Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Models showing decent overrunning with snow to sleet to freezing rain to rain event. 0Z runs have beefed up qpf slightly and also cooled the surface due to a strong CAD signal. Interior areas have the best shot of hanging on to snow longer with the 7 h warming slower to advance however surface temps and the lower atmosphere support a sleet profile when the flip occurs. It appears slippery conditions will impact traveling Tuesday into Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Looks like our 4th wintry event. Not bad for 12/2-3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think betwen PHL and BWI may be the best corridor to be in for this event since these overrunning events often are best right near the base of the high pressure system but I think we could see surprising snow or mixed precip totals all the way up into western SNE. I think models may continue to become increasingly ominous on this, they always miss these events it seems or do not forecast them well beyond 2-3 days. I posted on the NYC forum this reminds me of the event where PHL got hit with the 6 or 8 inches in a few hours either last year or in 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2014 Author Share Posted December 1, 2014 I think betwen PHL and BWI may be the best corridor to be in for this event since these overrunning events often are best right near the base of the high pressure system but I think we could see surprising snow or mixed precip totals all the way up into western SNE. I think models may continue to become increasingly ominous on this, they always miss these events it seems or do not forecast them well beyond 2-3 days. I posted on the NYC forum this reminds me of the event where PHL got hit with the 6 or 8 inches in a few hours either last year or in 2012RGEM seems to be trending that way for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Looks like snow breaks out late tomorrow afternoon in CT.. Good luck getting that warm sector north lol. Those 50's we saw forecast have now become 40's..soon to become 30's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 C-2" is my call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 C-2" is my call 1-3 from south to north..3 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Looks like snow breaks out late tomorrow afternoon in CT.. Good luck getting that warm sector north lol. Those 50's we saw forecast have now become 40's..soon to become 30's You will easily been in 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 You will easily been in 40s. Unlikely until maybe very late in day when winds go west. mesolow off NJ will not allow warmth to get that far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Unlikely until maybe very late in day when winds go west. mesolow off NJ will not allow warmth to get that far Regardless, you'll be in the 40s and not for just 10 min either. This is not a setup where you stay in the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Regardless, you'll be in the 40s and not for just 10 min either. This is not a setup where you stay in the 30s. post-frontal DSD lasts like 12-15 hours on this one...it's always uglier when the winds go SW behind the front, lol. Euro looked good for 1-2" though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 post-frontal DSD lasts like 12-15 hours on this one...it's always uglier when the winds go SW behind the front, lol. Euro looked good for 1-2" though. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 1-2 for most of the interior. Trace or coating closer to the shore. Spot 3 north of the Pike and west of Worcester. Cold air will hold longest in the CT Valley, paticularly north of the PIke where temps may stay in the MU 30's most of the day and light icing is possible for the morning commute down to about the CT line in the valley or slightly south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 It does look like a little snow to ice Tuesday Night. Should be fun coming home from work at 10. Might be the last event for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 It does look like a little snow to ice Tuesday Night. Should be fun coming home from work at 10. Might be the last event for awhile. You're not seeing any potential in the 6-10 day and with the potential storm next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 You're not seeing any potential in the 6-10 day and with the potential storm next weekend? Well I said "might be." Next weekend doesn't intrigue me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 This event doesn't intrigue me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 This event doesn't intrigue me. Meh, followed by more meh for most of SNE. Them there hills in MA/NH/VT/ME should watch for a mixed bag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 This event doesn't intrigue me. You'll easily get an inch there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 You'll easily get an inch thereEven if that were true, it would be gone before the rain stopped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Even if that were true, it would be gone before the rain stopped. 2 days ago you were only expecting rain. Now it's trended colder and snowier. That's a win in anyones book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 2 days ago you were only expecting rain. Now it's trended colder and snowier. That's a win in anyones bookI wasn't really following this closely. I was more interested in the end of week potential but only because it still had thread the needle potential. It isn't looking very promising either but still has some time before writing off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Looks like Maine does the best with this storm based off the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Noyes takes a stab Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z suite so far trending this into a NNE event with potential for a few inches up there, really the only outlier that still brings decent(more than 1") snows to SNE is the EURO, which is comparing an 0z model compared to the 12z suite, always a dangerous proposition. Would think the EURO goes towards the other guidance in a little while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 12z RGGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Wow that's like.4-.5 qpf as snow in the RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Hit that ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2014 Share Posted December 1, 2014 Wow that's like.4-.5 qpf as snow in the RGEM? Looks like .40, Yes it was all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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