Chicago Storm Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 5-6 days out...good enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Yeah it's probably time. Obviously morphology/severity still in question but the odds of something happening look pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 6:50 PM, Hoosier said: Yeah it's probably time. Obviously morphology/severity still in question but the odds of something happening look pretty good. Wow, you're brave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 12z euro has a lake cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 6:50 PM, ayuud said: 12z euro has a lake cutter Not really a Lakes Cutter... but it does bomb out. NW OH fringes the whole time it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Question for someone who knows the technical stuff more....Why is the storm so far north if the trough digs way down to LA? I thought that would place the low in central KY maybe? I don't understand how that works very well though...Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 your gutsy Chicago storm..... so looks like the euro takes the low just south of here in Flora in the lakes cutter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Only 979mb... only. Can't wait to see 6hr charts for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Well there goes this storm thanks to Joe lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 TS, you should make the thread for the clipper. I think it's on the 8th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Euro is a high impact event for sure. Given the pressure gradient around 50 mb, strong CAA and the 850 mb wind prog, could probably throw out the B word for some areas should this verify. Still a long ways to go but at least some exciting times of tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Well, we have the NOGAPS, GGEM, and ECMWF are in rough agreement. Waiting on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:21 PM, Hoosier said: Euro is a high impact event for sure. Given the pressure gradient around 50 mb, strong CAA and the 850 mb wind prog, could probably throw out the B word for some areas should this verify. Still a long ways to go but at least some exciting times of tracking. Yeah, even the 0z EMCWF had 30+kt winds for a large area... so that would be pretty intense winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Possibly some accumulating snow for our neck of the woods next week. I will be tracking it also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman99 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:29 PM, Jim Martin said: Possibly some accumulating snow for our neck of the woods next week. I will be tracking it also. Be nice if St Louis would get smacked instead of the ususal rain or nothing, lol. Euro would have a decent track, probably start as rain then chengeover. Anxious to see the 6 hr maps from Accuwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 The euro solution looks pretty sexy. I wouldn't mind a high impact storm as a graduation gift but it's still 5 days out so I'm not getting my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:27 PM, csnavywx said: Well, we have the NOGAPS, GGEM, and ECMWF are in rough agreement. Waiting on the GFS. FIM is onboard as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:27 PM, csnavywx said: Well, we have the NOGAPS, GGEM, and ECMWF are in rough agreement. Waiting on the GFS. a good number of the GFS ensembles were on board too in one way or the other in the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:37 PM, JoMo said: FIM is onboard as well. Care to provide a link. forget about that model. The brazilian too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:41 PM, Stevo6899 said: Care to provide a link. forget about that model. The brazilian too! Why the He11 would you even look at the Brazilian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:41 PM, Stevo6899 said: Care to provide a link. forget about that model. The brazilian too! lol here.. top one on the left http://fim.noaa.gov/ I don't have the Brazilian or JMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Euro would give most all of us some love.. I'd lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 Well, it makes complete sense for the models to jump all over this storm now. A rapidly rising NAO signal (from strong negative) is almost always a good time for a storm, and with what's left of the NAO block shifting well east, this should end up being a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:53 PM, csnavywx said: Well, it makes complete sense for the models to jump all over this storm now. A rapidly rising NAO signal (from strong negative) is almost always a good time for a storm, and with what's left of the NAO block shifting well east, this should end up being a cutter. Is the first clipper moving the NAO further east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 I'll start a thread for the clipper at the end of the Euro.. j/k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 If this storm gets flushed down the toilet, direct your rotten tomatoes at me. I'm the one who suggested severing the storm discussion from the main Dec thread. Until then, YUM! And the EURO shows another clipper at D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:53 PM, csnavywx said: Well, it makes complete sense for the models to jump all over this storm now. A rapidly rising NAO signal (from strong negative) is almost always a good time for a storm, and with what's left of the NAO block shifting well east, this should end up being a cutter. I'm hoping the northern and southern s/ws stay disjointed enough to prevent an early phase/way west track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 "And the EURO show another clipper at D10." If my math is correct, that would be 5 clippers (this thread is coming down like a clipper) already this winter. I would assume clippers are popular in la nina years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 5, 2010 Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 7:53 PM, csnavywx said: Well, it makes complete sense for the models to jump all over this storm now. A rapidly rising NAO signal (from strong negative) is almost always a good time for a storm, and with what's left of the NAO block shifting well east, this should end up being a cutter. That's assuming the Euro is right with moving the block that fast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 5, 2010 Author Share Posted December 5, 2010 On 12/5/2010 at 6:59 PM, jhamps10 said: your gutsy Chicago storm..... Well, there's going to be a storm somewhere. It's just a matter whether or not it's enough to satisfy some of the posters. Might as well take the jump... On 12/5/2010 at 7:14 PM, Thundersnow12 said: Well there goes this storm thanks to Joe lol Dusting at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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