Jump to content
  • entries
    47
  • comment
    1
  • views
    3,135

About this blog

In this future, this blog will be used for forecasting snowstorms and their future impacts.  I will be using this blog for forecasting snowfall amounts and impacts from future nor'easter/blizzards and other types of snowstorms.  All other material will go in the other Once a Legend, Always a Legend blog.  Thank you!  Snowfall forecast for SNE will come in the early days of November.

Entries in this blog

Fascinating Weather heading for New England this week into the first week or longer of December - SNE WEATHER UPDATE!

Snowstorm threat has become slightly enhanced the last few cycles.  06z GFS went from .5" of QPF as snow next weekend to 1.7" of QPF as snow for the 18z GFS run.  The storm track is slowly becoming suppressed on the GFS, while the other models are spilt apart in their potential solutions.  We are still under six days away, and just over five days away from the impacts of the storm.  The first upper level vortexes are moving through by Wednesday with some mix of snow and rain showers.  SNE will s
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Weather might impact tailgating tomorrow, but not the game! - SNE WEATHER!

Today's 12z model runs showed a good sign that tomorrow's potent storm system might spare the game weather tomorrow for the Patriots and Cowboys meeting.  Given the 20z game time kickoff they could be spared the heaviest rains and a few showers might move through after the final horn.  Game temps will be raw, and nasty outside, cloudy and maybe misting.  40s for temps.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Weather could impact big NFL game between Cowboys and Patriots - SNE weather!

Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots 4:25 p.m. EST time on Sunday, November 24th, 2019 could feature a rather nasty weather day for football.  The game is going to be played at Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA.  A major coastal storm looks to track just west of the I95 corridor Saturday evening into Sunday night and could bring rather cool, rainy and windy weather.  Raw weather with temps in the mid-to-upper 40s.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Last half of November - upcoming New England pattern discussion!

I have drawn a graphic illustrating the next few weeks of the weather pattern across North America.  The northern hemisphere will favor a regime towards an evolving combination pattern of a -NAO/-AO/+PNA.  The red in the picture represents the presence of ridging in the mid-upper levels and the blue represents the troughing areas of low pressure in the mid to upper levels.  The ridging over western CONUS and eastern PAC ocean along with ridging across AK, to northwestern Canada northeastward to
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

It is a flash freeze kind of day! - New England

Today we will experience extreme weather at its finest.  Severe flash freeze is setting up to enter the region as soon as later this morning, when temperatures sweep west to east with a 20-30F temperature change in the next 18-20 hours.  It will happen suddenly with the change of the winds vector.  AS the warm balmy 50+ degree southwesterly winds will change to a violent northwest cold dry bone chilling cold arctic air howling over 30mph.  Rain will change to snow and temps will bottom out in th
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

North American Pattern details

Strong anomalously cold air heading towards the CONUS, eastern 2/3rds, east of the Rockies, Very warm air across SW CONUS, including the states of CA, NV and NM. Fire dangers will continue for the areas impacted to this date. Very little mountain snow/rain for CA, OR and WA.  MT to Great Lakes and Northeastern US will see above normal snowfall, perhaps quite intense snowfalls in the coming weeks November will bring snow and cold for most of the eastern CONUS Alaska
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Interior New England - no surprise first snowfall occurs late week

It is becoming increasingly clear, that the models are showing more confidence in an interior New England, mainly northwestern New England snowfall is going to happen later Thursday into Friday morning.  The quick nature of the system, what the weather world calls a progressive storm, is something that won't be spectacular by any stretch of the imagination, but could have some moderate travel impacts where it does indeed snow and accumulate.  The one thing that is blatantly obvious in the weathe
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Southern New England snow in the near future?

Models are still undecided on the details as well as the synoptic scale pattern evolving the next 4-5 days across the Northeastern US.  Residents should watch the evolving forecasts the next 36 hours across the area, but should not be alarmed, especially southeast of I-95 corridor.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Snow is a distinct potential in the 6-8 day range

Snow from a potential coastal storm is looking like a distinct potential, nothing serious or imminent, just a potential.  Given the long term nature of the snow event possibility and given how volatile models can be run to run, we need to wait to see some resemblance of consistency start to mount up in the coming days.  We just aren't there yet.  Cold is coming and perhaps arctic in origin.  That is as much a given as anything right now.  Have fun this weekend, enjoy in the climate weather, near
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Snow in the Seven Day Forecasts?????

Latest GFS and model consensus showing signs that winter is ready to make a return.  Today will begin the cold pouring into the eastern CONUS.  BY the end of the seven day forecast, next Friday, a coastal system is showing up on the models.  However, I am not sold on this potential at this time.  There is a lot of disagreement on the potential location and track and intensity of said storm.  We will know more by the end of the weekend into the Monday timeframe of next week.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Denver, Colorado metro could see a big snowstorm

**Alert Level** (High), potential snowstorm impact in the next three days, high! Parts of the Denver region could see multiple feet of snow in the mountains and in the city region.  Snowfall amounts of 10-30" is possible as the period ends 00z Wednesday, or Tuesday 8 pm EDT.  Multiple model consensus shows a strong trough entering CA now and moving over the area by Monday afternoon into Tuesday.  This will lead to leeward cyclogenesis to occur as the trough tilts more neutral.  This will le
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

ENSO Pattern looking more confident into Spring 2020

Multiple model consensus suggests that the current evolving pattern for the Equatorial Pacific Ocean basin wide is favoring neutral-ENSO pattern.  CPC suggests there is a more than 50/50 chance of a neutral ENSO persisting until Spring months of 2020.  This should favor a strong winter favoring above normal snowfall for eastern to central New England with a below average temperature climate.  Long range models suggest the pattern evolving this weekend will lead to a prolonged cold air mass.  Mor
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Models continue to show pattern change!

Hello southern New Englanders, this evening update is about the latest guidance showing a potential pattern change storm erupting in the 5-10 day range.  This storm signals the erupt change to a colder and maybe perhaps more stable pattern towards Halloween and the change into the month of November.  Deep cold is on tap for after the next week.  Stay Tuned!  Winter is still around the corner.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

US Upper Air Pattern could change in two weeks!

Models in the long range, are beginning to show a winter like pattern beginning late OCT, sometime after the 27th.  In the next two weeks of OCT, warm air is settling in after our mid-week miller B storm center offshore of MVY sometime WED night.  Cold air will dump into the central Northern CONUS north of 40 north latitude.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Cold Season weather today!

Today radar imagery shows Ocean Effect precipitation is developing and falling over the Outer Arm of Cape Cod this early afternoon.  Radar shows flow is out of the north to northwest with rather cooler air mass moving over the low 60 degree ocean waters over the bay.  Sprinkles and a few misty periods have developed.  Radar image below shows this well.https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-comp_radar-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

First Signs of Winter showing up!

Today, I have been sifting through the data and the guidance as of the 00z runs 10/3 and they are showing me the signs towards winter are upon us.  New England weather is rather volatile the further we get from the summer and we get deeper into the season of Fall and then winter.  As the holidays approach we are reminded how lucky we have been to live life as long as we have, and to have people who care about us in this world.  As the holidays approach we are reminded of this constantly.  As win
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0
×
×
  • Create New...