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  2. H to the 3rd wipes out north of Route 2 tomorrow with a significant bow echo
  3. Still 69. Everyone’s favorite temperature. Time for a walk.
  4. An early summer preview is getting underway... Tomorrow through Thursday will feature exceptional early season warmth. Temperatures will likely peak in the 80s on all three days in most of the region. Records could be challenged on Wednesday. Some of the guidance suggests that the hot spots could approach or reach 90° during the height of the warmth. Long Island will be cooler with highs peaking in the 70s due to onshore breezes. However, there is a chance that Islip could approach or reach 80° on Wednesday. Following the bout of early season heat, readings will return to the 70s to end the week and start the weekend. Dry conditions will also persist. No rain is likely through at least Friday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -15.22 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.659 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.8° (3.1° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.8° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  5. At the airport dog park literally on the north end airport perimeter right off the runway 12L/30R threshold with a nice view of the miss south.
  6. Today
  7. This early in the season with a SW wind favors North and west. Probably NW of BDL or so
  8. Yeah sometimes these end up way faster or south/east of many mesos, we'll see
  9. verbatim it gets kicked back out and Thursday is warm but yeah that would suck RGEM has it too but much weaker more like RI/SEMA only
  10. My heat came on this morning set to 58°. Currently at 77° with a high of 78° - eastern most Westchester.
  11. 73. Beautiful. If you don’t like this you are seriously mentally ill
  12. Noticing a bit of budding/green-up underway on many tree species around here. Certainty seems 2-3 weeks early
  13. Clearing at 6pm right on cue. Maybe we can warm a bit this evening with a little WAA and mixing.
  14. Wow…look at that 8mph wind for Shabbs
  15. we've had snow in the air in interior SNE a half a dozen times since 2000, in the last 2 weeks of May. something that was not occurring nearly as frequently in the 200 years of white man climo before that. There's a reason why CC contributes to that... papers written. start the fight .. now!
  16. 5/9/2020 had snow in Central Park, which is nuts
  17. Nice tennis ball/baseball hailer south of Minneapolis this afternoon.
  18. Because there is not anymore left
  19. Stiff NW breeze off the water at Quabbin, and yet still a warm breeze
  20. Looks like the radar is back. Storms were loud but no hail. Some good gusts that knocked over all the trash cans on the street.
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