Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Yes. My first ever storm thread. Let's see how it goes. GFS: Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Looks good for Fargo, LOL. Wouldn't be surprised to see the magical NW trend and nails the Dakotas. Another cutter, yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Was cautious about posting this thread...Thanks for doing the dirty work Moneyman! I think Jan 2004 was the last great Clipper in my neck of the woods. 10-14inches while only predicted for 1-3. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 No problem. Anyway I can edit the topic? Can't find out where I would do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 No problem. Anyway I can edit the topic? Can't find out where I would do that. Edit and then full edit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 No problem. Anyway I can edit the topic? Can't find out where I would do that. You should be able to edit the topic by clicking edit on your 1st post. Maybe we can manage to keep this system in one thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 DTX AFD UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY BRINGING A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS STILL SHOW A FAST BUT STRONG CLIPPER SYSTEM DROPPING ACROSS MICHIGAN FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 all the globals are showing something. lets see how your thread mojo is mr.money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 Thanks. Hopefully it can produce a good 3-5 inches of snow for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Thanks. Hopefully it can produce a good 3-5 inches of snow for some areas. As of now it looks like it could. Will be interesting to see how the models handle this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 8, 2011 Author Share Posted March 8, 2011 La Crosse AFD: PATTERN LOOKS TO BE EVOLVING INTO A FAIRLY QUICK MOVING ONE...WITH RIDGE/TROUGH FLIPPING EVERY OTHER DAY. THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT AT THIS TIME WITH A COUPLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT COULD BRING SOME PRECIPITATION TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE FIRST WOULD SPIN ACROSS THE AREA FRI/SAT AND THE NEXT ON MON. OF INTEREST IS THAT BOTH OF THESE SYSTEMS LOOK TO HAVE A TAP INTO SOME GULF MOISTURE...AND WARMER AIR. THUS...PCPN TYPE WILL BE A CONCERN. TOO EARLY TO REFINE ANY DETAILS...BUT TEMP PROFILES VIA X-SECTIONS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN...SNOW...SLEET...AND EVEN FREEZING RAIN //DEPENDING ON SFC TEMPS//. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS VIA THE GFS/EC CURRENTLY FAVOR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THESE WEATHER SYSTEMS COULD REQUIRE WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES IF THEY KEEP THEIR TRACKS/STRENGTHS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 FGF AFD CANADIAN GUIDANCE SEEMS TOO STRONG WITH FRIDAY SYSTEM...HAVE DISMISSED THIS GUIDANCE AND INSTEAD WILL DEAL WITH REASONABLY CONSISTENT AGREEMENT BETWIXT GFS/ECMWF. THESE OFFER A CLIPPER DRIVEN MIXED PCPN EVENT CHANGING TO SNOW DURING LATTER PART OF EVENT. GFS ABOUT 6 TO 12 HRS FASTER WITH THIS PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM (AS IS OFTEN THE CASE) WITH SOUTHEAST FORECAST AREA LIKELY TO RECEIVE MORE OF THE MIXED FOR A LONGER TIME. RATHER WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW COULD CAUSE TRAVEL CONCERNS IF PAIRED WITH MORE COPIOUS SNOWFALL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Hmmm, seems like the GFS is nicely amplified with it...down to 999 over southern L.MI, but get's quickly absorbed into the low to the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 DTX AFD Clipper system still on track to move through the central Great Lakes from Friday night into Saturday and have nudged pops up to 40-50 percent for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 DTX AFD Clipper system still on track to move through the central Great Lakes from Friday night into Saturday and have nudged pops up to 40-50 percent for Saturday. So excited lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 So excited lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 OT, but why is the NAM not updating? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 OT, but why is the NAM not updating? Not working for me either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 This clipper seems to be moving abotu 800mph on the EURO... With this kind of speed, I doubt its going to be able to lay down too much snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 This clipper seems to be moving abotu 800mph on the EURO... With this kind of speed, I doubt its going to be able to lay down too much snow. Yep...Really strong but to fast for most of us..On to Spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 GGEm still with the crazy low retrograding west, forcing the clipper north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 GGEm still with the crazy low retrograding west, forcing the clipper north. ukie looking the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Boy what a mess this is. That flat,progressive flow has energy slamming into energy across the northern US lol. I wonder if this pattern will stick around? Could be the clue to why the Euro's summer forecast was hot in the plains and upper midwest?