All Activity

This storm is symbolic of the pattern the last few years. Is the Gulf of Mexico even capable of generating an impactful mid-Atlantic storm anymore?

12 INCH SNOWSTORMS IN DC SINCE 1930 Year Event DCA or IAD ≥12”? 1942 Late March 1942 storm ✅ DCA ~14" 1958 Feb 15–16, 1958 ✅ DCA 14.4" 1966 Jan 29, 1966 ✅ DCA ~12" 1971 Dec 30, 1970 – Jan 1, 1971 ✅ DCA ~15" 1979 Feb 18–19, 1979 (Presidents’ Day) ✅ DCA 18.7" 1996 Jan 6–8, 1996 ✅ DCA 17" / IAD 24" 2003 Feb 16–18, 2003 ✅ DCA 16.4" / IAD 22" 2009 Dec 18–19, 2009 ✅ DCA 16.4" 2010 Feb 5–6, 2010 (“Snowmageddon”) ✅ DCA 17.8" / IAD 32" 2016 Jan 22–24, 2016 (“Jonas”) ✅ DCA 17.8" / IAD 29" 2026 (?) Jan 14–16, 2026 (?) ✅ DCA 22" / IAD 34" (?)

WB 12Z GEFS, EPS, and AI ensemble, next light/moderate rain chance late weekend; early next week.

Seems to turn spotty once it passes Philly going from east to west...

75-78 Sunday will be hot

1.73 inch of rain here from the storm. Still nasty with gusty winds and on and off rain.

Yeah lets move that warm blob underneath the aleutians further east into GOA in the next couple of months, and we’re in business.

The nor'easter that brought heavy rainfall to the coastal plain is now poised to pull away. Some additional showers, periods of rain, and drizzle are likely overnight. Following the nor'easter, tomorrow will be mostly cloudy and mild. Clouds could break from west to east during the afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the lower 60s in many parts of the region. Wednesday will be partly sunny and milder with highs reaching the middle 60s. However, a fresh shot of cool air will move into the region late Wednesday or Wednesday night. Following the frontal passage, parts of the region could experience their coolest temperatures so far this fall. Dry conditions will likely prevail through the remainder of the week. In the 18 past years where Central Park saw at least two 80° or above highs and Newark saw at least two 84° or above highs during the first week of October, the temperature returned to 70° or above on at least one day during the second half of October in 17 (94.4%) of those cases. For all other cases, 84.1% saw at least one such high temperature during the second half of October. Therefore, the sharp cool spell very likely won't mean that New York City has seen its last 70° or above high temperature. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around October 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.42°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +7.15 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.345 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 63% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.8° (0.9° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Same here man, somehow I’ve been hit twice in the head!

Select rainfall amounts through 6 pm: Daily Record for October 13: Poughkeepsie: 1.89" (old record: 1.25", 2005)

Major coastal flooding in southern Queens and along the south shore of Long Island

wow massive flooding near Jamaica Bay both in southern Queens and SW Nassau. I have to wonder how much of this is because of climate change induced sea level rise? This storm, while strong, didn't seem to be strong enough to cause such a surge! Major flooding in Lindenhurst too.

First big snows NNE elevation Oct 20th within a day or 2

if a pop-up shower for 30 seconds in April is your thing, do it

yes

And interesting and sad highlight for the weenies in southern Alabama. They should expect below average snow. Snowfall down there is virtually zero. So - that means, negative snow! Accutrash is predicting negative snowfall. Are they supposed to produce snowfall to cover the deficit? I am a little more suspicious than usual.

They're loaded here too. Old folklore used to say that foretold a cold Winter. No proof of that whatsoever, however.

Now you’re going to make him do something naughty.

Drizzle rates have increased over the last hour or two. Total up to 0.16”. More to come. High of only 58F today.

Does that matter? Does a storm have to be memorable, impactful, or historic to be enjoyed.

0.22” of

yeah a good one, especially for the date. at winthrop/revere beach, I'd see roughly 6 sets of high-rolling white caps, gradually becoming more faint until the grey gloom unknown of rain-fog-spray obscured everything.

Accutrash came out with their winter forecast. Headline says cold and snow with northeasters, but actually predicts much below normal snow for the major EC cities. So we get the hype click bait and then switch. Got it. Since I think they suck, and they do, I’m going with that they bust somehow. Accuweather.com

Winter preview, I'm telling ya...NE nuked by a storm we all try to will to the coast, and these are the consolation flurries, lol

Yeah impactful at least, but just not too exciting. I suppose someone sees 8" or 12" of rain I guess that's exciting