msp Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 the midwest had a drought thread, so here's one for us for drought-related news going into a la nina winter, this could become a critical situation. my atmo prof, who happens to be the state climatologist, spent part of our last class today discussing this and how he's now giving talks on fire weather with the current danger in mind. burn ban counties: http://tfsfrp.tamu.edu/wildfires/decban.png drought monitor now showing severe for this area: most recent hgx drought statement: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=pns_2010_12_03_drought_statement HGX long range outlook: THE LONG RANGE SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID DECEMBER 2 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28 WAS UPDATED AND THIS CHART SHOWED DROUGHT CONDITIONS INTENSIFYING OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS. AT THIS TIME... IT APPEARS THAT AREAS SOUTH OF I-20 EXTENDING ALL THE WAY TO THE RIO GRANDE RIVER WILL SUFFER DROUGHT CONDITIONS THIS WINTER. WITH MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ALREADY 10 TO 20 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR 2010...THIS DEVELOPING DROUGHT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FIRE DANGER ISSUES AND ADVERSELY AFFECT AGRICULTURE AND RANCHERS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somethingfunny Posted December 7, 2010 Share Posted December 7, 2010 That's pretty neat seeing my little corner of Dallas County in the all-clear. good luck again southerners Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 That is not a pretty drought map but thank you for starting this thread. If history and the ENSO is any indicator, this winter could see persistent drought throughout Texas, possibly lasting through spring. We are attempting to get our brand-new Volunteer Fire Department fully equipped, trained and ready in the event that this drought intensifies; we personally have taken steps to bring our herd down to "drought level" stocking in our pastures. In a worst case scenario, the Texas drought maps of the early fifties (La Nina, -PDO, +AMO) might become not just historic, but prophetic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I hope agricultural practices really have improved in the last seven decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 That's La Nina for you. Expect more fires, dust storms, and hot weather in January! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Hows the Edwards Aquifer holding up ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aslkahuna Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 After a brief relaxation, we expect to be in serious drought conditions in SE AZ by next Summer. It's been going on since 1996 with occasional brief wet interludes but no break. Steve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Portastorm Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Hows the Edwards Aquifer holding up ?? Not bad. Current levels are well within acceptable range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Not bad. Current levels are well within acceptable range. Thanks ! Good to know and welcome to the board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted December 10, 2010 Author Share Posted December 10, 2010 drought monitor update... now extreme here in part of the brazos valley. bad west of here toward the border and in LA too. no relief for at least the next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 This report from the Texas Forest Service: Officials brace for severe winter wildfire season http://txforestservi...in/default.aspx Excerpt: Over at least the next three months, conditions are predicted to remain dry, prompting Texas Forest Service officials to prepare for response. (emphasis mine)While I certainly can pray for room for error on the part of forecasters, the phrase "at LEAST three months" tells me it is best to prepare for the worst. I will be including much of the information presented in this thread in a report I'm making tomorrow for local first responders/firefighters. Thanks to all of you for making my job easier! EDIT: In addition to the drought monitor maps, other wonderful sites that help me interpret the practical meaning of all this drought data are "Texas Weather Connection" ( http://webgis.tamu.edu/drought/tfd ) and the "Texas Interagency Coordination Center" ( http://ticc.tamu.edu/fire_outlooks.htm ) both of which are brought to us by the wonderful people at TAMU! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted December 10, 2010 Author Share Posted December 10, 2010 great find with those maps. i hadn't even heard about them. meanwhile, red flag warnings out over hill country for the post-FROPA conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted December 11, 2010 Author Share Posted December 11, 2010 red flag here now too. RH down to 33% here. should drop below 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Tomorrow mid day will be prime time for this Red Flag Warning. HGX is expecting RH's dropping to 10-20% with gusty NW winds. That's bone dry for this part of the world. URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 305 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010 ...