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It looks like it may just end up even stronger but I’m not sure if the track will change much, in our favor or otherwise

Yes, and I would love to break that streak. However, the early December snows, this storm and stretch of cold, this has been the most extended stretch of "winter look and feel" since 2015. I hope we get clobbered this weekend but also with @mikeeng92 and if we get some snow on snow (always feel dirty typing that) I am going to call this winter a raging success for RVA.

The irony, youre right back to knocking double digit storms & exaggeration bs. 2013-14 was a months-long big dog. DTW had two 10"-11" snowstorms in 1 week (Dec 31/Jan 1 & Jan 5/6) and had double digit snow depth for months. The Jan 5/6 storm had 12-18" in a band NW of Detroit. A 2 foot snowpack with 4-5' drifts during Feb was the peak of that insane winter. And no, Feb 1/2, 2015 DID NOT take 30+ hours to get to 17" (though even if it did, its still 17" of snow). A huge majority of it fell between 11am-8pm Feb 1st. If that is not a big dog, I dont EVER want to hear reference to another area getting a snowstorm of 17" or less as being a big dog. And lastly, no, GHDII was our moment. GHD1, ahhh yes the early days of the laughable kuchera maps. Storm was a bust but the exaggeration is wild. Forecast was 10-15" and the area saw 8-12". Kuchi maps of course were higher.

I just drove to work and wow....if you didn't know it, you might think the storm had just ended. The combination of all the sleet with the extreme cold has really locked everything into place.

WB 12K NAM HR 57 compared to 6Z clearly shows higher heights.

the mean track is much further east

If I hear “east” my body goes into convulsions .

That’s not the actual low track…not sure why it’s depicted that way. The low actually starts off the coast of Savannah (after a weak vestige near FL panhandle 12 hours earlier) It’s not over interior NC and moving northeast.

Last big one LI had I think was 2 feet at islip and 6” west of nyc

ok

They dealt with much bigger average depth and piles back in 2014-15 or is there more construction now over there?

As far as climatology Richmond is on a rather long streak of no major snow. When I say major I mean over 6 inches. There hasn't been that since Decber 2018. So, I really would like to see 7-8 inches at least, but I expect this is going to be another 4 inch storm after seeing the 6z Euro

I'm looking at the Western Lobe. Heights are higher, but won't mean much once that close ULL forms too far east.

To my untrained eye. Heights are rising !! Compared to 06z anyway

I like the trough orientation better than 6z with less press out front.

More vigorous wave than 6z as well.

That's crazy! I'm going to have to get out and about today to see the difference from where I'm at. Maybe if I was doing legit clearing/measuring the total would be different, but my little snowstake has been untouched and reflected a storm total of about 14" roundtrip. I'm probably no more than 8 miles max in a straight line from Portsmouth, Kittery and Dover and that seems like a huge difference. To be fair, we've got some massive snowbanks here and the plowing took some effort. It's not impossible that my stake is too close to the house/patio and has some sort of blocking going on, but who knows...?

Delay glitch on the graphics edit software- idk why graphical software providers haven't managed to fix this over the last 15 years....I can almost 100% guarantee that whoever created the graphic saw the corrected and spell-checked version before posting.....unfortunately the graphics program doesn't always register the corrected version that the end user sees

Might want to hold that thought.. 45 looking nice comparing it to 6z with flow backing and heights rising.

trueWeather posted this on Facebook. I do realize that every storm is different, but given the potential track that they are depicting it seems as though if the storm were to take this track the QPF would be further inland. No?

NAM looking to go Boom beginning at 45.. Major improvement on the digging and heights rising in the Northeast.

Ridge is a smidge bit taller out west as well. Noise at this point with the ridge and heights in the east

If it's a hit, you must acquit.