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NNE Heart of Winter


Allenson

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Final Snowfall will be 7.2" at 1,500ft, and judging by what happened at the base and adding the same difference to what I cleared at the summit yesterday, a little over 9" at 3,000ft. Good old 7-9 spread.

61" in 9 days.

Been a GOOD 9 days. 61 not including the insane wind transport that happened last saturday night/sunday am. I swear 2 new feet of snow was deposited along the upper reaches of manny that night as it all blew from the west facing slopes over the ridgeline.

Looking like we'll see some warm front snows tonight as that front pushes through between 1 and 5 am. Then we sorta go warm/misty/dryslot. Strong south, southwest winds with not a ton of moisture till the cold front pushes through sat. night.

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Hey I got myself one of them thar Winter Weather advisory thingys fo tonight.

http://forecast.weat...eather+Advisory

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...CENTRAL AND EASTERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW...MIXING WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION 1 TO 3 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MIXING WITH OR CHANGING TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES THROUGH NOON ON SATURDAY.
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Like.................

StormTotalSnowFcst.png

Lots better than what we saw a day or three ago. However, I find that tongue of 4-6" with lesser amounts N & S a bit odd for this system. The GYX snow tool shows the same thing, with all the difference coming 7A-1P tomorrow. LEW/AUG are progged for nearly 4" during those 6 hr while Farmington/Skowhegan and points north get half that, and PWM/CON have zero, as they've gone over to something other than snow. Not saying it can't happen, just that it looks strange.

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Lots better than what we saw a day or three ago. However, I find that tongue of 4-6" with lesser amounts N & S a bit odd for this system. The GYX snow tool shows the same thing, with all the difference coming 7A-1P tomorrow. LEW/AUG are progged for nearly 4" during those 6 hr while Farmington/Skowhegan and points north get half that, and PWM/CON have zero, as they've gone over to something other than snow. Not saying it can't happen, just that it looks strange.

You have a link? Sref 09z mean had 3.08" here

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I get a forbidden message

So do I, when I type it in, but it works when I use my favorites list. Maybe when I got it from Eastern, it came with the proper permission slip?

Edit: Tried navigating from the GYX site, and found only the map, not the 6-hr incremental forecasts. Also noted that all zones from LEW/AUG up thru foothills and mts are forecast for 3-5". Only SW Maine and S NH are in the 2-4" range.

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So do I, when I type it in, but it works when I use my favorites list. Maybe when I got it from Eastern, it came with the proper permission slip?

Edit: Tried navigating from the GYX site, and found only the map, not the 6-hr incremental forecasts. Also noted that all zones from LEW/AUG up thru foothills and mts are forecast for 3-5". Only SW Maine and S NH are in the 2-4" range.

Yeah, I had read all the zone forecast

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Total snowfall from this past storm:

http://forecast.weat...NS&issuedby=BTV

418387_280592112012697_161924887212754_728094_244425931_n.jpg

NEW YORK

...CLINTON COUNTY...

4 ESE PERU 5.6 600 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

ELLENBURG DEPOT 5.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

PLATTSBURGH 3.5 300 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

...ESSEX COUNTY...

ELIZABETHTOWN 6.0 1115 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

3 W NEWCOMB 5.6 800 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 N LAKE PLACID 2.9 710 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...

1 SW MALONE 2.5 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

TUPPER LAKE 1.5 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY...

4 NE OGDENSBURG 4.0 800 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

3 NW GOUVERNEUR 3.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

VERMONT

...ADDISON COUNTY...

GRANVILLE 10.0 900 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

1 WNW ORWELL 4.2 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

RIPTON 4.0 206 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

CORNWALL 3.0 443 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

1 NE VERGENNES 2.6 800 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 SE LINCOLN 2.3 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

SOUTH LINCOLN 0.5 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...CALEDONIA COUNTY...

2 SW SUTTON 7.1 1000 PM 3/01 CO-OP OBSERVER

4 N WALDEN 7.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 E DANVILLE 6.9 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

ENE HARDWICK 5.5 500 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

3 NNW SHEFFIELD 5.1 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

1 W LYNDONVILLE 5.0 830 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER

ST JOHNSBURY 4.3 400 PM 3/01 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 NE SUTTON 3.8 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...CHITTENDEN COUNTY...