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES EXPECTED SUNDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT... .THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...LOW HUMIDITIES...AND ONGOING DROUGHT WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SUNDAY. TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-121200- /O.UPG.KHGX.FW.A.0004.101212T1500Z-101213T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KHGX.FW.W.0005.101212T1600Z-101213T0100Z/ AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND- GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAGORDA- MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON- WHARTON- 305 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HOUSTON/GALVESTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM CST SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA SUNDAY. THE GUSTY WINDS WILL PERSIST UNTIL SUNSET. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT BETWEEN 10 AND 11 AM...AND BOTTOM OUT IN THE 10 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RECOVER ABOVE 30 PERCENT SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 red flag here now too. RH down to 33% here. should drop below 20%. A "red flag" day here as well. Thankfully, no fire calls so far in our district today; we did have one the night before last (a rancher was doing a mesquite brush burn-off) and even with the cool weather the fire spread like, well, wildfire... People are finally getting the word about the burn ban; but in a rural district, with no local radio or TV stations within the county, it can take a while to get the word out! Regarding the forecast - as per the FW/D desk: 370 fxus64 kfwd 112106 afdfwd Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 306 PM CST Sat Dec 11 2010 --EXCERPT-- Forward watches/warnings/advisories... red flag warning until 6 PM CST this evening for txz100-101-115- 116-129-130-141>143-156>158. Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon MSP, in your area (Bryan/College Station) you may end up meeting 2 out of 3 criteria for Critical Fire Weather Thresholds... From Texas Forest Service Predictive Service Area: Western Pineywoods PSA Critical Thresholds July 21st, 2010 RAWS: Palestine, Round Prairie, Ratcliff, Huntsville, Conroe, At****er Data Years: 1981-present Fuel Types: Pine Plantation, Mixed Timber, Slash, Improved Grass, Yaupon Critical Fire Weather Thresholds: Relative Humidity 30% or less 20’ Windspeed 15 mph or more Temperature 10% above average Peak Fire Seasons: Primary July through September with summer drying Secondary December through March with cured grasses and wind events Temps won't keep us out of the Critical Category; the cold won't stop a fire from spreading once one IS started. Prevention will be key. Don't nobody burn nothin'... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted December 11, 2010 Share Posted December 11, 2010 Tomorrow mid day will be prime time for this Red Flag Warning. HGX is expecting RH's dropping to 10-20% with gusty NW winds. That's bone dry for this part of the world. that's amazingly dry for your territory. We're not much better off here... our guys are out right now trying to replace a rear main seal on a Dodge D-300 brush truck so it will be ready to roll tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 825 PM CST SAT DEC 11 2010 ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT... ...PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS NOW IN EXTREME DROUGHT... ...DECEMBER TO REMAIN DRY WITH DROUGHT CONDITIONS INTENSIFYING... SYNOPSIS... A STRONG LA NINA PHASE WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WINTER. THIS TYPE OF WEATHER PATTERN USUALLY BRINGS SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A CONSIDERABLY DRIER AIR MASS TO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE GENERALLY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH LA NINA CONDITIONS. THIS IS A DRY FLOW FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE STRENGTH OF THIS LA NINA EPISODE PORTENDS A RATHER DRY WINTER FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BROUGHT SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN TO THE REGION ON DECEMBER 8TH...BUT THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL CLOSE TO THE COAST AND NOT OVER AREAS SUFFERING FROM EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THIS LA NINA PHASE IS FORECAST TO BE ONE OF THE STRONGER EVENTS ON RECORD. OTHER YEARS WITH STRONG LA NINA SIGNALS ARE 1916...1917... 