All Activity

Cincinnati area could see a second round of storms later this afternoon. good clearing in S indiana

87° on the car thermo just north of the river crossing in north CON. Usually it’s a 2° error so we’ll call it 85°.

1st 80F.

It has support. 0z GFS-Graphcast had the cutoff solution, euro-Ai, eps, icon, and 12z geps took a step toward it. Gfs has a cutoff also, just a different evolution and focused rain to our north.

Way overperformed, Got to 28C/82F my point was 23!! Humidex may be even moreso, 32C forecast was 24 at most. Feels like a nice blanket of heat despite the clouds. Winds are solid - steady 40 km/h gusts to 60 estimating.

Major wind kicked up like 30 minutes ago and I'm down around 67 degrees. But temps here maxed out at 73 or 74 and stayed there for hours, they couldn't get as high as yesterday.

Agree Euro looks more reasonable. Close to disaster in SW SNE though. It came NE a bit too. EPS does agree with the op.

Up to 85F in the Motor City, besting the 126 year old record of 83F.

Super gusty here today. 62°, but feels much cooler

Man, the Euro wants to keep an ULL parked over the eastern US all next and just dump on us for days on end. Far from any type of model consensus, as solutions run the gamut, but has shown up in varying forms on other runs. Verbatim would lead to the 10-day totals shown below. Something to keep an eye on as we move towards the weekend.

Euro mid range over amped bias kicking in again?

Just stepped out for a quick break and it is legitimately warm out. I haven't checked the current temps/dp yet, but I sense a touch of humidity (though not much).

Long range Euro but drought's over

lol at 84F at MVL. Might get a 50 degree diurnal.

Yep not terrible on the barrier islands actually. Long Beach made it up to 60. Winds are picking up though-JFK at 20mph this hour so right on the water might be nasty with blowing sand.

Southern NJ and PA flooded on the Euro

oh, it was the 06z GFS with that lewd west retro thing. But even this 12z idea strains cred for me by some. The 00z GFS is probably closer to what happens thu D10.

I feel that is unlikely to happen. It's bordering on absurd closing a NS/NF mid/ua low and then drilling almost to BUF. For one, that has never happened like that in the 35 years I've been privy to modeling technology - pretty much the whole way... In objective fairness, I suppose it is not IMpossible ... if the model's selling things that are, that would be a pretty bad deterministic tool, huh. But the unlikeliness being what it is ( based on history; based on 'wtf how could it' ), lends to an expose of error. I think the Euro is far in way more reasonable. I could see a weaker cut off getting caught in the ridge amber down there. That's not unusual, although it's perhaps at a slightly lower latitude than climo. It also dumps in a small portion of new dynamics, helping to regrograde. Personally...? I think there's some chance that it's all overblown.

Gorgeous pictures guys!

This has a 10% chance of verification:

52° is the greatest diurnal range I've recorded here, in Feb 2000 (29/-23). That month also had spreads of 49, 42 and 40. Fort Kent is the champ for my records, 38/-21 in Jan 1980 thanks to a strong (and wet) warm front. However, 2/2/76 was more spectacular, dropping 57° (46/-11) between noon and 8 PM, also 44 to -6 between 1 and 6 PM, on howling NW winds.

Yep, couple years ago I had one 'hollering' while on the phone (and the back door open) with my now wife (she was still living in CA at the time) and she heard it through the phone! She said 'what in the world was that?!?'

12z euro has 10” of rain in the next 2 weeks for central MD

She probably saw you naked.

How is retirement treating you?. Loving the increase in maps. Please stay retired.