Typhoon Tip

Not asking me ...but "month of threats" overstates that? The rhetoric should really be "month of diminishing returns, but that doesn't mean zero" - that's painting a more realistic and fair picture, when factoring climatology, both standard and definitely CC-fixing. I can coherently sense these increasing limitations in the recent guidance tenors.

"we" meaning in this area here Aside, the post was about 'warm being defeated' ... some were using snow as the observational proxy in that, which was dumb and proves a filtration bias in the first place because it was warm yesterday. Frankly, I care less about the snow stuff anyway. We did lose a substantial amount though. It looks like half..

We lost 1/2 fwiw -

I suspect this is a PR method though, developed out of a complex human equation containing lots and lots of complete dip-shit oblivion reasons. That is a large spectrum of Darwinisms that range from the higher thinking capacity of the mouth breathers, over to just general irresponsible apathy. Those hashing are not tapping our shoulders. They're trying to save those non-suspecting lives and this method may "solve" that equation above - or attempts to.

Still looks like a remarkably well handled back door front arrives to kill the fun like 9 pm flickering blue lights for tomorrow. It's true though that Thursday should really remove the remainder of flat expanse coverage down to mud and field if today doesn't. It'll be windy warm DP air with 60s out ahead of that front. It's the difference between dropping ice in the sink, versus then turning on the warm water.

Nahhh... everyone lost 1/3 to 1/2 of their snow under 68 F and beating sun, yesterday. Just because you can't yet see bare ground, doesn't mean warmth was defeated. Man, the filtration that goes on in here looks like reality rendering at times

Meh... stop seeking dopa in this engagement, you'll be fine. Seek that blue light psychotropic internet high through bipolar chart joy and that's what you get. LOL Anyway, it looks like the models are opting for something like a typical March changeability more than a real cold signal. And as typical, we've shed the deeper more persistent cold, much to some user bemusement ..., in lieu of cold fronts that rollout in time. You can see that.... 00z Euro's cold behind Thursday front has a smaller integral for amplitude and size than the 00z run from 24 hours prior. I said this was likely to happen... the -PNAP aspect of the -PNA would have a tendency to back off a little due to two aspects: models over amplitude correcting; seasonality approaching the Equinox. We'll see... the best hope for still getting something done before the 22nd ... 23rd ... would be a pinch low scenario. That's when the N/stream's brief knife pulls out, and there's some residual bagginess that then closes off...

That might actually be the most extreme I've seen a pure drainage/radiator night's temperature differences, ever, in this region. 48 at ORH to 31 here in the Nashoba Valley 40 now..

The PNA index could fit an even in there and it wouldn't be an egregious correlation ... However, given to the time of year and the tenor of the guidance combined, those factors lean me to thinking it's more a period with active cold fronts - each imparting testicle squeezes to spring/warm enthusiasts ... while simultaneously not doing jack shit for winter/cold holdouts - who probably would smugly take that as a win because their petty but that's something else. LOL

All springs do this ... possible exceptions being 2010 maybe 2012? otherwise, they never get warm and stay warm. They always lube you up with massages for 2 days, then pour ice water down your pants before running out the back door.

rgem with a bd too

That is a nasty nasty BD on the NAM... has Boston plummeting to the upper 30s on Wed ... 24 hour ahead of the main front. It's probably got boundary layer lag bias. It's the same reason why it can't warm the BL sufficiently at this time of year in general - today, etc..; they've sort of designed a model that over assesses the Ekman stuff. That said... it's also hard to argue BDs in eastern NE at any time of year, let alone f'um March.

60! warmest it's been since sometime in autumn

54 at Worcester... 39 at Fitchburg

Looks on vis loop like terrain induced, then venting down stream. Probably just needs the sun to work on the tow source and then it will dry out?