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And it continues. "Sigh"

Here's the continental composite using the 1861-1900 average to detrend. Note that a simple detrend, while helpful, still assumes that SST changes since then will scale linearly in terms of forcing (almost certainly not going to be the case). Nevertheless, the overall pattern makes it clear that the continent will mostly suffer from high frequency intrusion of downslope events, enhanced by anomalous moisture transport and a surplus moist static energy.

Despite the clouds / smoke still to 79 and a chance to extend the 90+ readings here.

Meanwhile Texas is getting absolutely crushed again

Fell short of any triple digits here in NW Philly yesterday but did make it up to 96 after a 73 low. it was still brutal with the humidity and dps into the upper 70s... until some convective outflow boundary from the upstate storms, washed down over the city and knocked the dps down almost 10 degrees. Currently hazy, smokey and 80 with dp 72,

July 16 2006: A heat burst occurs over west central and central Minnesota. The temperature at Canby jumped from 91 degrees to 100 degrees in 40 minutes from 10:35pm to 11:15pm. At the same time the dew point temperature dropped from 63 to 32 degrees. Heat bursts are caused by dying thunderstorms with very warm air aloft. 1963: A downpour falls at St. Charles, where half a foot of rain accumulates in one day. For Thursday, July 16, 2026 1920 - A severe hailstorm over parts of Antelope and Boone counties in Nebraska stripped trees of bark and foliage, ruined roofs, and broke nearly every window facing north. (The Weather Channel) 1946 - The temperature at Medford, OR, soared to an all-time high of 115 degrees to begin a two week heat wave. During that Oregon heat wave the mercury hit 100 degrees at Sexton Summit for the only time in forty years of records. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1975 - An early afternoon thunderstorm raked the east side of Tucson, AZ, with gale force winds, heavy rain, and numerous lightning strikes. A thirteen year old boy was swept through a forty foot long culvert by raging waters before being rescued. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms in the southwestern U.S. ended a record string of thirty-nine consecutive days of 100 degree heat at Tucson, AZ. A thunderstorm at Bullhead City, AZ, produced wind gusts to 70 mph reducing the visibility to near zero in blowing dust. Southerly winds gusting to 40 mph pushed temperature readings above 100 degrees in the Northern Plains. Rapid City, SD, reported a record high of 106 degrees, following a record low of 39 degrees just three days earlier. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty-seven cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 96 degrees at Bluefield, WV, and 104 degrees at Charleston WV were all-time records, and afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Binghamton, NY, 99 degrees at Elkins, WV, and 103 degrees at Pittsburgh PA, tied all- time records. Highs of 104 degrees at Baltimore, MD, and 105 degrees at Parkersburg WV were records for July, and Beckley, WV, equalled their record for July with a high of 94 degrees. Martinsburg, WV, was the hot spot in the nation with a reading of 107 degrees. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms raked the northeastern U.S. with large hail and damaging winds. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Showers and thunderstorms developing along a stationary front drenched the Middle Atlantic Coast States with heavy rain, causing flooding in some areas. More than five inches of rain was reported near Madison and Ferncliff, VA. Hot weather prevailed in Texas. San Angelo reported a record high of 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 16 Thu National Cherry Day 16 Thu World Snake Day 16 Thu Artificial Intelligence Appreciation Day 16 Thu Manu’a Cession Day (in lieu) 16 Thu National Atomic Veterans Day 16 Thu National Corn Fritters Day 16 Thu National D.R.E.S.S. Syndrome Day 16 Thu National Personal Chef Day 16 Thu National Wedding Invitation Day 16 Thu Our Lady of Mount Carmel 16 Thu Rural Transit Day 16 Thu The Feast of Our Lady of Mount Carmel 16 Thu Guinea Pig Appreciation Day 16 Thu Fresh Spinach Day

I couldn't smell it but you could definitely tell it was higher up as the sun was orange and sky was a very weird color. Hard to describe.

Not liking this new norm

I thought there was a backup like the old GOES but that was long ago probably not the same. Using WEST I can see our region but I want to zoom in even if its low-res.

