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Analog 850 inflow is very wet for you. Some knew

Snow rooms: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/04/style/snow-rooms-home-technoalpin.html?unlocked_article_code=1.v1A.xAsJ.i6M32dlKAMai&smid=url-share

An additional .06 overnight brings the total here to 3.81" for the event. No standing water shows how dry it has been and that the ground soaked up every drop.

Incredible

The latest CFS (10 days of runs ens. mean) is at the highest of any I’ve saved with relative peaks way up at ~3.4 (Nov) and nearly 3.25 (SON and OND)! The record highest since 1950 are well below these: 1 month: 2.69 (Jan 1983), 2.56 (Dec 1982), 2.48 (Nov 2015), 2.44 (Oct 1997), and 2.43 (Nov 1997) 3 month: 2.52 (NDJ 1982-3), 2.49 (DJF 1982-3), 2.43 (OND 1982), 2.38 (SON 1997), and 2.37 (NDJ 2015-6) The most rapid monthly rates of warming of the mean is from July’s ~1.46 to Aug’s ~2.30, a warming of ~0.84, followed by a warming of ~0.70 from Aug’s ~2.30 to Sep’s ~3.00. So, the progged CFS rate of warming from July to Sep of ~1.54 will be the key period to see if the progged peak is actually going to verify closely. The record fastest 2 month warming is only ~1.3 (Nov 1954-Jan 1955 and Aug-Oct 1982). ———————— Note that they still show near record breaking rates of cooling Dec-Mar after these record shattering peaks with a mean plunge from Dec’s ~2.95 to Jan’s ~2.16 to Feb’s ~1.6 to Mar’s ~0.9. That 3 month progged cooling of ~2.05 Dec to Mar would be similar to the record rate of cooling for Dec to Mar of 1972-3, which was 1.87.

Anyway I hope you get this man Hit me back, just to chat Truly yours, your biggest fan This is Stein

I know the QBO will be positive...just looking for monthly numbers.

This is the latest RAOB update, the +QBO is still descending, now down to 40mb In other news, the +IOD gets going soon And the ++PMM continues @Gawx Has there ever been an El Niño event that saw the 30C isotherm end up east of the dateline? I know 1972, 1982, 1997 and 2015 didn’t do it….

Soaking rains in and around Taunton

There’s a new climate site for some of the pseudo-scientists on here to disagree with. “Built by former members of the team behind the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's popular Climate.gov website, Climate.us will keep climate information accurate, accessible, scientifically rigorous, and useful for the people who rely on it, including educators, students, journalists, scientists, community leaders, local and state decision-makers, and members of the public.“ https://www.climate.us

I alreadt chalked that up as a loss on Sunday when as we heard who was involved, lol Soiled it! Soiled it! Soiled it!

I called PPL and all they could say was sometime between today and Friday. The app still says today, the latest I was able to even find in the app was Thursday. I'm torn when I should just bite the bullet and get a room at the Springhill Suites by me. I think I'll try to wait till 6pm. I did a 1.5 mile walk around our neighborhood and nobody has even seen a ppl vehicle yet in the entire neighborhood and I managed to talk to about 20 people Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Tip of the cap.

2 inches over forecast. Some just don't listen.

Late but here! Numbers for June 2026. Averaged high was 80.4 degrees vs a normal of 80.3 degrees, a +0.1 degree above average. The warmest temp recorded was 90.1 degrees on the 13th. Averaged low temp was 57.0 degrees vs a normal of 57.3 degrees, a -0.3 degree below average. The coolest temp recorded was 46.1 degrees on the 3rd. Overall averaged temp was 68.7 degrees vs a normal of 68.8 degrees, a -0.1 degree below average. Total rainfall for the month was 3.16 inches vs a normal of 4.20 inches, -1.04 inches below average. The wettest day was the 15th with 0.93" falling. There were 12 days with measurable, 0 days with a 'T' and 18 dry days. The highest wind recorded was 41 mph on the 15th. There were 8 days with winds above 25 mph. Lots of variation during the month with warm and cool spells but surprisingly worked out to almost a perfect average. Again, the month ended drier than normal, bad trend ongoing. A special thanks to the folks that kept up with the numbers while I was traversing the country!

Just makes me think of upslope snow...we can fail at synoptic up there but upslope keeps us in the game

Looks like a good setup for severe to ride over the ridge.

Yeah, sounds like it. That’s the classic upslope rains… just soaking sheet small droplets and seem to add up faster than it should. Radar over you has been steady but also hasn’t looked like 1”+. That’s why I was surprised.

And we are back. Spent 12 days zig-zagging across the country and actually back a day early. Wife bought 2 bushels of green beans and 60 lbs of 'maters from an Amish farm a bit down from my sister's house in TN on Saturday. THEN decided we needed to get them home so she could process and can them all! Meanwhile I picked another 1/2 bushel of beans off of ours when I got home last evening. She's gonna be busy. Least the house was in decent shape from my niece staying here and watching over the cat. We live in a beautiful country, get off the interstates and drive the US and state routes, much more to see!

Power restored yesterday mid-day or so. In the evening I went past a long line of utility trucks along route 40, where I had posted earlier about a mile + stretch of poles that were mangled in one way or another, and they were getting toward the end of it.

enjoy.. some knew

Some knew.. you will have 3 by the time this is done.. congrats

Anyone have any insight as to if/when they are every going to calculate the QBO again? It hasn't updated since February and with each passing month it gets more difficult to select analogs with any degree of specificity. I wish they would just use the ERA 5 data base....

It’s been dumping that heavy , soaking small droplet rain all day. Has not stopped. . I ran in it this morning and it just keeps building overhead. The stuff adds up. No one could have seen or forecast that . It’s probably similar to the soaking upslope rains you get all the time. I’m not exactly sure, but I’d bet there’s some small scale upslope component to this stuff today

What a dumping in Falmouth! No rain gauge but the tumbler I left out has about 4” of water in it. Lots of flooded roads.