1955...1975 AND 1999. BELOW ARE TABLES WITH THE RAINFALL DURING THE WINTER MONTHS FOR THOSE LA NINA EPISODES: HOUSTON YEAR OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR YEAR 1916/17 1.05 2.31 3.68 1.29 1.56 0.65 35.85 1917/18 0.32 0.93 1.19 0.96 1.69 3.25 17.66# 1955/56 0.71 1.36 1.90 3.19 1.80 1.23 41.08 1975/76 5.62 2.08 3.61 1.39 0.38 1.53 50.97 1999/00 0.56 1.53 2.20 1.25 2.32 1.35 28.04 NORMAL 4.50 4.19 3.69 3.68 2.98 3.36 GALVESTON YEAR OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR YEAR 1916/17 0.99 2.16 0.79 2.21 2.51 0.91 30.86 1917/18 1.49 0.97 1.00 0.54 1.11 1.65 21.43* 1955/56 2.68 0.51 2.41 2.44 1.87 1.14 34.09 1975/76 4.83 4.56 3.96 3.41 1.07 1.39 42.06 1999/00 3.00 1.59 5.81 1.74 1.71 1.92 33.61 NORMAL 3.49 3.64 3.53 4.08 2.61 2.76 COLLEGE STATION YEAR OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR YEAR 1916/17 1.55 1.91 0.49 1.90 2.37 0.55 28.83 1917/18 0.22 0.93 0.24 1.87 4.51 0.50 16.66# 1955/56 0.37 0.85 1.53 3.15 3.37 1.34 25.08 1975/76 3.88 1.01 1.11 1.18 1.17 3.66 38.00 1999/00 1.58 1.09 1.54 3.14 0.91 2.57 24.62 NORMAL 4.22 3.18 3.23 3.32 2.38 2.84 # DRIEST YEAR ON RECORD * 2ND DRIEST YEAR ON RECORD YEARLY RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 1916...1917...1955...1975 AND 1999 AS OF DECEMBER 9TH 2010...THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWS THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN EXTREME DROUGHT OR D-3. MUCH OF THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAVE BEEN CLASSIFIED IN SEVERE DROUGHT OF D-2. BELOW IS A LIST OF COUNTIES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE CLASSIFICATION AS DESIGNATED BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: EXTREME D-3 SEVERE D-2 MODERATE D-1 ABNORMAL D-0 DROUGHT DROUGHT DROUGHT DRY BRAZOS AUSTIN BRAZORIA GALVESTON GRIMES BURLESON CHAMBERS MATAGORDA HOUSTON COLORADO JACKSON MADISON FORT BEND WHARTON TRINITY HARRIS WALKER LIBERTY MONTGOMERY POLK SAN JACINTO WALLER WASHINGTON U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATIONS BELOW IS A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH DROUGHT CLASSIFICATION: D4 EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT - EXCEPTIONAL OR WIDESPREAD CROP/PASTURE LOSS A SHORTAGE OF WATER IN RESERVOIRS AND STREAMS CREATING A WATER EMERGENCY. D3 EXTREME DROUGHT - MAJOR CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES. WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS. D2 SEVERE DROUGHT - CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY. SOME WATER SHORTAGES COMMON AND SOME WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. D1 MODERATE DROUGHT - SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES. RESERVOIRS OR WELLS LOW. VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. D0 ABNORMALLY DRY - SHORT TERM DRYNESS. PLANT GROWTH SLOWS. MINOR WATER DEFICITS. FOR FURTHER CLARIFICATION...SEE EITHER (ALL LINKS IN LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/DM_STATE.HTM?TX.S OR FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTRY SEE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML. CLIMATE SUMMARY... IT IS NO SECRET THAT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS HAVE BEEN DRY. THIS RECENT DRY PERIOD HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST THREE TO FOUR MONTHS BUT THE DRY PERIOD ACTUALLY STARTED MUCH EARLIER. IT HAS BEEN UNSEASONABLY DRY SINCE HURRICANE IKE (SEP 2008). ALTHOUGH THERE HAVE BEEN A FEW HEAVY RAIN EPISODES OVER THE LAST 27 MONTHS...THE OVERALL TREND HAS BEEN FOR DRIER WEATHER. BELOW IS A TABLE WITH THE FOUR PRIMARY CLIMATE SITES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH MONTHLY RAINFALL...DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL AND THE TOTAL RAINFALL DEFICIT SINCE OCTOBER 2008: HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT 2008 DEP 2009 DEP 2010 DEP JAN NA NA 0.49 -3.19 2.53 -1.15 FEB NA NA 1.52 -1.46 3.55 +0.57 MAR NA NA 4.08 +0.72 1.88 -1.48 APR NA NA 10.38 +6.78 2.81 -0.79 MAY NA NA 0.38 -4.77 3.68 -1.47 JUN NA NA 0.27 -5.08 3.75 -1.60 JUL NA NA 2.84 -0.34 12.92 +9.74 AUG NA NA 2.11 -1.72 1.02 -2.81 SEP IKE IKE 4.68 +0.35 4.81 +0.48 OCT 8.67 +4.17 13.16 +8.66 0.02 -4.48 NOV 2.92 -1.27 1.66 -2.53 2.71 -1.48 DEC 1.68 -2.01 5.44 +1.75 0.05 -0.93# SUM 13.27 47.01 39.73# NORMAL 47.84 45.49# (47.84) DEP +0.89 -0.83 -5.76# (-8.11) # THROUGH DECEMBER 11...VALUE IN PARENTHESIS REPRESENTS TOTALS THROUGH THE END OF THE YEAR ASSUMING NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. MONTHS ABOVE NORMAL = 9 MONTHS BELOW NORMAL = 18 OVER THE LAST 27 MONTHS...BY A 2 TO 1 RATIO...MONTHLY RAINFALL HAS BEEN LESS THAN NORMAL. THE 27 MONTH DEPARTURE HAS BEEN SKEWED BY THE HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS IN APRIL 2009...OCTOBER 2009 AND JULY 2010. HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT HAS FARED BETTER THAN MOST LOCATIONS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WHILE MOST COMMUNITIES HAVE SUFFERED 12 TO 22 INCH RAINFALL DEFICITS SINCE 2008...HOUSTON IAH HAS ONLY ENDURED A RAINFALL DEFICIT OF 5.70 INCHES. HOUSTON HOBBY AIRPORT 2008 DEP 