Hi all!
It's that time of year again! Time for the annual tropical forecast contest. I have a set of rules to share with everybody. There are two major parts to the contest.
1. Monthly forecast for the number of tropical systems in the following month
Give a forecast for the number of storms which reach at least tropical storm strength, at least hurricane strength, and major hurricane strength, for the following month. For example, I might give a forecast of 5.3 storms, 3.1 hurricanes, and 2.