(but that is for another thread). Should spell some cutoffs. Summer 2009 sucked balls...67 degrees on July 27th..The absolute worst summer ever..It was too cold and rainy. The annoying cut off lows just dropped the hammer on the summer warmth and replaced it with crappy cool days.. If that happens again Im done with this BS state and the crappy weather we are cursed with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Summer 2009 sucked balls...67 degrees on July 27th..The absolute worst summer ever..It was too cold and rainy. The annoying cut off lows just dropped the hammer on the summer warmth and replaced it with crappy cool days.. If that happens again Im done with this BS state and the crappy weather we are cursed with. Cursed? We have had good winters 3 out of last 4 winters. Summer last year had atlleast 15, 90 degree days it seems like. Severe weather isn't supposed to be that widespread up here and there was a tornado 1 mile from my last last year. Several other wind events too. Lets not get greedy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Cursed? We have had good winters 3 out of last 4 winters. Summer last year had atlleast 15, 90 degree days it seems like. Severe weather isn't supposed to be that widespread up here and there was a tornado 1 mile from my last last year. Several other wind events too. Lets not get greedy Your correct..My frustrations from summer 2009 still is fresh. Cursed....Well that's debatable and highly based on personal preference. Ill be honest..I love winter storms but I hate the cold( ) (makes no sense) I will take 90 degrees and dews in 60-70s any day over a Winter Storm. I guess I love severe and summer more. This should be in another thread or OT..But whenever I hear the words cut-off low and summer together..It brings back memories of BBQing in a hooded sweatshirt in mid July.. Never had to worry about about keeping the beer cold though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Summer 2009 sucked balls...67 degrees on July 27th..The absolute worst summer ever..It was too cold and rainy. The annoying cut off lows just dropped the hammer on the summer warmth and replaced it with crappy cool days.. If that happens again Im done with this BS state and the crappy weather we are cursed with. +200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 typical clipper blowing its load to the west of michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 typical clipper blowing its load to the west of michigan. It's March, which is unfavorable for clippers down this way anyways. At least ones that drop snow, so I am not too terribly surprised that its going to be a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted March 8, 2011 Share Posted March 8, 2011 Boy what a mess this is. That flat,progressive flow has energy slamming into energy across the northern US lol. I wonder if this pattern will stick around? Could be the clue to why the Euro's summer forecast was hot in the plains and upper midwest?(but that is for another thread). Should spell some cutoffs. Huh? I have both the euro weeklies and monthlies which run to September 1st. Sure they have the heat in the Plains ( mainly central/southern but not upper MW. Post here what i did elsewhere as to what the euro monthlies show.. Ridging in the central US back to the west coast with trough in the east. Near normal temps for most of us and trending towards above normal west/sw of here. June would offer the best shot at above normal atleast in the western half of the state ( MI ) as the ridge is more centered in the Plains ( Central/Southern ). April would offer the best shot at slightly below normal especially the farther east/ne you are from here. August has normal temps from MT/ne WY east across the Dakotas to Chicago and then Columbus on north with above normal to the south and west with the warmest departures from S.MO/KS back down into TX/NM/UT/ne AZ/NV. Slightly below near Canadian border from ne MT across N.ND/N.MN and the UP. Have a similar thing in July except everything is more nw to se with most of us near normal with slightly above from E.ND to MSP, Chicago, to Ft Wayne and then Cincy on south and west with normal north and east. The central Plains back to near the west coast look to roast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted March 9, 2011 Author Share Posted March 9, 2011 18z NAM. Too bad the surface temps are crap, otherwise this could be a nice 3-4 inch event. Total QPF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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