powderfreak

6.5”

Partly Sunny up north, ha. What a beauty of a radar.

Jesus Christ… that coastline swath of 2+ inches of potential SWE, lol.

Nice refresher. It had been a little while. Looks snowy outside.

@WxWatcher007 are you in SLK? Saw the ASOS had 0.37” SWE in two hours at 28F. 7.5” reported from there in like 4-5 hours.

This is some heavy snow, probably pushing 2”/hr though going to be over in a couple hours it seems.

Models are hellbent on 0.50-0.75" QPF... but man that is a narrow field of precip. It's already done in SYR and getting through ALB... and is probably still an hour or two away from starting here. Not sure I've seen such a narrow warm front try to put down that quick of a QPF burst.

The GFS makes sense.

Locally here in the MVL topography, we went from 0F this morning, to 42F this afternoon, and back down to 14F this evening. A 42-degree diurnal rise, then a 28-degree drop within a few hours of sundown. Classic for high pressure overhead for this time of year. What a day in NNE. Valley radiators mount up for large swings.

18z EURO, would sign up for the BTV to BOS axis.

I’d be surprised if ratios were 12:1… it’s pretty mild tomorrow initially when it moves in. Most spots could get to 34-38F depending on elevation before wet-bulbing… I’m leaning more pasty than 12:1.

If you’re not first, you’re last…

Most models like 0.50” or so for QPF for QPF here, some a tad more. Think we can do 4-7”.

Yeah that doesn’t bode well for anyone. 31/9 and full sun up here. Birds chirping. Feels like spring.

Lake Tahoe hasn’t seen a big storm in a while… signs that the pattern is shuffling after a month+ of consistency.