Models have been sniffing on this storm for several days in various forms and a couple of the extendo runs from the GFS had this off the coast and bringing us snow. Right now, everyone in this area gets rain on the GFS' scenario.
The 0z Euro, for s**ts and giggles, has a storm offshore about 150 miles and us sub 0 at 850...keep in mind it's late October but we've had snow in the burbs in Oct 08 when the 500 pinched off right overhead. This isn't the same scenario (merely mid level trough, no