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The SER can probably arrange that. I should be careful about what I joke. Otherwise a bird in the hand sooner is always nice. If we get a Jan. thaw maybe February gives a winter encore. Kind of the Carvers Cossgrove hybrid winter. While La Nina is notorious for west first SER, the hemispheric pattern variability should deliver bouts of cold to the Southeast too.
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Southeast ridge "trapping systems"? I would love to hear him explain how that works.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dryslot replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That's what i don't want to hear -
Should I get excited about this winter? A lot of talk about below avg temps and above avg precipitation. Can't wait to start tracking again and eating popcorn watching people argue snowfall maps. This has been one boring summer/fall. Needs some weather excitement!
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
eduggs replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
This is an example of "progress blindness" with underlying aspects of negativity bias, availability heuristic, and confirmation bias. Long-range ensembles have never been as reliable as they are now. At the same time, they are not now and never previously have been particularly useful for sub-continental-scale pattern forecasting beyond day 10. -
Those numbers bode well up here/you as well as in Mappy's neck of the woods, on north. Pattern you posted screams more traditional Niña results i.e. a 40N winter. Which "used to mean" we "could" still pull out an event or 2 even with February H5 looking like what you posted. We'll see.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Anyways the Skynet ensembles have a much better H5 look towards the end vs EPS. Hopefully it’s right. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The guy talks about back breaking summer in late July from a CFS prog, then says winter “ain’t over till it’s over” because the gfs at hr 384 has a blue dot over Mount Pocono PA in late April. Get the eff out of here. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Most snow I ever had on 10/30 is 2011. RED FLAG - Today
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
More garbage -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
You forgot one….”If it wasn’t for the frieken Scooter Shit streak.” Now it’s complete. -
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I'd just as soon the cold arrive around/after December 7th, then hopefully give us 6 weeks into late January.
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Definitely with an negative epo pattern
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We’re definitely used to here with snow covering lush lawns. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
kdxken replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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poor thing
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That February pattern looks like shit the blinds, but if Arctic air is entrenched to our NW, we can get some CAD events.
