2 of snow tonight and then 6-12 on Saturday? Your 6-12 on Saturday as payback for what won't happen tonight. I think your Thursday-weekend total will exceed mine, but its going to start with you having a goose egg. Just guessing--not attacking. 37.7/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 You know I won't lie it may be frustrating to watch both of these from the sideline (but we'll get ours sometime), I would love to see a cement storm for the 95 corridor this weekend. It would be absolutely ridiculous considering thetime of year. Its like telling climo to bend over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Your 6-12 on Saturday as payback for what won't happen tonight. I think your Thursday-weekend total will exceed mine, but its going to start with you having a goose egg. Just guessing--not attacking. 37.7/37 Will and Scott and Rayn all have me getting an inch..so you'll lose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Will and Scott and Rayn all have me getting an inch..so you'll lose For the sake of your sanity, I hope I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 You know I won't lie it may be frustrating to watch both of these from the sideline (but we'll get ours sometime), I would love to see a cement storm for the 95 corridor this weekend. It would be absolutely ridiculous considering thetime of year. Its like telling climo to bend over. I could very well end up in that same situation here, Going to need a few more shifts to the west, That will effect a few to the south though if that happens.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I could very well end up in that same situation here, Going to need a few more shifts to the west, That will effect a few to the south though if that happens.. Hi. And one or two to the north. 37.7/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Hi. And one or two to the north. 37.7/37 I need like that ECM run from a couple days ago haha. And about 5 shifts northwest lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Hi. And one or two to the north. 37.7/37 Yeah, North and west some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I need like that ECM run from a couple days ago haha. And about 5 shifts northwest lol. Yeah you do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Wow waking up this morning to find the Euro with a bomb. The GFS just a tick SE. and everything else coming to the Euro of 2 days ago was a nice surprise. Off to class now, back in time for the 12z suite. But question first.....do you guys ever go to bed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Gonna be tough up here to get anything significant..that trough is realllllyyyy gonna have to dig...and the kicker will have to weaken and slow down..very unlikely, but possible...some GFS members had similar solutions.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 The kicker is what may ultimitly screw us here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Scooter needs to post the Euro maps here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Scooter needs to post the Euro maps here. Someone move them over. My bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted October 27, 2011 Author Share Posted October 27, 2011 Someone move them over. My bad. Maybe Will or Brian can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Well we'll see what the 12z runs do as it will be within 60hrs. My gut is that the GFS will come west just a bit more, but wouldn't be shocked if it held steady. These 12z runs should have good data sampling I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Well we'll see what the 12z runs do as it will be within 60hrs. My gut is that the GFS will come west just a bit more, but wouldn't be shocked if it held steady. These 12z runs should have good data sampling I think. i was kind of surprised to see the NAM relatively flat...more just out of its propensity to be so aggressive so often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 i was kind of surprised to see the NAM relatively flat...more just out of its propensity to be so aggressive so often. Yeah you would think it would be all fired up. I think there is some wiggle room to the west on the op runs, but sometimes you get these crazy solutions..only to tick east at the last minute. BTW, Euro and Ukie killed it with Rina. Funny that those models were weakening Rina and also developing that coastal low the most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Yeah you would think it would be all fired up. I think there is some wiggle room to the west on the op runs, but sometimes you get these crazy solutions..only to tick east at the last minute. BTW, Euro and Ukie killed it with Rina. Funny that those models were weakening Rina and also developing that coastal low the most. Euro and Ukie though aren't really regarded as great tropical models though, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 congrats guys. I'm jealous and excited for you at the same time. I'll try to offer some analysis over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Yeah you would think it would be all fired up. I think there is some wiggle room to the west on the op runs, but sometimes you get these crazy solutions..only to tick east at the last minute. BTW, Euro and Ukie killed it with Rina. Funny that those models were weakening Rina and also developing that coastal low the most. yeah i know. don't know if you remember but the euro even had a run that bombed rina out and then literally killed it in like 12 hours - not tooooo dissimilar to what actually happened really. i'd like to get this thing tucked in close because i think the wind potential is huge given the SSTs and air mass in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 yeah i know. don't know if you remember but the euro even had a run that bombed rina out and then literally killed it in like 12 hours - not tooooo dissimilar to what actually happened really. i'd like to get this thing tucked in close because i think the wind potential is huge given the SSTs and air mass in play. how were the euro ensembles lots of hits? i think that unforunately we tick east from here....(or better yet i think the euro could very much crap on us at 2pm today ) .i don't like the nam not coming on board ....i'm really interested in the 0z nam tonite (because inside 48 hours it's a very useful model after last year i lost my unwavering faith in the euro....and i'm not gonna forget how the euro crapped the bed on many storms inside 84 hours last year ...like every other model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Euro and Ukie though aren't really regarded as great tropical models though, no? Well I think the euro is decent with tropicals. My rule with globals regarding tropicals, is that they can give big clues on whether a storm will intensify or weaken. A large or deep system signaled by them is usually a clue to an intense storm, while something that is rather meh looking probably means a weaker solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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