dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 SOME RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AS YET ANOTHER SHORT WAVE DIGS INTO THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO OUR WEST. THIS PIECE OF ENERGY WILL SHARPEN THE TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES...WHICH WILL BEGIN TO TAKE ON A NEGATIVE TILT WITH TIME. THE 00Z GFS TRIGGERS THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN EAST COAST LOW ON WEDNESDAY OVER THE MID ATLANTIC REGION...BEFORE RAPIDLY BRINGING THE "BOMBING" SYSTEM UP THE COAST. THIS SCENARIO EVENTUALLY BRINGS A 986 MB STORM THROUGH THE GULF OF MAINE..WITH SNOW OVER THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS...AND A COLD RAIN ELSEWHERE. THIS FEATURE IS STILL A WEEK AWAY AND THERE IS PLENTY OF MODEL DISCONTINUITY AT THIS TIME. WILL MONITOR HOWEVER...AS IT WOULD BE THE FIRST WIDESPREAD SNOW OF THE SEASON. IN ANY CASE...IT APPEARS THE FLOOD GATES WILL BE OPEN TO MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES...WITH WIDESPREAD KILLING FROSTS TO REACH THE COASTLINE. shaking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 The Euro (from the limited view I have) looks a bit more robust than the GFS for any upslope potential as of now. We shall see how this plays out but definitely it looks interesting for the 24th time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 The Euro (from the limited view I have) looks a bit more robust than the GFS for any upslope potential as of now. We shall see how this plays out but definitely it looks interesting for the 24th time frame. Yes, Euro keeps the primary well to the west, Looks like the LES machine may get going as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 17, 2013 Share Posted October 17, 2013 Absolute peak in my area today. Just beautiful. Picture from this mornings webcam. This is the actual picture with no digital enhancements! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Take that freezing rain event on the summits a few weeks ago...it was 29F and freezing rain, BUT not because there was warm air aloft. It was because the lift was occurring so low in the atmosphere that there wasn't any ice crystal formation to start a snowflake. Some trees up there had up to a half inch glaze even with a fully below freezing sounding. I like to see -3C to -6C at H85 to even think about snow in a low level upslope scenario this time of year and preferably it would be like -8C or something. when did that freezing rain event happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 when did that freezing rain event happen? I'm pretty sure it was Sept 23rd. Mansfield COOP reported a trace of snow but it was all freezing rain as far as I saw and was up there all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 The Euro (from the limited view I have) looks a bit more robust than the GFS for any upslope potential as of now. We shall see how this plays out but definitely it looks interesting for the 24th time frame. Certainly both seem to suggest upper elevation orographic snowfall next week. Hard to get good "upslope" accums this time of year. I much prefer synoptic wet snow...but snow is snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Absolute peak in my area today. Just beautiful. Picture from this mornings webcam. This is the actual picture with no digital enhancements! beautiful picture. looks like your grass grew in nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 beautiful picture. looks like your grass grew in nicely. Here's a picture of our lawn a year ago just after we moved our house. This summer was landscaping, landscaping, landscaping. Just a bit more to do next spring as you can see the dirt pile in the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 Absolute peak in my area today. Just beautiful. Picture from this mornings webcam. This is the actual picture with no digital enhancements!fantastic Gene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2013 Share Posted October 18, 2013 0.25" qpf overnight here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 19, 2013 Author Share Posted October 19, 2013 Not a surprise at this time of year, but nice to see accumulating snow (1" or less tonight) in MWN's forecast along with several snow panels in the p&c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Looks like we're nearing the end of the torch mins for awhile. We should get a nice stretch of U40s/U20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Looks like we're nearing the end of the torch mins for awhile. We should get a nice stretch of U40s/U20s. Invading the NNE thread--tickling 50* here now---methinks the progged upper 50's might be a bit ambitious. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 When snow starts showing up in the p&c, You know we're heading in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 Invading the NNE thread--tickling 50* here now---methinks the progged upper 50's might be a bit ambitious. We'll see. It's 57 now...seems like a good forecast to me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 It's 57 now...seems like a good forecast to me! 54.0/31 here. BOX issued a revised ZFP for mid-60's. Not sure if a revised counts as a forecast win..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 20, 2013 Share Posted October 20, 2013 High of 55 today here...feels downright cold haha. Upper mountain didn't get out of the 30s today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 High of 55 today here...feels downright cold haha. Upper mountain didn't get out of the 30s today. went up to poke around. Almost got blown off the forehead. Hands froze. Felt awesome. Looking ahead to this week it seems less likely the nor greens will pick up any substantial snowfall. Dusting maybe when the front clears tuesday and some flakes are possible again thurs. But nothing looks quite right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 Mount Washington is a truly magical place ... NNE's version of Mount Tolland. To wit, today under sunny skies they are forecasting the possibility of tropical storm conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Mount Washington is a truly magical place ... NNE's version of Mount Tolland. To wit, today under sunny skies they are forecasting the possibility of tropical storm conditions. tropicalstormMWN.jpg Haha that's awesome. Won't find many more spots in the US who have a forecast of like 4 days of Tropical Storm conditions. I wonder why it phrases it like that...Oceanstate must know. Out west I look at the mountain forecasts a lot and the point forecasts can have similar or higher wind and won't say tropical storm...just an east coast thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 Haha that's awesome. Won't find many more spots in the US who have a forecast of like 4 days of Tropical Storm conditions. I wonder why it phrases it like that...Oceanstate must know. Out west I look at the mountain forecasts a lot and the point forecasts can have similar or higher wind and won't say tropical storm...just an east coast thing? Yeah, I've seen this before on a number of occasions. It would be interesting to understand what parameters trigger this, though on a chilly sunny day with average winds I can't imagine what that might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 I'm guessing they're still in "tropical/warm season mode" or something in the P&C. A certain sustained wind speed gets met and the TC/Cane forecasts get triggered. There's probably an algorithm that doesn't allow it to be mentioned with wintry precip which would explain why it comes and goes all week. I know I've seen MWN forecasts before with high winds, but no tropical graphics...just "very windy". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Mount Washington is a truly magical place ... NNE's version of Mount Tolland. To wit, today under sunny skies they are forecasting the possibility of tropical storm conditions. tropicalstormMWN.jpg Thanks for posting that image, need to get rid of that tropical wording. The P&C formatter strikes again. Basically that wording shows up if the tropical wind probability grid exists. It doesn't care what the probability is (in this case 0%), just that the grid is there. So in a few minutes this will change from tropical storm conditions possible to damaging winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 only down to 41F this morning. After fertilizing the lawn 2 weeks ago, our lawn is still growing nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 There were some cool lenticular clouds over the Greens today. I love those and would love to shoot them at sunset sometime if the setup occurs. It must be quite windy on the peaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 There were some cool lenticular clouds over the Greens today. I love those and would love to shoot them at sunset sometime if the setup occurs. It must be quite windy on the peaks. Yeah I saw those as well as I was leaving town. Heading south to ALB and saw some decent foliage still in the CPV south of BTV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Long time no talk, guys! Hoping for some flakes above 1.5-2k sometime within the next week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Long time no talk, guys! Hoping for some flakes above 1.5-2k sometime within the next week! I was just wondering the other day if you were still around in the area. I got used to you doing our local snow forecasts last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 I was just wondering the other day if you were still around in the area. I got used to you doing our local snow forecasts last year. I'm a senior this year, so I'm still around for this year! I've been busy with internships and job applications and whatnot, so my time on here has been limited. During the winter and during snowstorms I will be here all the time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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