A quick update before I head into work... shifted the forecast further south overall and tightened up the contouring in areas that have slightly higher confidence than the initial forecast.

This results in a virtual no-show north of DC aside from some flakes in the air to a dusting. Southern VA into northern NC will get rocked as the vort. max pushes through. There is a risk of this shifting even further south according to some of the hi-res models.