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My hair? New to me.... Knee replacement, any cognitive test lately?

I think he was referring to potential systems further out in time.

Talking about melting catch up

Nonsense that ice prevents settling....it helps shield it from the sun, but the weight is still there.

What is your depth on top of garbage can or the old Buick? I guess BDL official readings are BS as well. FYI after the fluff I had 19 but that evaporated faster than your hair has.

Don't forget the table/form that BristolRI setup

Some pretty insane banding showing up on the hires RGEM

@Chris78 @CAPE we did need the pattern to relax some... the amount of blocking we had along with the +PNA -EPO was causing extreme suppression. The one significant precipitation event we've had in the last month came during a temporary -PNA. And this is not uncommon. I've said before that when I looked at every single 5"+ Baltimore snowstorm the majority of them did not come in frigid arctic regimes. And it becomes even more apparent if you just look at the 10"+ storms. There are several reasons for this. Big storms ride the thermal boundary and that means they are usually along the rain/snow line...not in the middle of an arctic airmass! We have to be somewhat near the warmth to win OR there has to be a wave amplifying enough to press the warm boundary back towards us! Waves don't amplify in a cold NW flow regime! There are some rare examples of super cold storms, we got one last week, but it requires so many rare things to time up perfectly...if that is the only way we get big snowstorms we would be in big big trouble. A lot of our big snowstorms came during periods that weren't that cold. Feb 83, Feb 87, Jan 2000, Feb 2006, Feb 2010, Jan 2011, Feb 2014, March 2015, Jan 2016 all came during periods that weren't arctic cold right around the time of the storm and most of them we even had to worry if it would even be cold enough! Way way way more of our big snowstorms come during "just cold enough" regimes not during our craziest coldest arctic airmasses. Those tend to be dry. We can luck our way into a frontal wave or weaker snow...smaller snowstorms are more common in these cold periods...and we've been perhaps unlucky not to get at least some of those during this latest period...but our true big snowstorms usually come during less cold periods. What's been especially frustrating over the last 10 years is a lot of the patterns that historically would provide us with chances of snowstorms...not cold but should be "just cold enough with a good track" ended up just too warm and when a perfect track system came alone it ended up a perfect track rainstorm. But that doesn't change the equation. It's been so long since we had a big region wide snowstorm during a pattern like Feb 2006 or Feb 2010 that it seems some are starting to think we need some big EPO/PNA ridge induced arctic airmass to get a big snowstorm but that's never been our typical path to a big snow. Most of our big snowstorms came during blocking regimes with a split flow under it and no arctic air anywhere (no NS to FCK up the flow) and some juiced up STJ wave came along with the perfect track and it was just barely cold enough to snow.

Torch

Awesome shot

Even Weather Underground is a weenie/having snow hallucinations...the sun is out. Yeah, a small accumulation Friday then a cold period w/the Superbowl Sunday would be a pretty solid winter weekend...

DC Metro area special on the 12z GOOFUS (kuchera for maximum impact); GFS has it falling mostly before 4AM

March snow has never been long lasting. If snow is lasting on the ground through roughly mid-March, it is generally because it has built up over the winter. 2018 a wee bit of an exception. Despite the snowfall, it wasn't cold. Here is my record: YYYY MM DD Low High Precip Snowfall Snow Depth 2018 3 1 38 62 2018 3 2 35 42 1.8 0.1 2018 3 3 35 46 1.23 0.0005 2018 3 4 33 44 0.0005 2018 3 5 32 39 0.0005 0.0005 2018 3 6 29 48 0.0005 2018 3 7 32 36 0.07 8.4 2018 3 8 30 46 1.21 0.7 7 2018 3 9 28 42 0.0005 5 2018 3 10 28 42 4 2018 3 11 28 47 2 2018 3 12 30 43 0.0005 1 2018 3 13 32 39 0.2 5.7 2 2018 3 14 29 44 0.6 0.3 3 2018 3 15 30 49 0.0005 2 2018 3 16 28 40 1 2018 3 17 26 47 T 2018 3 18 26 40 T 2018 3 19 25 44 T 2018 3 20 28 37 0.0005 T 2018 3 21 31 37 0.01 9.1 T 2018 3 22 31 49 1.44 4.5 13 2018 3 23 33 51 7 2018 3 24 33 49 4 2018 3 25 30 43 0.0005 1 2018 3 26 27 48 T 2018 3 27 26 45 T 2018 3 28 37 53 T 2018 3 29 44 52 T 2018 3 30 44 60 0.02 2018 3 31 39 60 2018 4 1 41 62 0.05 2018 4 2 29 42 0.4 6.1 6 2018 4 3 27 43 0.12 2 2018 4 4 40 55 0.23 T

Not reaching the ground here

Yes

Agreed. Again, can I get enough 4 to 8 inch events to hit 60"?? The "Holy Grail", apparently...

Latest HRRR throws a band right across I-70 for a few hours.

Uh, we had a January thaw from about 1/6-1/15: 2026-01-06 45 31 38.0 3.7 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-07 57 38 47.5 13.3 17 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-08 55 34 44.5 10.5 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-09 57 31 44.0 10.1 21 0 0.04 0.0 0 2026-01-10 50 43 46.5 12.7 18 0 0.96 0.0 0 2026-01-11 49 36 42.5 8.8 22 0 0.01 0.0 0 2026-01-12 45 30 37.5 3.9 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-13 51 28 39.5 6.0 25 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-14 57 44 50.5 17.1 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-01-15 45 25 35.0 1.7 30 0 0.03 T 0

Face it dude you live in a perpetual subsidence zone. Your climo snow is gained thru early and late season 4 to 8 inch events.

Actually I would say Eastern Tennessee is the King of the warm nose and North Carolina is the court Jester

I think the median 30-year March snowfall at NYC is about 1.5". The mean, which is skewed by a few snowier years, is about 4". Certainly areas outside NYC can do better. But March 2018 comes around once every 50 years. Sadly, March 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 are far more common.

All I'm asking for...give me 60" of snow in a season for once. That's Holy Grail now?

Feb average is 10.7 do we make it 4 months in a row?

For those inquiring about the depth of the Potomac ice, here's a shot from this am. Police and an airboat.

your cocorahs has 36.2 fyi, so its 38 even?