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Yea we all know his game. We don’t need Bill Bellichek scouting in binoculars to figure out the KFS tendencies.

With such intriguing EPS members, too soon to write it off .we wait till tomorrow afternoon

Fascinating that there is that gap from 3/23-3/31 for >6" storms. Presumably it's not "real" i.e., there's not enough statistical power in the data (when n's are 1 out of 156 years) to conclude that late March would be less likely than early April to have 6" snowfalls, plus it simply fails the common sense test, since late March is colder than early April.

In Columbia SC spring is when you turn the A/C on two or three days a week. Summer is when it's on 24/7, typically starts in May and lasts well into October.

In the last 20 years we had a 5" snowstorm the last week of Feb twice. That is definitely NOT our best week...but there are other weeks during winter where we've had only 1 or NONE...so why is it that week you are obsessed with?

2 months of cold 1 real snow storm lol

Sneakily light snows Friday night/ early Saturday?

Yeah I know. I'm just saying...this weeks feel like worse luck than other weeks call it a slight superstition or whatever. Like sports when a team just doesn't play well in a particular situation over decades. It's just like the "weekend rule"...snows more on the weekends than it does during the week!

dude do you realize how rare getting a 5" plus snowstorm is on any particular week? How often in the last 20 years have we had a 5" snowstorm ANY week?

W MA is definitely falling behind the rest of MA with seasonal snow totals.

i wouldn't completely rule out a scrape or it coming back a bit more. aren't the s/w's we're tracking like 5000 mi. away? or even developed? is everything properly sampled yet?

Some spots got over 2’ in the MLK storm, than 10-15” last weekend and 6 now.

I think a few people struggle with that on this board. But that's the nature of online debate and disagreement....

Turrible. Just turrible.

Belle 1976 without looking at anyone elses posts

Let me clarify by saying that when I say it doesn't happen often I'm talking primarily of snows that are warning-level (5"+ And I'm only speaking of the cities (i.e. BWI) not so much N&W. Sorry I didn't clarify that part. Now admittedly...what I don't know how to do is how to isolate Feb 20th-28th and last week of December to see just what fell each year. What's the best way to do that? I'm more than willing to take time to put the stats together I just don't know how. I need to see how many snowfalls over 5" we've gotten the last week of December and the last week of February AT BWI. And btw I'm not at all talking about March. We got 5" there several years ago.

Eskimo Joe says he would prefer it be -30

and @CoastalWx it's funny because i made a comment when i did the 2nd update in late Jan to the seasonal snowfall that S/SE Essex county was in a massive snow hole and probably had the biggest deficit of snowfall to date in SNE. It's almost as if mother nature saw this and was like welp lemme fill in that hole and even it out, but then went wayyy over board and now they're a snow bubble there, not a hole. Pretty wild. Rockport to Marblehead just got smoked after Jan 20th.

The Canadian ensembles might be the northern outliers now, while the EPS did a sharper cave back to consensus.

Pretty much all done with the snow/sleet pack down here.

We’ve dropped off… it’s been hovering in the 10-15th range since 1954 the past week or so. We were still top-5 after the big storm, but wind packing and Arctic cold dropped depths a bit right when other years pumped up. Good snowfall this afternoon on the upslope flow. Been around 1”/hr past 2-3 hours.

If it’s not gonna snow then it can be warm.

Yes, I don't think there is any one model that is currently more superior to the others, enough to trust on an island. Maybe the AI ones get there at some point. I'm just glad the Euro pulled the rug cleanly at 12z, rather than stringing some along painfully like late January.

It has been done.

The real problem is the propensity to lock on to whatever model has the snowiest solutions. We’ve seen it like 10 times this year. I love how each failed storm, we get a nice write up about why shitty model x,y,z is best to handle this and the other models Ill trend towards it. And as usual, it never happens. the euro had almost no support and completely gagged the solution away in one cycle. It shouldn’t be surprising to people that the only model showing a certain outcome was very likely wrong. We are turning a seasonal corner whether people want to admit that or not.