2009 DEP 2010 DEP JAN NA NA 0.37 -3.88 2.30 -1.95 FEB NA NA 1.18 -1.83 3.38 +0.37 MAR NA NA 2.52 -0.67 2.04 -1.15 APR NA NA 15.61 +12.15 1.06 -2.40 MAY NA NA 0.66 -4.45 1.71 -3.40 JUN NA NA 1.39 -5.45 5.06 -1.78 JUL NA NA 3.62 -0.74 12.77 +8.41 AUG NA NA 1.63 -2.91 1.40 -3.14 SEP IKE IKE 5.31 -0.31 6.63 +1.01 OCT 2.62 -2.64 11.52 +6.26 0.07 -5.19 NOV 4.97 +0.43 1.88 -2.66 4.76 +0.22 DEC 0.86 -2.92 6.96 +3.18 0.27 -0.73# SUM 8.45 52.65 41.45# NORMAL 53.96 51.54# (53.96) DEP -5.13 -1.31 -10.09# (-12.51) # THROUGH DECEMBER 11...VALUE IN PARENTHESIS REPRESENTS TOTALS THROUGH THE END OF THE YEAR ASSUMING NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. MONTHS ABOVE NORMAL = 8 MONTHS BELOW NORMAL = 19 HOBBY AIRPORT ON HOUSTON`S SOUTHEAST SIDE HAS SUFFERED A RAINFALL DEFICIT OF 16.53 INCHES SINCE OCTOBER 1 2008 WITH ABOUT A THIRD OF THIS DEFICIT OCCURRING IN THE LAST THREE MONTHS. COLLEGE STATION EASTERWOOD FIELD 2008 DEP 2009 DEP 2010 DEP JAN NA NA 0.70 -2.62 2.93 -0.39 FEB NA NA 0.68 -1.70 2.77 +0.39 MAR NA NA 5.07 +2.23 2.62 -0.22 APR NA NA 6.11 +2.91 1.11 -2.09 MAY NA NA 1.41 -3.64 2.00 -3.05 JUN NA NA TRACE -3.79 7.31 +3.52 JUL NA NA 2.42 +0.50 1.23 -0.69 AUG NA NA 0.69 -1.94 0.34 -2.29 SEP IKE IKE 7.42 +3.51 5.86 +1.85 OCT 1.73 -2.49 8.25 +4.03 TRACE -4.42 NOV 1.35 -1.83 3.42 +0.24 0.90 -2.28 DEC 0.80 -2.43 2.81 -0.42 TRACE -0.80# SUM 3.88 38.98 26.97# NORMAL 39.67 37.54# (39.67) DEP -6.75 -0.69 -10.57# (-12.70) # THROUGH DECEMBER 11...VALUE IN PARENTHESIS REPRESENTS TOTALS THROUGH THE END OF THE YEAR ASSUMING NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. MONTHS ABOVE NORMAL = 9 MONTHS BELOW NORMAL = 18 COLLEGE STATION HAS SUFFERED A RAINFALL DEFICIT OF 18.01 INCHES SINCE OCTOBER 1 2008 WITH OVER 40 PERCENT OF THIS TOTAL OCCURRING IN THE LAST THREE MONTHS. COLLEGE STATION IS NO STRANGER TO HAVING MONTHS WITHOUT RAIN OR RECEIVING JUST A TRACE OF RAIN. ALTHOUGH UNCOMMON IT IS NOT UNPRECEDENTED. HERE ARE THE MONTHS WHEN COLLEGE STATION DID NOT RECEIVE MEASURABLE RAIN: 0.00 AUG 1902 TRACE AUG 1952 0.00 OCT 1952 TRACE JUL 1993 TRACE JUN 1998 TRACE JUL 2000 TRACE SEP 2005 TRACE JUN 2009 TRACE OCT 2010 GALVESTON SCHOLES FIELD 2008 DEP 2009 DEP 2010 DEP JAN NA NA 0.34 -3.74 2.27 -1.81 FEB NA NA 1.05 -1.56 3.47 +0.86 MAR NA NA 3.73 +0.97 1.41 -1.35 APR NA NA 5.23 +2.67 0.94 -1.62 MAY NA NA 0.19 -3.51 3.66 -0.04 JUN NA NA 0.32 -3.72 2.37 -1.67 JUL NA NA 2.72 -0.73 4.76 +1.31 AUG NA NA 1.08 -3.14 0.52 -3.70 SEP IKE IKE 5.24 -0.52 4.60 -1.16 OCT 1.37 -2.12 6.76 +3.27 0.11 -3.38 NOV 3.37 -0.27 3.97 +0.33 6.90 +3.26 DEC 1.82 -1.71 6.53 +3.00 0.33 -0.91# ANNUAL 6.56 37.16 31.34# NORMAL 43.84 41.55# (43.84) DEP -4.10 -6.68 -10.21# (-12.51) MONTHS ABOVE NORMAL = 8 MONTHS BELOW NORMAL = 19 SINCE OCTOBER 1 2008 GALVESTON IS 20.99 INCHES OF RAIN BELOW NORMAL. YET GALVESTON COUNTY IS ONLY CLASSIFIED AS ABNORMALLY DRY ON THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR. THE REASON FOR THIS IS THAT INLAND PORTIONS OF GALVESTON COUNTY RECEIVED PLENTY OF RAIN IN BOTH 2009 AND 2010. AT THE NWS OFFICE IN LEAGUE CITY...RAINFALL IN 2009 WAS 56.08 INCHES... ALMOST 20 INCHES HIGHER THAN SCHOLES FIELD. IN 2010...LEAGUE CITY RECORDED 50.33 INCHES THROUGH DECEMBER 11...AND THAT IS ABOUT 19 INCHES HIGHER THAN RAINFALL RECORDED ON THE ISLAND. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS... DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTED. PONDS AND CREEKS WERE LOW AND SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS WERE BECOMING CRITICAL. WINTER PASTURES WERE STRESSED. WINTER WHEAT AND OTHER SMALL GRAINS MADE LITTLE PROGRESS DUE TO THE LACK OF RAIN. PRODUCERS BEGUN APPLYING FERTILIZER TO FIELDS FOR SPRING CROPS. PRODUCERS INCREASED RATIONS OF HAY AND PROTEIN SUPPLEMENTS FOR CATTLE. LIVESTOCK REMAINED IN FAIR TO GOOD CONDITION. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU (ALL LOWER CASE). FIRE DANGER IMPACTS... 100 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WAS LESS THAN 10 PERCENT WEST OF A TRINITY TO BELLVILLE LINE WHILE 1000 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WAS LESS THAN 50 PERCENT WEST OF A NEW WAVERLY TO BELLVILLE LINE. THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN 1000 HOUR DEAD FUEL WAS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT WEST OF A CROCKETT TO BAY CITY LINE. KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ARE HIGH OVER MUCH OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. VALUES BETWEEN 700 AND 800 ARE CRITICAL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. THE VALUES LISTED BELOW ARE EXPECTED TO WORSEN (INCREASE) OVER THE NEXT 14 DAYS. BELOW IS A TABLE WITH KBDI VALUES (12/10/2010): 600-700 500-600 400-500 200-300 AUSTIN COLORADO BRAZORIA GALVESTON BRAZOS FORT BEND CHAMBERS BURLESON LIBERTY HARRIS GRIMES MONTGOMERY JACKSON HOUSTON POLK MATAGORDA MADISON SAN JACINTO TRINITY WHARTON WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON (SEE THE LINK...ALL LOWER CASE HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/ KBDI_DAILY/ KBDICOUNTY.PNG). RESTRICTIONS/ACTIONS... THE UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE HAS BANNED ALL FIRES IN THE NATIONAL FORESTS LOCATED IN THE STATE OF TEXAS. OFFICIALS ARE CAUTIONING VISITORS AND CAMPERS ABOUT THE RISK OF FIRE IN THE ANGELINA...SABINE...DAVY CROCKETT AND SAM HOUSTON NATIONAL FORESTS. COUNTY BURN BAN DECLARATIONS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE LAST WEEK. ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE WEB SITE ON DECEMBER 10 2010...(HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/DECBAN.PNG)...A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUSTIN...BRAZOS...CHAMBERS...FORT BEND...GRIMES...MADISON... TRINITY...WASHINGTON...WALLER AND WHARTON. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT WHEN DOING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WHICH INVOLVE FIRE OR SPARKS...BY MAKING SURE WATER IS QUICKLY AVAILABLE IF AN UNWANTED FIRE OR SMOLDERING BEGIN. PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS WILL BECOME VULNERABLE TO ISOLATED WILDFIRES SO CAMPERS...HUNTERS AND OTHER OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS SHOULD BE CAREFUL WITH CAMP FIRES AND FIREARMS. WELDERS SHOULD ALSO EXERCISE CAUTION WHILE PERFORMING THEIR DUTIES. FINALLY...MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT DISCARD LIGHTED CIGARETTES FROM THEIR VEHICLES. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... RIVER LEVELS HAVE BEGUN TO FALL AS RAINFALL OVER NORTH TEXAS HAS DECREASED. AREA RESERVOIRS HAVE ALSO BEGUN TO DROP ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. WATERSHED CAPACITY LAKE LIVINGSTON 100.0 PERCENT LAKE CONROE 92.4 PERCENT HOUSTON COUNTY LAKE 89.6 PERCENT LAKE HOUSTON 99.8 PERCENT LAKE SOMERVILLE 86.2 PERCENT LAKE TEXANA 84.6 PERCENT WATER RESTRICTIONS...NONE AT THIS TIME. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... LONG RANGE MODELS DO NOT INDICATE MUCH OF A PATTERN CHANGE OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER TEXAS. THIS WILL SHUNT STORM SYSTEMS TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION AND KEEP RAINFALL BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE MONTH. THE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THE MONTH OF DECEMBER IS AROUND 3.50 INCHES. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE A RECENT TOPSY TURVY TREND WITH COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOLLOWED BY WARMER TEMPERATURES...THEN COLDER AGAIN. BY THE END OF THE MONTH...AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THE SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID DECEMBER THROUGH FEBRUARY SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS INTENSIFYING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT IF NEEDED WILL BE ISSUED ON OR AROUND SATURDAY DECEMBER 18TH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted December 12, 2010 Author Share Posted December 12, 2010 55/13 here... RH at 19% winds gusting to 25mph i haven't heard about any fires yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Portastorm Posted December 12, 2010 Share Posted December 12, 2010 55/13 here... RH at 19% winds gusting to 25mph i haven't heard about any fires yet. 56/10 here in AUS with winds gusting to 20 mph. RH at 16%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Here's the early-week outlook for our area from the Texas Forest Service. I have a sneaking suspicion that this may become a "wash, rinse and repeat" cycle for us... Subject: High Fire Danger Across North TexasAFTER A HARD FREEZE THIS MORNING...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP INTO THE MID 50S TO MID 60S THIS AFTERNOON. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS...LEADING TO AFTERNOON HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 15 PERCENT RANGE ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35. SOUTH WINDS GREATER THAN 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY ALONG AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 AND ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THIS REGION FOR THE AFTERNOON. SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WEST OF I-35 AS DRY AIR AND SOUTH WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH REMAIN IN PLACE. WIND SPEEDS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ANY INCREASES THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY AFTER A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH NORTH TEXAS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Wow. Talk about dry...DW Hooks this afternoon... 2010.12.13 1953 UTC Wind Variable at 5 MPH (4 KT) Visibility 10 mile(s) Sky conditions clear Temperature 55.9 F (13.3 C) Dew Point 12.9 F (-10.6 C) Relative Humidity 17% Pressure (altimeter) 30.24 in. Hg (1024 hPa) ob KDWH 131953Z VRB04KT 10SM CLR 13/M11 A3024 RMK AO2 SLP239 T01331106 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Wow. Talk about dry...DW Hooks this afternoon... 