weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Yeah it's not SNE. But it's peaceful and beaufitul and I've never been there with snow so I'm hoping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Geez, I guess I'm garbage than, no one should listen to my posts, because they have garbage info in them. Whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Now you know that those statements won't matter IF it snows. Just trying to educate you.Mean teacher mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 DAMMIT! I got Bob mixed up with that guy who posts in the MA forum. I was wondering why he was posting so much here....I'm a moron... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 First of all let's get one thing straight. Baroclinic zone is NOT the Gulf Stream guy-that guy is jamesnichols. BZ is a highly respected poster-a met I believe. Gotta love the nod to colder today...... And when the cold backed off this week, somone forget to tell it that it would bust. Most areas were 20s or lower this morning. that was not modeled. I like white ground for a spell this weekend for many. I like a cold driving rainstorm possible as I drive to NJ Wednesday but if there's a hint that it will break colder I may head out Tuesday night. Princeton is a decent snow location actually. Its Taunton Bob, not our bud who is now a met in AK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 ya, this was replied to ....Bob the Met Princeton, NJ a decent snow location.....for a mid atlantic weenie maybe Bob the met?Bob is bob easttauntonbob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 DAMMIT! I got Bob mixed up with that guy who posts in the MA forum. I was wondering why he was posting so much here....I'm a moron... LOl I was fooled yesterday, name is too similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Geez, I guess I'm garbage than, no one should listen to my posts, because they have garbage info in them. Whatever. Stay calm...grow a set. You're fine to keep posting. Loving snow is all that is required. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Stay calm...grow a set. You're fine to keep posting. Loving snow is all that is required. baroclinic_instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 You know, I don't only post about the Gulf Stream, the Gulf Stream is not the only thing that sparks a storm. I'm sure everyone in this forum knows that, so I won't post anything that people already know. However the 18z NAM looks to be further north with the clipper for Sunday, even though its at hour 60. Still a lot of time for changes to occur on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 You are thinking of Baroclinic Instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2013 Author Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro ensembles do have the inverted trough and QPF for eastern areas. But again, its way too far out to really worry about a feature like that. I do think lots of snow showers/flurries will be around assuming the larger scale shortwave is modeled close to correct. But even that will require a bit more meso-aspects as we get closer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Hurty hurt, Going to be a long long winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Lol, tube tops and wife beater T's in your closet this year? Normally I'm almost as pessimistic as Coastalwx but this has looked favorable for a return to wintry weather for some time. It may not work out but we're cold and we're not playing hacky sack on Kevin's over fertilized lawn in December this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Hurty hurt, Going to be a long long winter http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6XdUdu89yc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Bob the met? Bob is bob easttauntonbob Lol i know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro ensembles do have the inverted trough and QPF for eastern areas. But again, its way too far out to really worry about a feature like that. I do think lots of snow showers/flurries will be around assuming the larger scale shortwave is modeled close to correct. But even that will require a bit more meso-aspects as we get closer too. Good news, flurries in the air, some weenie radar watching and football in the tube. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro ensembles do have the inverted trough and QPF for eastern areas. But again, its way too far out to really worry about a feature like that. I do think lots of snow showers/flurries will be around assuming the larger scale shortwave is modeled close to correct. But even that will require a bit more meso-aspects as we get closer too. What do they show for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 First of all let's get one thing straight. Baroclinic zone is NOT the Gulf Stream guy-that guy is jamesnichols. BZ is a highly respected poster-a met I believe. Gotta love the nod to colder today...... And when the cold backed off this week, somone forget to tell it that it would bust. Most areas were 20s or lower this morning. that was not modeled. I like white ground for a spell this weekend for many. I like a cold driving rainstorm possible as I drive to NJ Wednesday but if there's a hint that it will break colder I may head out Tuesday night. Princeton is a decent snow location actually. I may not be a MET but I did stay at a Holiday Inn last night. Things are looking wintry from late Sat into at least mid week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Normally I'm almost as pessimistic as Coastalwx but this has looked favorable for a return to wintry weather for some time. It may not work out but we're cold and we're not playing hacky sack on Kevin's over fertilized lawn in December this year. Yes has had the feel. Like a 2002 type start it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Yes has had the feel. Like a 2002 type start it seemsminus all the coastal storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tornadomachine Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 What do they show for next week? Pick your poison. GFS has a storm form in the gulf and stay too far offshore, but the Euro speeds it up, keeping the cold to around 495 and then down into central CT. Total weenie land, but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 What do they show for next week? At quick glance the trough looks more amplified and it's juicier than 00z. The mean sfc low is a bit strung out along the coast like some other guidance today. 00z had a handful of torchy cutters and I'm sure this run will too. I'm not sure there's much else to say at this point considering it's a week out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 18z NAM is oodles more amped than the 12z for Phil's private snowstorm. I like where this is headed I think. Loosening up now, fully prepared to be rolling a new snowman come Monday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 minus all the coastal storms build it and they will come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 The first winter event of 2002 was Nov 16th, the first snowstorm Nov 27th, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2013 Author Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro with betetr cold air dumpage in the long range...northern tier looks pretty good. A bit of a relaxation perhaps near Dec 1-2 and then it presses the cold south. Good to see it really filling up Canada again too. The ongoing evolution continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2013 Author Share Posted November 20, 2013 The first winter event of 2002 was Nov 16th, the first snowstorm Nov 27th, There was actually a snow event in interior MA and S NH on 10/23/02...ORH had 3.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro with betetr cold air dumpage in the long range...northern tier looks pretty good. A bit of a relaxation perhaps near Dec 1-2 and then it presses the cold south. Good to see it really filling up Canada again too. The ongoing evolution continues. That -14 to -18 on Ens south to north on the 24/25th is just incredible for this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Best look on 11/20 in years. Can't ask for more IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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