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The "trusty" ICON model highlight our next 2 winter "events" the first on Wednesday and the next on Friday night....

Yea looks like the heaviest rates are to the E/SE of the ROA valley. You all look to do a good bit better.

Snowing nicely in Gibsonville. .

There is a big difference between annoying and annoying as F**K, you are getting above annoying as F**K.

Neighborhood roads caving

Looking like the heaviest rates are going to be south of ROA for my direct area. Kind of a bummer there.

Hope it keeps stepping

It's cold enough to snow here, but too cold to snow. Perfect vort pass for the Roanoke to Richmond crew.

Edited to say it looked closer to having it this time...confluence appeared to be weaker. If that trend continues at Happy Hour it may have it?

Congrats central and S VA folks! Enjoy it!

Baby step toward euro. Sharper vort and less confluence. Has some light precip west of the mountains.

Not even close

Gfs is a fart in the wind.

Snowing nicely here in Danville near 86 and 29 .

GFS looks tried to have it but still shredded it...Closer look than last time though

it's got that suppression stink, hopefully the snowier solutions gain favor here over the next couple days

Well that’s all for this event folks. Precip orientation has now shifted NW to SE with this tail end, so that should effectively warm the air with Downsloping. Remember, no refunds allowed, please follow the exit signs accordingly as you get off the ride.

Elevation was key to early stickage in Powhatan. Higher elevation tops at windy hill and red lane hill where white, while lower areas around 288 and 711 had hardly anything, but this was an hour ago.

I don't mind a warmup. My kids need to play outside (and me). 30s and rain is just miserable weather, especially with young kids who have tons of energy.

AIFS has an interesting play as well on that dec 14thish system

https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/blowing-rock/ The webcam out of Blowing Rock is simply amazing with the snow in the trees.

I agree, just making a joke. Lol

Slow start here but steady mod snow now. Closing in on an inch but not there yet. Looks like the next 3-4 hours will be the bulk of the heaviest snowfall for me. 5" seems like a stretch though. 3-4" seems reasonable

Yeah I think that's exactly what's happening, also related to why this storm came further north than it was supposed to a few days ago. The HP seems to have been slower getting into place than originally modeled. You can see the dry air eating away the returns on the northern side as it's pushing South. The 3k NAM has precip eroding all the way back to 64 at one point this afternoon before the coastal takes over, but I'm choosing to ride the HRRR lol