Winter 2011-2012: The monthly breakdown: METHODOLOGY: Used rough ENSO analogs (neutral ENSO to weak Nina summer going into weak/moderate Nina), coupled with NAO analogs based on correlation to -NAO summers (-NAO summer can imply a -NAO winter) (EDIT: I thought this correlation had more merit when catching the discussion on it... have since discounted this "reasoning" and went with the low Sun activity explanation) along with a -PDO and weighted accordingly. Not all analogs fit the NA