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  2. Yeah but you know why we aren't allowed to...people will not behave themselves and things will quickly devolve. Ya already see it in some of these responses. I think the reason for the rule is a conduct issue as opposed to a science one!
  3. Dude it was cloudy all day for the N 2/3 of state with flurries at times Start to finish . 33 was the high here
  4. I'm like Aretha Franklin, I got a new attitude...lol
  5. Plenty of other threads than the long range thread. Hiding posts from here on out.
  6. Yeah I guess I'm referring more to what NOVA and eve SOVA down Chill's way get. Those waves that are plenty cold enough but get suppressed just so to miss us. Further north boundary...further north snow?
  7. Maybe 18z GFS will give us some happy hour dopamine and we will all be happy again..
  8. 52 degrees here today. Was outside with just long sleeve shirt. Snow is melting but looks to be soaking into the ground ,don’t see any runoff.
  9. It'll be kind of hard to read back on your several hundred posts with similar back and forth emotions. Doesn't matter. It's done
  10. Notice that the social media influencer posted a single water vapor map. That makes it difficult for readers to verify the accuracy of the claims being made. There is no reference point for comparison. Therefore, no structural validation is possible. But that's life on social media today where anyone can slap "wx" into their handle and then forecast. In fact, based on the 6z, 12z, and 18z cycles, the opposite has been true through the course of much of today. That's why the models have pulled back somewhat on the northern extent of the QPF and track of the relatively weak system. It will likely remain weak, as the environment is not conducive to phasing, as has been a recurrent theme over several days of 500 mb vorticity maps. The NAM, Icon, and GFS have all pulled back, with the NAM and Icon continuing their evolution through the 18z cycle. The 18z GFS has yet to initialize. With the 12z GFS having been above the consensus and the ongoing evolution of the synoptic environment, I wouldn't be surprised if its forecast is trimmed at 18z, though that's not guaranteed. Overall, taking into consideration the guidance, inter-cycle shifts in the guidance, and EPS individual members, a 1"-2" snowfall still seems reasonable for the NYC area and immediate suburbs. A strip of somewhat higher amounts could cut across central NJ and parts of Long Island. Overnight into tomorrow, I suspect that the guidance will begin to consolidate at a consensus.
  11. Climate directly relates to weather and I think we should be allowed to talk about it here. Especially what it means for the weather we can expect going forward.
  12. Raleigh averages 4.5”. BWI averages 17”. Any southern sliders that hit Raleigh are few and far between. And they know that.
  13. My final point on this is this equation. Feel free to ignore it, discard it, call it wrong or whatever else. Just think through what it might be saying IF its true (which for the record it is and is in a textbook from a hundred years ago!)
  14. There better not be one flake from this storm or he’s in trouble.
  15. All CT airports were 37-43 for a high today.. and it was partly cloudy until 2-3pm
  16. This! @psuhoffman Not sure if your sae my other post, but I was asking about the samw thing: If we're headed for Raleigh climo then suppression would not longer be an issue, right? If the boundary is going further and further north...we should end up getting more southern sliders to hit us, right? Dec 2018 oughta be a hit in that scenario, lol
  17. Not most places . Inland was 30-35. Valley may have had late 36-37 No sun and flurries
  18. I hope, I can see this ticking back south again and we get cirrus.. would be nice to refresh everything, it looks horrible out now, all the piles are just brown..
  19. Blah warm up today. Might have hit 35 for a hot minute. Cloudy, spitting flakes all day. .
  20. Down to 7" Sun, 10" shade here .. ton of melting of the edges.. was sunny and 42 for a few hours.. went for a long run and have a little sunburn
  21. Go back and read what I said and kindly point out when I went off a cliff.
  22. Euro ensembles look cold and snowy for the end of the month. I believe if that PV actually splits that we see one more period of winter.
  23. that definitely makes sense even to a like me!
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