Typhoon Tip

That weather tap rad product seems to bias "looking good" ... I see those in here, than go look at this, and it doesn't appeal like a west thrust. It appeals like this negation gap is once again pulsing the situation down, and the primary max band is stuck

I always thought it would be interesting as a result, albeit tediously torturous as a study journey, to see if there is a predictable 'storm geometric' pattern that does this. One perhaps based upon how far a region is radially situated from the cyclone fixes. It just more than merely seems in a-priori history that this happens. I don't believe it can be completely caused by topographical difference, particularly considering that this ongoing band (which appears to be degenerative in pulses) actually should be up-slope assisted. I'm inclined to think that if this storm's axis of motion were 70 mi closer, this gap would have filled more and/or repositioned elsewhere. It would be cool to be able to suggest ( more formally) that the climatology for a storm moving passed like this one today means that this zone of relative min is likelier.

Honestly they look like nuisance events. The fast moving thing on Wed appears to be a diffusely defined polar warm front-cold front bundle relaying through at the speed of CC baseline fast velocity (haha). It's not even modeled to have much QPF and it really shouldn't given that sort of synoptic passage. The one on Friday has trended S, because it is trading amplitude. It is weaker, to the point of being a fast narrow almost ANA ribbon look. That's usually one step away from capitulating to oblivion. Those don't typically do more than cost windshield detergent as one keeps up with grimy road mist. If it comes back a little more, it's still moving fast in a progressive foot and just has too low of a ceiling to matter. If it comes back even more... maybe fast moving overrunning deal.

S est vis 1/4 mi S/BL S est 6" so far.

Indexes broadly like March 10 as the end. It's obviously negotiable at this time range, but in so far as seeking a spring thrust ... on or around then. Melt and mud season sets in. Prior to, there's a signal for activity between 2nd and 5th of March. There's smaller sub-index variety maintenance disturbances ( ex, this Friday) prior to, but a larger retirement party correction event could manifest during that first week.

It might be starting to expose what was going on with these late corrections that seemed odd early in the day. That’s when the storm is bombing It’s strange, but it’s like when it bombs hyper contracts in the models

Pretty fascinating, snow growth explosion going on over the monadnocks as that cold east flow’s forced up slope

I just mean models, how the snow gradient almost goes down to a dusting where Brian is It’s probably gonna be OK but it just seems like it’s gonna get further north than that - satellite lies sometimes.

You’re probably gonna have a temperature crash there even if it’s only three or 5°. It’ll be enough to dry it out some… But yeah, you don’t want to have loading in the trees when the wind suddenly picks up, especially if it’s isallobaric because it’ll just accelerate really quick and then that can be a problem.

I tell you that’s one of the most eerie looking IR satellite loops I’ve seen associated with a coastal system There’s gonna have to be a hell of a lot of slantwise defamation in order for all that cold cloud tops to not snow in north of us.

Couple of random bigger lakes, now mixed in with the flipping prisms

Fascinating like they’re a little bit convective, narrow bands, ripping West Northwest

I think some of this north of that main three level green band down there might be a little bit enhanced by the ocean because these echoes seem to be moving west north west while the band down there is slowly inching north up underneath and as it comes north it just overwhelms everything

Pixie dust snow just started here It’s very light, but the sky’s with that glowing butterscotch color It just smells pregnant with snow out there…

I wonder if that non-thunderstorm wind damage/event in SC was related to any kind of sting jet/tropopheric folding...