Typhoon Tip

Shorts and short-sleeves in full effect now... 76, almost no wind under a searing sun winning thru a smear of thinning cirrostrata and mare's tales. Even tho there is a blue balled Labradorian cold plume lurking up near Ray back porch it ooks and feels like straight up summer. I'm sure the door arrives here at some point over the next couple hours... Brain and Scott, your beloved Norways absolutely exploded overnight in town here. Since 2 days ago ...they went from vaguely discerned bud swell to full flower and even infant tiny leafs in those bouquets. Red maples are clearly flowering, too. Doesn't look so nuclear anymore. Forsythias obviously fully out. Lawns are greened and/or greening with some lengthening of grass stalk. Just saw a bumble bee hovering around in wonder - like a silent homage to a confusingly early air mass. CC does have it's moments in guilty dividends, huh ( hopefully that triggers Winterwolf and Ginxy into an entertaining back draft - )

PSM Apr 15, 10:55 am 54 51 92 ENE 8 0.75 Mist OVC003 1013.80 29.82 29.93 Apr 15, 9:55 am 53 51 93 E 7 1.00 Mist OVC003 1013.50 29.81 29.92 Apr 15, 8:55 am 60 59 96 N 3 2.00 Mist FEW004 BKN200 1012.10 29.77 29.88 Apr 15, 8:31 am 59 57 94 W 3 2.00 Mist FEW001 BKN200 1012.10 29.77 29.88 Apr 15, 8:14 am 59 57 94 N 0 0.50 Fog FEW001 BKN200 1011.70 29.76 29.87 You can see the BD, or whatever this backed in cold nuts shit is, in those top two rows... Temp fell back 7 F and the wind into the E. Thing is, the wind is only 8 kts after a half hour inside. Also, the sat loop shows the leading edge of the strata arc has slowed while attempting to move into Essex. These are either false indicators, or, they mean this thing isn't going to get very far SW over the mid day here. Have to now-cast which ...

OH f yeah. I lived in Rockport ( cold north Atlantic hiny cockport ) for year back in the day. You pretty much just assume there is no other reality but the stench of kelp and the distant wine of gull fly-bys, when there isn't the ghostly howl of hypothermic wind gust through telegraph lines. There's a couple of coffee breaks where something vaguely similar to continental summer merriment shows up from late June to early August ...along with droves of tourism... otherwise, that's a different climate driven salt culture out there, period. Ipswitch? mm... perhaps a hybrid of that but enough genetics to still look just as ugly. I guess tho - in fairness - once your stuck out there and accept it ? It kinda does have a charm. Then aspects like ocean fury and tidal challenges/Nor'easters can be fun.

Oh ...I see... that thrust thru the lower GOM waters nearing Essex appears to be around the backside of a weak meso-beta scale low scooting E along the stationary front. WPC at least analyzes that low below-left. Were they also analyze a standard boundary as a cfront along the VT/NH border as is illustrated. As usual, they don't acknowledge really the BD mechanics going on below-right. If the low moves east more that might terminate the momentum with that plume/BD aspect there but ... not sure how that all entangles with the main boundary. Plus the convective sewage coming out of NY is there, too

70 fwi temporarily w

really? heh. that sat image I posted looks pretty ominous... okay, we'll bide time

Oh yeah...that's coming ... It looks like it in this vantage https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

If that's the case we're probably doomed. Make it to noon, ... 1pm tops here in Ayer. Could be one of those days where it's 74 and dewy with sun, and then 2 hours later, jacket and slate misty sky weather. It's hard to say. Well, sore anus April climate tells us it's likely, but sometimes tho rarely ...fronts will dangle there.

I'd like to assess where the main boundary is toward evening. We may also distill the present status quo with new convection during the daylight today ? seems humid and warming fast, with a residual plumb/outflow propagating through NYS poised to move into this warming environment. Not sure if that holds together as a trigger or continues to fan out and ultimately disappears like sometimes happens as the sun fixes the atmosphere in the morning. Anyway, right now some of those NAM solution with BD from two days ago are proven false. WPC's analysis doesn't look anything like that... not that they do a very good job charting BD fronts, but given to the regional obs layout with wind and temperatures, the fronts not moving and is situated central NE with no observable evidence of its kinking/collapsing along the Maine coast - so far. Watch that... soon as PSM goes NE at 16kts and crashes to 52 ...we're doomed. Otherwise, if we do erupt, rain cooling will probably "team up" and the whole thing repositions south. Guidance et al not likely picking up on those kind of meso nuances. If things reposition south ...elevated rise over a make-shift boundary makes elevated instability more "enlightening"

Starting to wonder if this 10 days ends in a green up snow event for fuck sake

you went thru an interesting hour. I love that... Breeze boundary got close here and I watched as it attempted but lost against his SW breeze we got up here. Rare win ... But that boundary yo-yoed you

85

83

Lot of convective rains too.... Could be thundery warmth