2010.12.13 1953 UTC Wind Variable at 5 MPH (4 KT) Visibility 10 mile(s) Sky conditions clear Temperature 55.9 F (13.3 C) Dew Point 12.9 F (-10.6 C) Relative Humidity 17% Pressure (altimeter) 30.24 in. Hg (1024 hPa) ob KDWH 131953Z VRB04KT 10SM CLR 13/M11 A3024 RMK AO2 SLP239 T01331106 we've now hit 61/10 here... RH of 13% no news of any fires, thankfully, and winds are light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Portastorm Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Sadly, the PNA shows no signs of becoming positive any time soon. Dry, dry, and more dry for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Portastorm Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Interesting factoids from NWSFO EWX today: .CLIMATE THE DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER PERIODS ARE LISTED BELOW FOR AUSTIN...DEL RIO AND SAN ANTONIO. AUSTIN MABRY HAS HAD 0.76 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER 16TH. THIS IS SO FAR THE 2ND DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER OF RECORD AT AUSTIN MABRY. BY DECEMBER 31ST...2010...THE FINAL FIGURES MAY CHANGE. FOR AUSTIN MABRY THE DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER RAINFALL FROM 1856 THROUGH 2009 IS LISTED BELOW. 1. 0.62 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1950 2. 1.08 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1886 3. 1.30 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1894 4. 1.58 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1966 5. 1.59 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1924 AUSTIN BERGSTROM HAS HAD 0.98 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER 16TH. THIS IS SO FAR THE 3RD DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER OF RECORD AT AUSTIN BERGSTROM. BY DECEMBER 31ST...2010...THE FINAL FIGURES MAY CHANGE. FOR AUSTIN BERGSTROM THE DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER RAINFALL FROM 1942 THROUGH 2009 IS LISTED BELOW. 1. 0.53 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1950 2. 0.97 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1947 3. 1.55 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1951 4. 1.69 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 2008 5. 2.12 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1954 DEL RIO HAS HAD 0.02 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER 16TH. THIS IS SO FAR THE DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER OF RECORD AT DEL RIO. BY DECEMBER 31ST...2010...THE FINAL FIGURES MAY CHANGE. FOR DEL RIO THE DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER RAINFALL FROM 1906 THROUGH 2009 IS LISTED BELOW. 1. 0.03 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1917 2. 0.04 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1950 3. 0.16 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1915 4. 0.18 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1970 5. 0.40 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1999 SAN ANTONIO HAS HAD 0.43 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER 16TH. THIS IS SO FAR THE 2ND DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER OF RECORD AT SAN ANTONIO. BY DECEMBER 31ST...2010...THE FINAL FIGURES MAY CHANGE. FOR SAN ANTONIO THE DRIEST OCTOBER TO DECEMBER RAINFALL FROM 1871 THROUGH 2009 IS LISTED BELOW. 1. 0.24 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1950 2. 0.52 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 2008 3. 0.91 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1901 4. 0.93 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1894 5. 1.14 OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 1995 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 910 PM CST THU FEB 24 2011 ...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT... ...NORTHWESTERN PARTS OF THE REGION STILL ENDURING EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS... ...DRY WEATHER PERSISTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS... SYNOPSIS... FEBRUARY STARTED OUT ON A FRIGID NOTE AND THE FIRST TWO WEEKS OF THE MONTH WERE UNSEASONABLY COLD. THE LAST WEEK HAS TRENDED MUCH WARMER. OVERALL...FEBRUARY HAS BEEN DRY WITH MOST OF THE PRIMARY AND SECONDARY CLIMATE SITES REPORTING RAINFALL UNDER AN INCH. RAINFALL TODAY WAS GENERALLY LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. BELOW ARE TWO TABLES WITH RAINFALL FOR THE CLIMATE SITES FOR FEBRUARY AND RAINFALL FOR THE PERIOD JANUARY 17 THROUGH FEBRUARY 24. THE NORMAL RAINFALL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD IS AROUND 3.50 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE REGION TO AROUND 4.25 INCHES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SITE FEBRUARY RAIN JAN 17 - FEB 24 RAIN IAH 0.69 2.72# HOU 0.34 2.81# CLL 0.55 0.63 GLS 0.66 1.83 SGR 0.75 2.15 UTS 0.36 1.17 CXO 0.57 2.14 DWH 0.29 0.75 PSX 0.72 2.23 LVJ 0.35 2.37 # IAH 1.94 INCHES OF RAIN ON 1/24 HOU 2.40 INCHES OF RAIN