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hmm I read that temps were in the 30s with snow in Boston and snow and sleet in NYC? Is this the same Cat 2 1804 hurricane that went up through Connecticut near New Haven?

Ahhhhh my sinuses. First morning this week where I haven’t had to pop an allergy pill to get through the day. This rain was so badly needed.

Not even close to snow. The storm, and I say storm, was likely similar to Isias with majority of the energy due to baroclinic fourcing from a powerful trough interaction. While gusts in New York City, where the storm arrived that afternoon, initially blew towards the southeast, they soon shifted towards the north-northwest and coincided with a rapid drop in atmospheric pressure, which bottomed out at 977 mbar(28.87 inHg) by the early afternoon. Though the barometer at the weather station remained at that point for much of the afternoon, the air temperature plummeted rapidly from 55 °F (13 °C) to 42 °F (6 °C) during the same period.[10] A strong westerly circulation encouraged the swift eastward movement of the trough's northern segment, steering the track of the storm northeastward over New England.[11I’m

Don, was there a snow storm in the 1980s (somewhere around 1987), October 10th if I remember correctly that caused a lot of tree damage in the Hudson Valley? Did NYC get a trace out of that Don? That might be our earliest Trace of snow if so?

Periods of light rain here since last night have totaled 0.16”

He wanted to let the sun warm us up lol. rainy chilly days OMG

Nov 1st is pushing it-usually you need heat in the AM to take the chill off the house

yep and it can't really snow that time of year anyway warm and sunny and dry is the ideal Fall weather for me. When I was a teenager and younger during the 80s I used to shiver in early October because my parents refused to turn on the heat before October 15th, I really hated that lol. Before that when we lived in an apartment the landlord would not turn on the heat before November 1st-- even worse lol. Last fall was absolutely awesome and I didn't even think of turning on the heat until November 15th. I hate temperatures colder than the 70s without any heat.

I'll take it-winter is still long enough even with the warming....

Congrats on your best convection of 2025.

light pollution causes major health issues too (including 30% higher rates of cancer).

Remarkably, I am not aware of any earlier measurable snowfalls in NYC even prior to 1869.

Had to check our forecast before I commented, but this is one of the thought processes that I go through during the warm season. Like two days ago I have no qualms about going "showers likely" but once you get to today I ask myself what public perception is going to be. Are they going to step outside and say it's showering, or it's raining. If it's the latter, I make sure I change the wording from showers to rain. To that end, I almost always go "rain" when PoP is 75% or greater.

Thanks, any earlier hints in the historical data from the first half of the 1800s or even earlier Don?

what did you think of October-first half of November temps in the 70s and sunny are nice, save on heating lol

No. But NYC's earliest measurable snowfall occurred on October 15, 1876 when 0.5" fell. White Plains picked up 3".

Windy now though. Probably gusts 30ish or a bit higher.

and with the requisite bugs

ideal weather, rain one day a week, 70s and sun 6 days a week

Feels like it’s just bad luck at times. Although in 2015 many of the snow events were on the weekend haha.

over an inch of “just showers” so far

We'll see if those instantaneous rates start to tick up any. Right now the embedded stuff is just starting to top 1"/hr, so maybe 0.20" with how fast they are moving.

Back on February 21, I noted: Even worse, when PNA+ ridges grow too strong during the second half of February—pushing to +1.500 or above—they often play the role of a harsh gatekeeper, shutting the door on any chance of a major snowstorm for the rest of the snow season in the New York City area. Winter 2024-2025 will again challenge that "gatekeeper." In the 12 previous cases since 1950, New York City saw no major snowstorms once the PNA reached +1.500 during the February 15-29 period. For me, a "significant" snowstorm is 6" or more and a "major" snowstorm is 10" or more. It's now time to look back to see how things fared following late February's super PNA+ ridge. Unfortunately, there were no snowstorms whatsoever. There was not even a trace of snow. New York City's last snowfall of the 2024-2025 season occurred on February 20th when 0.4" fell.

I think satellites and light pollution are your biggest problem haha

This is the grungiest warm sector I believe I've ever seen in actual observations.. 60/59, south of the warm boundary ? yeeeah I thought those GFS solutions had to be too pessimistic but here we are. I guess it's not a complaint - we just had 4 days back to back of 70 to 80 with lower DPs. The weekend timing thing ...? mm I think read somewhere that there's been a statistical research demonstrating that weekend are more fucked that weekdays over the perennial averages. Which is interesting because there are only 2 weekend days vs 5, so even if the spread is slightly in favor in the numbers .. .that means the weekend shit shows are overcoming significantly stacked odds to ensure people are persecuted. haha