More on the not mild 1877-8 in much of the E US: NYC using 1869-1900 for normals Dec 37.4 (+3.2) AN Jan 29.9 (-0.4) NN Feb 32.3 (+1.2) NN So, DJF +1.3 NN with only Dec warmer than normal and even it wasn’t a torch https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx @csnavywx

I just got back from the low country south carolina for 2 weeks so the humidity honestly doesn't feel that bad compared to down there lol it is hot though! Side note, I'm not asthmatic but I'm noticeably breathing heavier when doing activity already and my eyes are very irritated. Be careful out there everyone, I think it's only supposed to get worse today and tomorrow.

Not too happy about that honestly. Like ofc it goes down at a really critical time

While not the ideal angle, at least the NOAA GOES-West - All States page, combined with the PurpleAir data, gives an idea where the plume is?

The sun looks like it did in 2023

Gotta love how the satellite's out of commission indefinitely the one day it's needed especially bad, lol...

We smoked out again, wake and bake. Looks like Mars.

Smells like the height of summer.

The variability we have been getting into mid-July is more a function of the mid-latitude wave pattern doing its own thing relative to the tropics through mid-July with the strong -PDO +AMO summer 2020s background pattern. It’s a first for the developing super El Niño composite including 2023, 2015, 1997, 1982, and 1972. The current forcing from 150E to 30W is more impressive than both 2015 and 1997 combined. This doesn’t rule out intervals of IO to MC forcing into the winter. But it could be an early sign than the -PDO +AMO mid-latitude enhanced ridge pattern could overlap with the super El Niño composite going into the winter.

However in the SE US, as has often been the case with super El Niño winters, 1877-8, was actually near normal (mild Dec, cold Jan, and NN Feb). For example, Asheville was mild in Dec but then had a cold and snowy Jan (8.5” from 2 storms) followed by a NN Feb. DJF averaged NN. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=gsp Also, Augusta and Savannah averaged NN.

Right now at work. This is how smoky it is inside my brother's work in Imlay City.

Gunky/smoky. Just smells musty outside.

Honestly, I don't think we have another option.

Latest GOES-East update GOES-East, which is GOES-19, entered “Safehold” after a spacecraft anomaly. NOAA says the outage began at 4:23 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, July 15, 2026. All GOES-19 imagery and derived products are unavailable, including visible, infrared, water vapor and lightning data delivered to operational systems. What “Safehold” means Safehold is a protective spacecraft mode. The satellite automatically places itself in a stable, power-safe configuration when it detects a potentially serious problem. Normal observations and data transmission are usually suspended while engineers determine what triggered the event and carefully restore the spacecraft. NOAA’s latest official message says: Engineers confirmed GOES-19 is in Safehold. They are actively working to recover the satellite. The suspected source is the satellite or one of its instruments, rather than simply a website failure. The restoration time remains TBD, with no official recovery timeline yet. Is the satellite permanently damaged? There is no indication yet that GOES-19 is permanently lost. Safehold is designed specifically to protect a satellite during an anomaly. However, NOAA has not disclosed the underlying technical cause or provided an estimated return-to-service time. The most recent NOAA alert remains Update #1, issued July 15 at 6:16 p.m. EDT. No Update #2 or recovery announcement had been posted when I checked. What about the backup satellite? NOAA has GOES-16 in on-orbit storage as the designated backup for GOES-18 or GOES-19. It is positioned near 104.7°W, between the normal East and West locations. NOAA has not yet announced that GOES-16 is being activated or moved into the GOES-East position. Even when a backup is available, activating instruments, validating data and possibly repositioning the satellite can take time. There is also a separate NOAA STAR network-server problem disrupting some image production and website delivery. That issue may make NOAA web pages appear even more incomplete, but it is not the primary cause of the current GOES-East outage—the spacecraft itself is not transmitting data. Current status: GOES-19 remains in Safehold, all GOES-East products are unavailable, engineers are attempting recovery, and there is no estimated restoration time.

What is used instead for important matters that only visible sat products can provide? I can't ken this happening for so long before for GOES East.

3/4SM here, its smoky inside the building even, its so bad.