ON 1/24 OVER THE LAST 27 DAYS...BOTH INTERCONTINENTAL AND HOBBY AIRPORT RECEIVED LESS THAN AN INCH OF RAIN. OTHER RAINFALL TOTALS FOR COMMUNITIES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS FOR THE MONTH OF FEBRUARY...THROUGH FEBRUARY 23RD: COMMUNITY RAIN ANAHUAC 0.77 BAYTOWN 0.48 BELLVILLE 0.65 BRENHAM 0.81 CLEVELAND 0.80 COLUMBUS 0.61 CROCKETT 0.49 DANEVANG 0.62 KATY 0.05 MADISONVILLE 2.35 RICHMOND 0.53 SOMERVILLE 0.40 WASH STATE PARK 0.60 WHARTON 0.83 AS OF FEBRUARY FEBRUARY 22ND 2011...THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR SHOWED MUCH OF THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS IN EXTREME DROUGHT OR D-3. THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE REGION RECEIVED SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN IN JANUARY AND CONDITIONS VARY BETWEEN MODERATE DROUGHT AND ABNORMALLY DRY. BELOW IS A LIST OF COUNTIES AND THEIR RESPECTIVE CLASSIFICATION AS DESIGNATED BY THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR AS OF FEBRUARY 15TH: D-3 D-2 D-1 D-0 EXTREME SEVERE MODERATE ABNORMALLY DROUGHT DROUGHT DROUGHT DRY AUSTIN MONTGOMERY JACKSON BRAZORIA BRAZOS COLORADO LIBERTY CHAMBERS BURLESON SAN JACINTO WHARTON FORT BEND GRIMES GALVESTON HOUSTON HARRIS MADISON MATAGORDA POLK TRINITY WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATIONS BELOW IS A BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF EACH DROUGHT CLASSIFICATION: D4 EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT - EXCEPTIONAL OR WIDESPREAD CROP/PASTURE LOSS A SHORTAGE OF WATER IN RESERVOIRS AND STREAMS CREATING A WATER EMERGENCY. D3 EXTREME DROUGHT - MAJOR CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES. WIDESPREAD WATER SHORTAGES AND RESTRICTIONS. D2 SEVERE DROUGHT - CROP OR PASTURE LOSSES LIKELY. SOME WATER SHORTAGES COMMON AND SOME WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. D1 MODERATE DROUGHT - SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES. RESERVOIRS OR WELLS LOW. VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS IMPOSED. D0 ABNORMALLY DRY - SHORT TERM DRYNESS. PLANT GROWTH SLOWS. MINOR WATER DEFICITS. FOR FURTHER CLARIFICATION...SEE EITHER (ALL LINKS IN LOWER CASE) HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/DM_STATE.HTM?TX.S OR FOR THE ENTIRE COUNTRY SEE...HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML. CLIMATE SUMMARY... CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN QUITE DRY SINCE OCTOBER 2008. THE OVERALL TREND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS WILL BE DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS THROUGH SPRING AND WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS SUMMER. SUMMARY OF IMPACTS... AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS... COLD WEATHER DAMAGED WINTER ANNUAL GRASSES...VEGETABLES AND CITRUS CROPS. LIVESTOCK WERE QUICKLY DEPLETING HAY SUPPLIES AND PRODUCERS WERE BRINGING IN ALFALFA HAY. SPRING CROPS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PLANTED IN A FEW WEEKS. WHEAT WAS IN FAIR CONDITION. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU (ALL LOWER CASE). FIRE DANGER IMPACTS... 100 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE WAS LESS THAN 50 PERCENT GENERALLY NORTH OF A SEGNO TO HOUSTON TO BRENHAM LINE. THE MOISTURE CONTENT IN 1000 HOUR DEAD FUEL WAS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT WEST OF A LIVINGSTON TO HOUSTON TO PALACIOS LINE. THE DAILY FIRE MAP AND FIVE DAY AVERAGES SHOW A MODERATE RISK FOR FIRE DANGER ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. COOLER WEATHER AND RAIN EARLIER IN THE MONTH HAS HELPED TO LOWER KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. VALUES BETWEEN 700 AND 800 ARE CRITICAL AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. THERE ARE NO COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH A KBDI VALUE OVER 600. THE 8 TO 14 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK SHOWS CONDITIONS TO REMAIN WARM AND DRY SO THE KBDI VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THROUGH THE END OF THE MONTH. BELOW IS A TABLE WITH KBDI VALUES (2/24/2011): 500-600 400-500 300-400 200-300 BRAZOS AUSTIN BRAZORIA FORT BEND BURLESON COLORADO MONTGOMERY HARRIS GRIMES HOUSTON MATAGORDA LIBERTY MADISON WALKER POLK WASHINGTON WALLER SAN JACINTO TRINITY WHARTON (SEE THE LINK...ALL LOWER CASE HTTP://WEBGIS.TAMU.EDU/TFS/ KBDI_DAILY/ KBDICOUNTY.PNG). RESTRICTIONS/ACTIONS... BURN BANS ARE MAKING A COMEBACK DUE TO DRY GROUND FUELS. ON THURSDAY FEBRUARY 17TH...A GRASS FIRE CONSUMED 100 ACRES NEAR ORCHARD TEXAS IN FORT BEND COUNTY. VEGETATION KILLED BY THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES IN EARLY FEBRUARY HAVE DRIED AND ARE THE PERFECT TINDER. ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE WEB SITE ON FEBRUARY 24 2011...(HTTP://TFSFRP.TAMU.EDU/WILDFIRES/ DECBAN.PNG)...A BURN BAN IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES: AUSTIN...BRAZOS...GRIMES...LIBERTY...MADISON...WALLER...WASHINGTON AND WHARTON. