Typhoon Tip

There's been a BN pattern that's been pretty specifically attacking N/E of the Mason Dixie line latitude. One that is unrelenting. It's really just a variation of the same aspects that brought folks cold and snows through much of the winter. However, the last three weeks lost much of the high latitude blocking - as we move through March toward April it is more and more required that there be a direct cold air feeding into a snowing scenario. Blocking was a means to supply that direct source. What's left is a BN but not BN enough without that sourcing.

that was snark point... it takes a super dope phat bad ass nino to actually couple.

maybe a super nino will finally couple to the mid latitudes more convincingly.

ugly

https://phys.org/news/2026-03-planet.html "The amount of heat trapped by Earth reached record levels in 2025, with the consequences of such warming feared to last for thousands of years, the UN warned Monday."

I wouldn't trust warmth ... not that you are, just sayn'. Just an example, recall that 77 F two or so weeks back. It looked an awful lot like this 12z Euro run when it was 10 days out, too. It turned out to be one day's worth. Granted, it was a ginormous one day.. The thing with heat in the latter mids/ext ranges, it is about the least dependable anomaly of all them when it comes to early lead and staying power in the guidance. I'd put the infamous D9 Euro coastal bomb ahead of a warm pattern, particularly any lasting more than just an afternoon warm sector. They just get eaten at either end. Tweak the deep layer circulation mode a little and we BD and gobble 30 hours trying to erode it out on the front side...meanwhile, CC continues to instruct a faster than normal balanced geostrophic wind velocity problem which speeds things up 24 hours by the time it gets into short range. There's 2.5 days of your warm up, gone. Maybe not exactly but it's always something around here in the spring. Having said all that, there's a verifying tendency - so far - to revert back to an SPV gyrating around between Hudson Bay and Baffin Island... that's red flag for prick tease warm patterns.

Oh, it sounded at the time like people were comparing dick sizes on which region was dealing with the bigger cold vs heat. I probably didn't get the gist of the conversation right - which I'm not about to scroll back and review. lol. Standard deviation would settle it among scholars

It’s a means to determine which region is experiencing the greatest anomaly It’s the average of the deviation from the norm, which is climatology There is no flaw on that premise

There's scrutinizing data and findings, then there's false-equivalency in the application of information - most that are exposed/have access, do not know what to really do with that information. We live in an era now where commoners with limited or no academic exposure to the course work are being drowned in a tsunamis of information. However... without much or no academic/juried processing, there isn't much actual intelligence (how to reason with it) in how to use it.. Information alone does not make wisdom. Reality lurks in the latter. And it sure as shit does not make one righteous. Some percentage of those using the UHI argument are deniers that look like unbearable ignoramuses whenever they attempt to ply the argument. Some percentage just heard the argument at some point along the way and now sound byte it back at us. Neither of which realizes that CC is based upon a planetary integral that predates the construction of these urban engineering meccas. While no agency of adjudicated climate research either fails understanding, nor disputes that concrete and metal tends to augment temperature... that stuff is accounted for. There is no debate.

Just compare the standard deviations for the cold in Alaska, versus the heat in the southwest Whichever is of greater magnitude wins the debate

I have a small bit of Aspergers for shit like this ...whereby I remember things that are utterly useless haha... But it serves me once in while to see or sense patterns? I sense that you are probably located in a bad geographic circumstance in relation to elevation forcing - because every time you complain in that sort of same vein, it's a similar issue; this image looped shows that's actually trying to clear everywhere but those standing wave patterns are killing you

it's all or nothing and wholly sun dependent ... either it's sunny and 60, or clouds and wet at 37 seems the models are trying for another incremental step out around the 1st of the month. .. 10 days I guess of soothing cat paws to the napes in between fake warm coffee breaks.

It may end up just like today only 10° cold colder

We're just gonna have to get a +3SD ridge with SW flow punching underneath before these models finally, reluctantly stipulate to warming up N-E of the Mason Dixie ... That Euro run's an abomination. 85 in PHL and 35 in BOS and just holds like that for 4 days probably happens

I don't get it with these models sometimes ... why can't they just put up a few days that are like right now? 57, sunny, with just light breeze... You know, spring? wtf It's either got to be 6" of snow and hard nightly freezes, or 85 berzirko warmest ever