Typhoon Tip

actually these don't appear that impressive. there's not much shear organization. More pulse variety.

Cheshire Village area down there

True ...I haven't heard any news breaking out of that area tho so it might not have resulted as awesome as that scabby bowed radar looked. These rad products...I swear they're getting goosed for marketing click bate. That thing's rad Rembrandt looked like an atmospheric tsunamis of hail, rain ... leaves and roofing shingles on the leading edge of a-bomb p-wave.

looks like my high's 91 ... but with 72 DP it's definitely the highest HI of summer so far. We did get that 97 F day back in the heat wave early in May, but the DP in that was like 53 or something parched.

It might slip S of you even... but for the time being it looks like CT's under the gone as that one severe cell is now grouped into a cluster of CB/rad bombs moving ESE from S of Albany. Slow movement though..they may be terrain assisted.

well ...looks like the models are going to nail the idea of we get blazing heat with nothing to show for it here in the east. no shit -

If you're not in a flash flood watch or a derecho warning, your in a tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, or high heat advisory, from boston clear to cedar rapids. can't get any deeper into summer than that

https://phys.org/news/2026-06-earth-energy-imbalance.html

https://phys.org/news/2026-06-global-137c-earth-accumulating.html

Oh my god, I haven't been blue light social media over stimulated in 3 hours, there must be a dystopian wave of horror folding over the horizon

That's funny you wrote this... I was wondering how being +2 to +5 for 10 days isn't sustaining? I guess the subjective side of that needs to be brown out 100s for 10 straight days and with Locus swarms, brimstone and and booming voice from the heavens that says, "I don't like you!" lol

If anyone is forecasting based upon climate ( and I'm not saying that's what anyone or source actually did - ) they take risks to put it nicely. More of a philosophy of approach op ed: Climate shouldn't be used as much of any correction for any scenario. We look over all these modeling depictions and/or cinemas going out way in time.. comparing those to trends ( which trend is a lost/deeper art than most are aware frankly but that's another discussion - ), we get an idea of/what the biases may end up like. That's our prototype/beta forecast. Once we have that, we can/may/maybe should, reflect on whether or not climate should factor? Frankly, it won't factor very much. Why? because climate is a mean of everything that happens. It says nothing about the SDs that took place along the way - in fact... it hides them! Climate invocation should be limited to the obvious: it's probably won't snow in June; it probably won't be 90 in January - though revisit that in 30 years lol The fact that Climate Change is hugely coherent and objectively real, and cannot be denied by anyone that is not diluted ...eh hm, means that all the above is especially made more true. Because climate inference, itself, is problematic when the proverbial goal posts are moving - not just moving, but accelerating, too.

Wow, that's a mean lookin Dercho bitch about to unleash fury on Iowa City

sort of... As Brian was intimating, there was conjecture/interpretation for a cooler first half of June back whence. I personally give that the benefit of the doubt ( although privately ... there are those that falter implementation of any 'cold bullshit filter' so they may have a bias contribution that it's totally going so snow on July 20th ... weeee Excluding that contribution though ), but in doing so, was adding the notion: it seems that verifying warmer than guidance is overwhelmingly the observation compared to colder than guidance, regardless of future patterns being offered. I mean it may have even verified a cooler "looking" pattern, but for whatever reason ( probably CC, let's get real - ) your likely to flop on the warm side.

I can tell you these 'feel' correct... Approaching 10, and these have another update coming... so, 10 after 10 pushes this deep into stifling and prooobaly more warning level heat than just Advisory from about 1pm thru 5pm... I don't know what the time requirements are on the headlines so not criticizing there, per se... but if we tap 94 ..95/72, that's a damn sizzling HI. By the way, this region appears to be weirdly 2-3 F hotter than everywhere else at this particular time.