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Air Florida disaster 44 years ago today. Heavy snow and inane deicing policies and a great snow day turned horrid

That’s like saying the Giants are better than the Jets

I’ve yet to ever even look at it

Don't get me wrong the scraps are tasty, but thought most of the more optimistic ens were keying in on the Sunday/Monday thing trending to more of a coastal as opposed to the extra lift from the trailing energy following that vort pass. Beggers can't be choosers either way

Now this we take… .

Yeah I will take scraps bro if this is the result-

For me it would depend how we get there....several 4" events? Pass.

You have to understand that us neutrals are salivating at the thought of Harbaugh in Pittsburgh and Tomlin in Baltimore.

I care about snow, not the date lol. The GFS keys on a different piece of energy every other run it seems. Lately its been 19th or 20th for our region or just north. 12z run-

I'm still watching....reason why I held off on a blog today.

It might have been me, lol. All kidding aside, I'd way rather be surrounded by a lot of snow in the long range than see no snow on the long range, as we all know ensemble means 10+ days out will change substantially.

I remember that. You did.

GFS OP has the storm just offshore for Sunday. It made the trough sharper so it’s closer

You care more about Tuesday then Sunday? I think I'd be more into trending this look into something more favorable than the scraps on the backside, but willing to be convinced.

The ens mean has been somewhat better, so lets see what it has. Still 6-7 days out

18z GFS definitely a step in the right direction. May the NW trend commence lol

Yeah nothing. GFS is so inconsistent and bad, and its the only model that offers any hope lol.

On the bright side, it’s Tuesday evening and we’re talking about Sunday, so still some time to go in the right direction.

What are we looking at this weekend for two locations? Blowing rock Beeche mountain? What is the best day for the two? Saturday and Sunday.

18z GFS trending to back the flow for Saturday night too:

Really like the trends on icon and gfs. Always felt the second storm had the better chance

I remember a similar map someone posted in Early December. December ended up just fine, through most of the forum.

Wilmington now on notice!

18z GFS was a step in the right direction, more digging and separation, looked really close to being a lot more for Sunday. Maybe ens will start to pick up.

Then you don’t like winter weather .Come back in May