Typhoon Tip

I recall the 'omega' or omega quasi loading in the models going back 10 days though. The European heatwave,..not so much.

Right now is pretty close to flawless. If we were to break top 10ing down to the hour, this is a top 1 or 2 hour out of the year right now as we type and read.

77

74 here ... low was 51.

Discrete level synoptic observations re the late week/weekend thing This isn't the same or a very good analog in terms of behavior, nor anomaly intensity as 1977 May. Behaviorally, it's moving much faster comparing the present multi-model handling to back whence. It also appears to be shrinking in the cold anomalous depth as it is coming S. 1977 deepened some do to cyclogen height falls/feed-backs. Circumstantially, It's also not teleconnecting the same when considering the broader hemispheric mass-fields.

Didn't this happen last week? 80 to 90, Mon-Wed, followed by a piece of shit weekend? huh

all the way to 78 here in Ayer. wow. That 77 next door in KFIT's a pretty big MOS bust

I love that when that happens. We're suddenly alleviated here in the last hour. Steady morning rains bangin' away at the awnings had become sort of hypnotic. Somewhere between that state and a sun burst just splashed through the windows me must of finally escaped - or begun the break out process.

except that the trees will be dripping through 4 pm LOL

models keep insisting ...some more aggressively so than others, that the rains end and the sky parts over the next 3 hours, west to east. Even some hints at a rapid temp recovery. we'll see. Right now this band appears to be over performing compared to the NAM/Euro.

mm what stands out to me is that all these operational runs are wildly colder than their respective ensemble clusters at 850 mb by several degrees. Just a-priori on operational model guidance in meridian/slope flow types, they tend to carry an amplitude bias in the mid range to a significant correlation frequency. I'll concede if by hour 72 the means have deepened, otherwise for this type of synoptic hemisphere we've seen this kind of cold sell before.

June 6-10th ov/upper ma/ne

.45"

not sure about the resolution of this CPC product, nor therein ...how well it reflects the real physical state out there but this looks like the deeper warm plume's slightly shrinking