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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree. My inference is that we are just beginning to shift and it should continue throughout the latter portion of this decade...but obviously recovery from the depth of this multidecadal nadir will take some time. -
Negative, I was mistaken. I was just looking over Aprils stats and see I had 4 days of highs in the 80s with the highest of 86 on 4/19.
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Nothing new about it. The only thing that is relatively new is constant "in your face" media and social media. Research the 1963 pine barrens fires. Research many of the other seasons with massive fires. The recent fire down here just has everyone on edge, and social media won't drop it. When you have droughts (1961-1966, 1998-2002, as examples,) all it takes is one idiot with a discarded cigarette, one arsonist, or one lightning strike as a catalyst for major fires. Add in some wind, and voila. Social media sometimes makes things seem unprecedented.... Don't fall for the nonsense. This is nothing new. Unfortunately, the new warning systems often act as alerts for arsonists to go out and wreak havoc (as mentioned in multiple state agency documents.)
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22 year old was killed in State College PA yesterday in the severe T-storms. Tragic. That bow echo looked pretty intense going through the area. Lots of downed tree reports. 30000+ without power in State College area as well.
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Over 12 hours without power here in Monroeville. 215,679 customers without power on the Duquesne Light outage page.
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Tongue-in-cheek...I'm with you on that. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No, last season I was actually a bit too warm, but snowfall was pretty good. As much as I quibble with Chris, I have to credit him for the adjustments I made last season. Many of his posts on the changes we are seeing in the WPAC were very illuminating, and I was able to see why I have been busting cold and snowy the past couple of seasons in this regime. We often don't see eye to eye, but he definitely brings a lot to the table. I think he has the right idea generally speaking, but he is just a bit more aggressive with extrapolating larger scale changes forward than I am. -
Three minute downpour here.
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I stretched and put down a trace
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I attended that game in NY last June when the Orioles won 17-5. Yankee fans’ tears were delicious. Had no idea then that would be the peak for this group. Since that game, the Orioles are 53-66 (.445) and 11-21-5 in series play. In that same time, after a win the O’s are 19-34 with a .317 OBP and a 5.42 ERA.
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No much here 0.02”
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Wild ride in this morning through Allegheny County, roads closed, miles and miles of neighborhoods without power, no traffic lights / street lights. Debris everywhere. Some places looked like war torn hell-scapes.
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its been moving north we flood
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I thought some said we were done with frost and start planting Thursday Patchy frost before 7am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
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Central PA Spring 2025
Mount Joy Snowman replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
A muggy low of 67 here. No rain at all at my place but once I got a couple miles into my drive the roads were wet. Dew points should drop like a rock today. A beautiful couple days ahead before the rain arrives. -
So it looks like 0.10" from the "event", which IS pretty much spot on with the forecast from yesterday, as they said a tenth to a quarter inch. While it looked like the line was going to hold, it fizzled at I-81, but...we weren't really supposed to get the big storms here anyway. I had just hoped for a bit more rain for my newly emerging grass areas.
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Euro, euro-Ai, and icon still onboard. GGEM jumped onboard at 0z. Gfs still says no.
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Had a little bit of rain overnight sounded like more but only .04 I'll take it though
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60s all night, but CAA is kicking in now. 58° and dropping. Maybe u40s by 8a?
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AI agrees. But it’s not a prolonged thing on both models.
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Yep. Might be ok Saturday in some areas until late day. That’s what I’m hoping.
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Euro alone next week All of that may remain over mid Atlantic with the block and ridging
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Isn't this th3 5th wknd whereby all were rainers except last? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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61 for the low here. Glorious summer and the best season is here.