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  2. 14” is good for RVA. Flirts with Snow/Sleet line after initial dump.
  3. Point taken bro , I'll make sure to check it before I post
  4. Time for the GFS to do something dumb.
  5. It looks great for RIC. If the ICON is right a foot+ easy.
  6. Good start on the icon, although we could use another bump or two.
  7. When is the last time the VA southern border north to Albany NY had a foot of snow in the same storm? That has to be pretty rare.
  8. Euro is at the borderline now, 11 inches snow to an ice storm in 40 miles.
  9. Those will be the biggest runs of our lives!
  10. To clarify, I was comparing to 12z which is the last full run. The 18z didn't go all the way out. 0z is south of 12z.
  11. Geez 1.3” of QPF on ICON. The fetch off the Gulf on the 700RH map is awesome too.
  12. I haven’t looked too closely at that, but I would bet some slant-wise instability will be found somewhere in this. Bob showed a point sounding with a bit of MLCAPE which should promote a better opportunity for some thunder prospects. Considering the sounding Bob had, I would suspect the best chance would be across the Western Carolina’s up into Central VA within the primary 7H Frontgen pattern that materializes late-Sat PM into Sunday AM.
  13. Not that anyone cares per se but we now have a DCA/BWI/PHL/NYC hit. Just need Boston to complete the megalopolis quinella
  14. ICON north of 18z gets more precip north of the PA border. Looks like a warning level event verbatim. Let's see how the gfs fucks this up.
  15. The ICON was just brutal for Knoxville, 24 with heavy freezing rain over a solid snow pack.
  16. We haven't been to HECSville since Jan 24th 2016
  17. WAA almost always start earlier than modeled, let’s see what happens with the arctic air in place
  18. Way better look at h5 though with significant phasing out west. It kind of squirts just a little east at the end but it’s a much higher end look a couple panels before that.
  19. Checking in from Rocky Mount Virginia. Do we think ratios if things stop bleeding north would be higher than 10 to 1?
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