Omahawx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 CHicago storm or anyone that has the enhanced euro, tell me how much Omaha, NE gets in QPF. Plus that SREF model gives omaha .75+ thats a great leap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 MKE gets about 1 inch QPF. .75-1 inch line is from dubuque ene to dodge then just south of sheboygan. 1-1.25 inch line looks to be near mke janesville in that area. I'm right on the border of the .75 line which is defintley north of 12z. This is with the WAA snows though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 It's further north in spots, but also a hair south in spots as well. SLP was near Evansvile on 12Z..looks to be W. Kentucky on 00Z I wonder how it passes just south of Indianapolis then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Amazing that the Canadian may have been the first to have this same track as the EC is showing - days ago. that's a good point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Omaha is between .25-.5 qpf with waa snows etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Like the last few days, i'll create a list of cities/QPF and post it in a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 21z SREF 24hr precip at 87hrs... Don't mean to jump into the thread, but I figured I would alert you to the issue regarding the SREF being so much wetter than every other model..as I have noted myself. What you posted was the SREF maximum QPF, which takes the highest QPF of all of the ensemble members over any given location. The SREF mean QPF with individual member QPF is below. Enjoy and good luck with the storm dudes! http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SREF21PCNTOTUS_21z/f87.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Omaha is between .25-.5 qpf with waa snows etc. MSP? thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Certainly looks warmer with 2m temps for IND. Needless to say, LAF is very little snow via the Euro. Looks primarily zr/pl for here without knowing the specifics. I'd guess it's a sleetfest...some snow but no idea how much lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Don't mean to jump into the thread, but I figured I would alert you to the issue regarding the SREF being so much wetter than every other model..as I have noted myself. What you posted was the SREF maximum QPF, which takes the highest QPF of all of the ensemble members over any given location. The SREF mean QPF with individual member QPF is below. Enjoy and good luck with the storm dudes! http://www.meteo.psu...TUS_21z/f87.gif Earthlight! You are welcome here anytime. And I love the RSM qpf convective blobs--nice touch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 CHicago storm or anyone that has the enhanced euro, tell me how much Omaha, NE gets in QPF. Plus that SREF model gives omaha .75+ thats a great leap! .51 for oma .46 for oax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 and IND TUE 00Z 01-FEB -1.5 2.3 1021 73 88 0.02 558 541 TUE 06Z 01-FEB -3.6 3.3 1020 88 84 0.12 557 542 TUE 12Z 01-FEB -4.7 2.7 1021 90 87 0.14 558 542 TUE 18Z 01-FEB -4.4 3.5 1018 88 85 0.07 557 543 WED 00Z 02-FEB -2.7 2.8 1009 91 93 0.39 554 547 WED 06Z 02-FEB 3.4 4.7 997 96 76 0.53 543 545 WED 12Z 02-FEB -6.0 -9.1 1006 84 34 0.07 536 531 WED 18Z 02-FEB -4.2 -14.5 1018 66 74 0.04 538 523 THU 00Z 03-FEB -7.0 -13.8 1027 80 62 0.01 542 522 WAA gone wild, all the way to the surface, from 0z Wed to 6z Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 MSP looks to be around .25, maybe a bit less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 .30 for msp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 EURO says historic snow for Chicago...maybe 1.6 of liquid with great ratios. 2 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 WAA gone wild, all the way to the surface, from 0z Wed to 6z Wed. I doubt that verifies with that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 ORD gets 1.62" liquid with this run. with decent ratios that could come out to be 20"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm sort of in disbelief that a massive, crippling, historic winter storm is looking more and more likely. I guess if I had tracked models back in late December 1998 I would have been overwhelmed with the same sense of incredulity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
npcougar Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 WAA gone wild, all the way to the surface, from 0z Wed to 6z Wed. Thanks for posting that. Less ice is good, no snow is bad. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 MSP looks to be around .25, maybe a bit less. .30 for msp thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'd guess it's a sleetfest...some snow but no idea how much lol 32º line getting awfully close. I'd hedge little to no snow and then mostly zr with some sleet. Definitely the warmest of all the 0z models for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Don't mean to jump into the thread, but I figured I would alert you to the issue regarding the SREF being so much wetter than every other model..as I have noted myself. What you posted was the SREF maximum QPF, which takes the highest QPF of all of the ensemble members over any given location. The SREF mean QPF with individual member QPF is below. Enjoy and good luck with the storm dudes! http://www.meteo.psu...TUS_21z/f87.gif Thanks man. Yeah I should have clarified that better when I originally posted. I think the most useful aspect of it is to show where the best precip potential lies, as opposed to actual amounts displayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 32º line getting awfully close. I'd hedge little to no snow and then mostly zr with some sleet. Definitely the warmest of all the 0z models for us. Relax...there's no way we're going above freezing and I doubt IND will either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm sort of in disbelief that a massive, crippling, historic winter storm is looking more and more likely. I guess if I had tracked models back in late December 1998 I would have been overwhelmed with the same sense of incredulity. I'm rooting for you guys. Is this run of the Euro looking any better for me? I'm not expecting anything of the magntude you might get, but am hoping for 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm rooting for you guys. Is this run of the Euro looking any better for me? I'm not expecting anything of the magntude you might get, but am hoping for 10" I'd imagine you do quite well. It's a fair bit further north than the GFS and the GFS gave you a moderate snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm sort of in disbelief that a massive, crippling, historic winter storm is looking more and more likely. I guess if I had tracked models back in late December 1998 I would have been overwhelmed with the same sense of incredulity. I well remember the buildup to that storm. A Winter Storm watch was issued on New Years Eve, and I remember people talking about it on New Years Day. On the 2nd, the malls were crowded with people stocking up on food and even getting new boots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'm sort of in disbelief that a massive, crippling, historic winter storm is looking more and more likely. I guess if I had tracked models back in late December 1998 I would have been overwhelmed with the same sense of incredulity. I remember tracking the early January 1999 event mainly through the Ohio State Met weather page. I recall the old MRF (now GFS) showing that storm 9-10 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I'd imagine you do quite well. It's a fair bit further north than the GFS and the GFS gave you a moderate snowfall. lol. The 1999 storm was on a weekend...this will hit in the middle of the workweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 I well remember the buildup to that storm. A Winter Storm watch was issued on New Years Eve, and I remember people talking about it on New Years Day. On the 2nd, the malls were crowded with people stocking up on food and even getting new boots. I have the text of that watch in a picture frame on my desk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 GFK: 0.05" OMA: 0.51" MSP: 0.30" LSE: 0.39" DSM: 0.88" JLN: 1.30" OKC: 0.90" STL: 1.13" PAH: 1.16" PIA: 1.50" DVN: 1.32" MSN: 0.86" FLD: 0.69" MKE: 1.27" ORD: 1.62" LAF: 1.40" IND: 1.39" DAY: 1.36" CMH: 1.23" GRR: 1.26" DTW: 1.30" CLE: 1.44" YYZ: 1.20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.