12km NAM is fun
SPC earlier, that is not your standard NE text
Additional, more robust, convection was also noted in eastern ON
this evening. The environment ahead of these severe storms remains
strongly unstable (MUCAPE 3000+ J/kg) and sheared. High-res imagery
from Canadian radars shows a mixed storm mode of supercells and
organized clusters, which is likely to continue as they approach and
cross the international border between 0300 and 0400 UTC. Given the
favorable environment and storm mode, a continued risk for mainly
hail and damaging winds is expected late this evening into the
overnight hours. Though a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.