dankil13 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 per accu for me next week, chance of rain monday, tuesday, thursday, friday, saturday, sunday, monday This weather and the long-range outlook is depressing. Cold and/or rainy for 8 of the next 9 days. Any hopes for a pattern change in the near future? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 I'm surprised no one has mentioned the warmth and storms the GFS is advertising for Tuesday yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 I'm surprised no one has mentioned the warmth and storms the GFS is advertising for Tuesday yet... Everyone's burned out from this little 'fiasco' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 I'm surprised no one has mentioned the warmth and storms the GFS is advertising for Tuesday yet... One day transient warmth doesn't get it for me. Now a 3-5 day torch would make me happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 after temp. warm-up the chill still seems to be on the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 8-10 not too shabby with both actually looking pretty decent from day 6 onward AND bonus day 3-4 height rises (mother nature wants to spoil us) ecm actually has somewhat of a backdoor cold front look to it agan, but not as potent...one of those NE is in the 40s while we are still in the 60s variety both in agreement of troughing in Alaska//W US it's just minor details of NW Atl troughing MJO driven warmth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted April 1, 2011 Share Posted April 1, 2011 8-10 not too shabby with both actually looking pretty decent from day 6 onward AND bonus day 3-4 height rises (mother nature wants to spoil us) ecm actually has somewhat of a backdoor cold front look to it agan, but not as potent...one of those NE is in the 40s while we are still in the 60s variety both in agreement of troughing in Alaska//W US it's just minor details of NW Atl troughing MJO driven warmth? Yeah, the 12z Euro worries me a bit with that look later next week. Hopefully nothing like that occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 Today's 12z Euro has widespread upper 70s on the 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted April 2, 2011 Share Posted April 2, 2011 Today's 12z Euro has widespread upper 70s on the 11th. nice. 12z GFS shows the warmer day on the 10th (potential 70s) before FROPA. Unfortunately, these mini-torches last 24 hours at most........early next week, then this potential warm day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 After reading JB's and LC's columns, they couldn't be farther apart in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 After reading JB's and LC's columns, they couldn't be farther apart in the long range. What did each one say? I'm in the warm-up camp now with no more chances of snow until winter. Unfortunately, I was asleep when that coating of snow came. It would have been nice to see the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 mini torches "r" us next one on deck looks to be sunday/monday absolutely lovin the Alaska - W US troughing, just can't keep them to stay there and give us a week long SE ridge with 70s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 00Z ECM has the KPHL region getting to about 80 degrees on Monday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 00Z ECM has the KPHL region getting to about 80 degrees on Monday afternoon What does next week look like overall temp wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Given the euros warm bias I think the city gets into the upper 70's and the burbs mid-seventies on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 What does next week look like overall temp wise? Starts off very warm, then looks to go below to well-below normal by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 wow, roller coaster continues then locked cool? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 00Z ECM has the KPHL region getting to about 80 degrees on Monday afternoon Looks like it has the entire region in upper 70s/low 80s, followed by a few days of 60s/70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 6, 2011 Share Posted April 6, 2011 Its like the La Nina roller-coaster that everyone expected over the winter finally arrived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Just for fun, euro has been ahowig a fairly deep trough towards the 216-240 time range. Just some FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Starts off very warm, then looks to go below to well-below normal by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Starts off very warm, then looks to go below to well-below normal by the end of the week. I just want to put the heavy coat away sometime before May...is that so much to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The pattern next week is a classic MJO response along with the retrogression we have been seeing. I wouldn't be surprised if this system kicks off the beginnings of a -NAO pattern... a late season Heather A signal if you will. The core of the cold air in the northern stream on the 12z EC is between -10 and -18c at h85. If that were to drop in, I would have to say all bets are off as far as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The pattern next week is a classic MJO response along with the retrogression we have been seeing. I wouldn't be surprised if this system kicks off the beginnings of a -NAO pattern... a late season Heather A signal if you will. The core of the cold air in the northern stream on the 12z EC is between -10 and -18c at h85. If that were to drop in, I would have to say all bets are off as far as snow. Not sure what to say to this..Are you suggesting that that is a possibility? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 HM storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The pattern next week is a classic MJO response along with the retrogression we have been seeing. If only I could start figuring out when the MJO is going to dominate the pattern and when it isn't... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yes_Probably_Maybe_No Posted April 10, 2011 Share Posted April 10, 2011 A quickly dampening MJO bodes well for at least average temps for the time being assuming that weak phase 8 means little. Reforecast products (my new toy) suggest average to slightly above average temps (at 850) over the next week and then a pretty solid W Atl ridge extending into the E US by days 8-14. Better chance of lower temps and lower 500mb heights in the next week or so whereas by week 2 we are good to go for bbq weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 So, the Easter forecast is pretty tough. Either gradient flow and hope to get Easter between FROPAs or a full latitude trough sets up and temps are well below normal. Outside of the strat warming, which hasn't connected to the troposphere yet, there isn't a whole lot of forcing out there, either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 So, the Easter forecast is pretty tough. Either gradient flow and hope to get Easter between FROPAs or a full latitude trough sets up and temps are well below normal. Outside of the strat warming, which hasn't connected to the troposphere yet, there isn't a whole lot of forcing out there, either. I'll take my chances with the first of the two options, thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted April 16, 2011 Share Posted April 16, 2011 I know that we're well into spring and they don't mean as much in spring but, the teleconnections for the NAO, AO and PNA don't look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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