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That G might pop into a O

there must be quite a bit of damage up in the mountain from the storm. I can smell it. I smelled it last night and this morning. The smell of fresh cut leaves. This smell smells exactly like that time back in the 90's when we had that hail storm. We had hail on the ground 2 hours after the storm. And I spent 3 days raking up leaves, in early June from that storm. and that tree snapping an the sound of trees hitting the ground last evening was scary.

No, it isn't a fact...I, along with everyone else in this thread, is denying it. The graph I posed clearly shows no discernible difference, and continues to have ENSO triggered deviations from the longer term, multidecadal tendency.

Or throwing themselves off Noah’s ark.

Eh....actually the "overdone" trend has been limted largely to winter over the course of the past several years...these blocking episodes have had no problem coming to frution and producing during the spring. Not even being sarcastic, either.

There is a good deal of wind damage to trees in my area from last nights storm.

Im afraid I won't have power until the weekend

The PDO actually shifted during those years which is an undeniable fact. So there hasn’t been a continuous -PDO from 1998 to 2025 like we had from the 1950s to 1970s. So the character and duration of the PDO intervals is different from the mid to late 1900s.

NWS State College was late to the party again the 2nd time this year on Severe Thunderstorm Warning for my location. They issued the warning while the storm was already in progress at my location.

Of course the drought relief compes over the weekend Its a work week drought...the weekends have had folks throwing benders on Noah's ark.

Wow. Tragic https://www.wtaj.com/news/local-news/man-electrocuted-killed-after-storm-damaged-lines-in-centre-county/

Columbia 4/30/25, 8am. Already shorts-appropriate temps outside. Def had rain overnight but 0.00” in the gauge. Plants and grass nicely watered however.

LOL, looking at visible sat just now, the weather today is brought to you by the letter 'G', floating across southern Virginia.

Had a shower (no thunder) shortly after midnight, then again just around sunrise, but only 0.05 in the gauge. Guess that is better than zero. Currently 60.4/58.8 and cloudy at 8 am.

AFAIC, the PDO continues to cycle as it always has.....if we are still immersed in a -PDO cycle well into the next decade, then I'll reconsider. I am not trying to imply that you make baseless claims, so your presentation of peer reviewed literature doesn't suprise me. You and the identified authors may end up 1000% correct...I'm just not as condident that they will as you are.

Wet weather incoming - though not the crazy amounts that the Euro was spitting out. Also, those pretty blues out west in the Sierra? Yeah baby, a May snowstorm incoming to Mammoth this weekend:

Okay, large leap of faith on your part, as well as the authors of said studies.

His dry and warm forecast might be in trouble as well.

I said here . No one said some hill billy radiator wouldn’t get to 35 or something

0.17" of rain from a downpour early in the 2am hour that didn't wake me up due to there being no lightning with it.

How is the Friday pm & Saturday rain chance looking? My daughter’s softball league has a tournament this weekend, so the timing will determine if it happens or not. What the heck happened to the sunny & 65 this weekend that CTP had for days? The last day or so, the weekend forecast looks to have gone downhill!

Both way overdone as usual. Just like winter. Buyer beware. Won’t be any big deal

Now you know what to do come wintertime.

It’s not a leap of faith on my part since there were studies published about the +PDO shift around 2013 to 2015 and the jump in global temperatures. Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation https://www.nature.com/articles/ncomms11718 The negative phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), a dominant mode of multi-decadal variability of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Pacific, contributed to the reduced rate of global surface temperature warming in the early 2000s. A proposed mechanism for IPO multidecadal variability indicates that the presence of decadal timescale upper ocean heat content in the off-equatorial western tropical Pacific can provide conditions for an interannual El Niño/Southern Oscillation event to trigger a transition of tropical Pacific SSTs to the opposite IPO phase. Here we show that a decadal prediction initialized in 2013 simulates predicted Niño3.4 SSTs that have qualitatively tracked the observations through 2015. The year three to seven average prediction (2015–2019) from the 2013 initial state shows a transition to the positive phase of the IPO from the previous negative phase and a resumption of larger rates of global warming over the 2013–2022 period consistent with a positive IPO phase.