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Dear weather gods: Please don't give us another Valentines Day sleetstorm.

This was our 2nd winter in a row with the highest ranking CONUS snowfall occurring in the South. The common denominator between both winters has been overpowering 500 mb ridges in the Western U.S. and Canada. So the trough axis with this recent event was too far east with the ridge axis in the Western U.S. also too far east. Last winter the ridge was located more in Canada. The difference this winter has been while we still have a dominant Northern Stream like last winter, we had a 7 day period where the Southern Stream was able to become more active as the forcing shifted east of the Dateline like January 2022. This allowed the one classic benchmark storm track for the first NESIS KU type event with widespread 10”+ for the Northeast since January 2022. The hope for next winter is the potential El Niño development will give us more than a one week window of opportunity for benchmark storms. Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall for NEW BERN - COASTAL CAROLINA REGIONAL AIRPORT, NC Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 15.5 1965-01-31 0 2 13.0 2026-02-01 1 - 13.0 2026-01-31 0 - 13.0 1973-02-10 0 Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall for New Orleans Area, LA (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 8.0 2025-01-22 0 - 8.0 2025-01-21 1 2 2.7 1964-01-01 0 - 2.7 1963-12-31 0 3 2.0 1958-02-13 0 - 2.0 1958-02-12 0 Maximum 2-Day Total Snowfall for Mobile Area, AL (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 7.5 2025-01-22 0 - 7.5 2025-01-21 0 2 6.0 1895-02-15 0 3 5.0 1881-01-25 0 - 5.0 1881-01-24 0

Not liking this delay. Really want to avoid a cold April.

He didn't like my post lol. He messaged me...I might post it in banter.

Take a hike buddy

Maybe not the best year to tank in the NHL... Gavin McKenna case: Top NHL prospect from Penn State charged with assault - 6abc Philadelphia

Hopefully one more pass through 8 before the end of March. Although looking at this progression does not look promising.

Crappy road conditions this morning around Winston-Salem

Is the RNA preferable for snow chances after mid month, or just less detrimental?

Same here for Iredell, but teachers (wife) going on 3 hr delay.

If I were to break Feb roughly into thirds, this is how I would lay it out: First third (1-10th): Very cold/well below normal Second third: (11-20th): Milder risks, but not well above normal. -PNA Third (21-28th): Potentially return to colder than normal with established -WPO + blocking (this period more TBD). Not nearly as cold as the first third. Still -PNA

1/4in of snow here and falling steadily. I wasn't expecting that!

right now the GFS is alone with anything significant that ain't a cut or whiff, but all have something in that time frame that can pop, we'll see and maybe a convergence comes about for something good, at least we track...

@ravensrule you call my posts "shit" but you will eat your words when you spend 10 days with a bunch of nonsense analysis tracking a cutter rainstorm. Whereas my simple climo analysis will verify. We will revist this next week

6z GFS for next weekend has a snow to to mix/rain back to snow long duration scenario for CTP. Long way to go & many developments still to come in the upcoming days as we continue to track the potential.

Hopefully not. We'd be dealing with a lot of pot holes and even ice jams Not sure how bad the overall icing situation is though compared to 2015

Low of 7 in Marysville.

Yes, it sucks to not wake up to pretty snow maps, but it doesn't mean winter is over.

That Euro run last night makes no sense screaming a low like that the block . You’d have to think secondary at least with icing and probably even colder than that. That run is tossed

February 16

He probably puts the same amount of shit in his toilet every morning.

Imagine losing Stoutland and Fangio in the same offseason. Thank goodness Fangio decided to stay another year. Sounds like last year's dysfunction got to Stoutland, though, which is extremely disappointing. What a waste.

This has been some stretch of cold and snow pack. It will feel nice when those first mild temperatures arrive.

I had a quarter inch of snow myself. Roads are horrible in Haywood until you hit the interstate. Smokey park and Patton Avenue are very slick and roads in Arden are bad.

Not really much BN. They’ve just been torched.