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That h5 energy euro had and gfs didn’t is now there so this probably is dead. But we shall see

Oh boy gfs is doing it again at least it looks like it

This is going to have some corrections inland. Not saying it’s going to be a big storm hit, but models in general stink with WAA-driven systems and tend to push them out to sea.

So now, just a tad flatter out front

GFS is running.

GFS looks pretty damn good

well that's a win

As far as the RGEM, it still shows 4-6" in Harlan and Bell Counties in SEKY. Oddly, that drops to around 3" in Lee and Wise Counties. 850's look fine overall for the aforementioned area's. Nam 3k looks pretty Jacked for these Area's. Looks a bit worrisome a bit further South. Model's have been all over the Place with the Setup so, right now, even at this close Range, we just don't know.

Gfs doing the old double down happy hour for Sunday.

Lowkey might be better

looks flatter to me on the H5 map

Is very bad to drink JI-bu's rum! Is very bad!

So far, so good thru 84

Yea we don’t really get the crazy surprise storms anymore. The models also do a better job at drying up northern stream systems as they cross the mountains. Those types of systems were a source of busts back in the day. One of the presentations at the AMS in New Orleans mentioned how there’s gradual improvements in modeling even up to day 10.

It’s totally out on Saturday though, which is probably a positive as far as the event goes

18Z AIGFS actually looks slightly better than 12z

Getting the goods but stuck in a windowless producer booth. Lame.

Same thru 69 69 heheheh

GFS still says a dusting for DC metro Friday morning. Looks nothing like other guidance for Saturday.

Wait ,what! Lol I didn't know Ray made a thread ! This thread is for "Sunday-Monday", and it seems like this one is possibly gone? WTF happened in the last few hours since Ray started this thread? Jeez, wasted cold weather in December now more cold on the way......hopefully models come back.

Actually work with a Pedro Serrano...

Related to this, you also didn't have all the various derived fields, etc., that these vendors now have.

Just grab a couple to turn it into winter again with the coming cold

GFS H5 basically the same thru 60

18z NAM would be great for west/middle TN especially north of 40, but with some many outcomes on the table, I'm not where to lean right now.