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN VIGILANT WHEN DOING ANY OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES WHICH INVOLVE FIRE OR SPARKS...BY MAKING SURE WATER IS QUICKLY AVAILABLE IF AN UNWANTED FIRE OR SMOLDERING BEGIN. HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... RIVER LEVELS HAVE BEGUN TO FALL AND AREA RESERVOIRS LOCATED IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE REGION HAVE BEGUN TO DROP. WATERSHED CAPACITY LAKE LIVINGSTON 100.0 PERCENT LAKE CONROE 93.3 PERCENT HOUSTON COUNTY LAKE 97.2 PERCENT LAKE HOUSTON 100.0 PERCENT LAKE SOMERVILLE 86.3 PERCENT LAKE TEXANA 79.2 PERCENT WATER RESTRICTIONS...NONE AT THIS TIME. PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS OVERNIGHT. CONSIDERABLY DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL FILTER INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS. MOISTURE WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY AND A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN. NEITHER OF THE TWO IMPENDING RAIN EVENTS WILL BRING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAIN. THE FIRST WEEK OF MARCH LOOKS WARM AND DRY. THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR AROUND MARCH 3 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TXWXCHX Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 And... we're BACK! It's Red Flag Weather again... 000FNUS54 KFWD 261040 FWFFWD FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TEXAS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 440 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2011 .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO THIS MORNING WILL RESULT IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON. EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REGION BUT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. A DRYLINE WILL SURGE EASTWARD SUNDAY EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR I-35 BY MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AND HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE DRYLINE. THIS WILL LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE AREA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PORTIONS OF THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING LATER TODAY. TXZ119-262200- DALLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DALLAS 440 AM CST SAT FEB 26 2011 TODAY TONIGHT SUN CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (+15) 61 (+18) 80 RH % (24H TREND) 51 (+13) 97 (-3) 51 20FT WND-AM(MPH) SE 8 S 10 20FT WND-PM(MPH) S 13 S 9 S 14 MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 934 1106 MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3064 3627 TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 S 13 SUNSHINE HOURS 5 3 REMARKS...NONE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHSnow Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Is the drought over down there in Texas? It seems like you guys have been getting more rain recently with all of the panhandle hook type storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Is the drought over down there in Texas? It seems like you guys have been getting more rain recently with all of the panhandle hook type storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 Is the drought over down there in Texas? It seems like you guys have been getting more rain recently with all of the panhandle hook type storms. We did ok in mid Winter, but we are definetly back on a dry trend, the last severe maker was well North of I-10, the next severe maker is well North of I-10. Not looking too good immediate future along/South of I-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Major problems out near Amarillo, and a major fire near Midland also. WOUS44 KAMA 272153 CCA FRWAMA TXC381-280115- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FIRE WARNING...CORRECTED AMARILLO/POTTER/RANDALL OFFICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX 349 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011 THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE AMARILLO/POTTER/RANDALL OFFICE OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. A MANDATORY EVACUATION ORDER HAS BEEN ISSUED DUE TO A WILDFIRE THREATENING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: RICHLAND ACRES...RANCH ACRES...AND CANYON COUNTRY CLUB...AND THEN ALSO FOR TIMBERCREEK CANYON...PALISADES...TANGLE AIRE...AND LAKE TANGLEWOOD. RESIDENTS SHOULD EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY. RESIDENT EVACUATING THE WILDFIRES IN THE WILLOW CREEK AREA SHOULD REPORT TO THE RECEIVING POINT AT THE PLEASANT VALLEY METHODIST CHURCH AT 316 VALLEY. THE RECEIVING POINT FOR THOSE RESIDENT EVACUATING FROM THE SOUTH WILDFIRES IS THE COWBOY CHURCH AT WASHINGTON STREET AND LOOP 335 (HOLLYWOOD ROAD). $$ SCHNEIDER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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