powderfreak

The GFS makes sense.

Locally here in the MVL topography, we went from 0F this morning, to 42F this afternoon, and back down to 14F this evening. A 42-degree diurnal rise, then a 28-degree drop within a few hours of sundown. Classic for high pressure overhead for this time of year. What a day in NNE. Valley radiators mount up for large swings.

18z EURO, would sign up for the BTV to BOS axis.

I’d be surprised if ratios were 12:1… it’s pretty mild tomorrow initially when it moves in. Most spots could get to 34-38F depending on elevation before wet-bulbing… I’m leaning more pasty than 12:1.

If you’re not first, you’re last…

Most models like 0.50” or so for QPF for QPF here, some a tad more. Think we can do 4-7”.

Yeah that doesn’t bode well for anyone. 31/9 and full sun up here. Birds chirping. Feels like spring.

Lake Tahoe hasn’t seen a big storm in a while… signs that the pattern is shuffling after a month+ of consistency.

1-3” for you at 1,000ft. Could see a sharp gradient from hilltop to like 300ft too. Like half inch slush at bottom vs 2.2” paste up at your spot. But man those thermals are tight. I’d toss 10:1 maps far and wide in this… what do the positive snow depth maps look like?

Those are some borderline thermals.

That stripe of like 0.75”+ QPF always seemed wild for the set up. The lower QPF seems to make sense. But part of me was looking forward to seeing what that looked like on radar.

38 ORH 48 HFD Big difference. Love the mesoscale variations.

The snowpack has stayed fresh, in all areas, for weeks on end. The lack of rain has been noteworthy, even up here.

It’s 34F and feels like t-shirt weather. -7.5 on the month for departure during climo minimum… above freezing now feels like a torch.

Next owner… “Titan Sports Financial Group - Win or Lose, We Turn The Profit Double Play. Our athletes may strikeout, but our investors never do.”