2 SE SOUTH BURLINGTO 4.0 559 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE

JONESVILLE 3.0 513 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE

3 SE SOUTH BURLINGTO 2.5 614 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

1 ESE NASHVILLE 2.3 613 PM 3/01 NWS EMPLOYEE

4 NNE UNDERHILL 0.6 830 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

...ESSEX COUNTY...

1 ENE AVERILL 6.1 800 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 N ISLAND POND 5.9 930 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

GILMAN 3.0 500 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...

8 NNW FAIRFAX 4.0 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

SWANTON 3.4 545 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

...GRAND ISLE COUNTY...

5 SSE ALBURGH 3.5 900 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

ALBURGH 3.0 830 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

...LAMOILLE COUNTY...

5 N JEFFERSONVILLE 7.6 815 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 SSE SMUGGLERS NOTC 7.2 700 AM 3/02 PUBLIC

SW STOWE 6.3 730 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

2 S EDEN 6.0 925 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

STOWE 5.7 340 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

MOUNT MANSFIELD 5.0 400 PM 3/01 CO-OP OBSERVER

...ORANGE COUNTY...

CORINTH 7.0 650 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 NW CHELSEA 6.5 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

RANDOLPH CENTER 6.5 1030 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

1 NE SOUTH NEWBURY 3.0 215 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

UNION VILLAGE DAM 3.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

WEST TOPSHAM 3.0 330 AM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER

STRAFFORD 2.5 840 AM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER

2 S NEWBURY 1.5 842 AM 3/01 PUBLIC

3 ESE BROOKFIELD 1.2 630 AM 3/01 COCORAHS

...ORLEANS COUNTY...

2 NNE GREENSBORO 5.6 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

3 ENE BARTON 5.3 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

2 NNW GREENSBORO 5.1 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

JAY PEAK 5.0 600 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 WNW WESTFIELD 4.0 730 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

2 NW DERBY CENTER 3.6 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

NEWPORT 3.5 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 SW IRASBURG 3.0 800 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...RUTLAND COUNTY...

WALLINGFORD 4.0 955 AM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER

DANBY FOUR CORNERS 2.0 955 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 N WEST RUTLAND 1.5 815 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

1 N RUTLAND 1.2 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...

1 SSW SOUTH WOODBURY 7.0 725 AM 3/02 TRAINED SPOTTER

3 SSE WARREN 7.0 445 AM 3/01 COCORAHS

2 N NORTHFIELD 7.0 600 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

4 ENE CABOT 6.5 900 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

3 NE WATERBURY 6.5 630 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

2 W WORCESTER 6.3 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 N NORTHFIELD 6.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

MARSHFIELD 6.0 610 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

3 ENE MIDDLESEX 5.8 730 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

2 SW EAST CALAIS 5.1 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

3 NW WATERBURY 4.8 600 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

5 SW MARSHFIELD 4.8 545 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

WATERBURY CENTER 4.5 550 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

5 NNE WATERBURY 4.2 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

PLAINFIELD 3.4 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

2 SW MONTPELIER 3.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

...WINDSOR COUNTY...

3 S LUDLOW 13.8 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

1 WSW LUDLOW 13.7 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

LUDLOW 12.5 242 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

3 SSW NORTH SPRINGFI 12.0 1102 AM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER

N SPRINGFIELD RES 11.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

CHESTER 11.0 700 AM 3/01 BROADCAST MEDIA

2 W SPRINGFIELD 9.0 812 AM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER

3 N POMFRET 8.5 700 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

CAVENDISH 7.9 730 AM 3/01 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 S ROCHESTER 7.0 643 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

WOODSTOCK 6.0 800 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

4 N BETHEL 5.7 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

N HARTLAND RES 3.5 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

$$

MUCCILLI

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Total snowfall from this past storm:

...LAMOILLE COUNTY...

5 N JEFFERSONVILLE 7.6 815 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

1 SSE SMUGGLERS NOTC 7.2 700 AM 3/02 PUBLIC

SW STOWE 6.3 730 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

2 S EDEN 6.0 925 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER

STOWE 5.7 340 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

MOUNT MANSFIELD 5.0 400 PM 3/01 CO-OP OBSERVER

Nice map, BTV. Shows the easterly flow downsloping quite well on the western side of the Spine.

What I do consistently love is the Mount Mansfield co-op snowfall numbers, lol. Always nice when 4,000ft apparently records the lowest snowfall total in the county. Given that it snowed all day and pretty much stopped snowing right at their observation time, I would've thought they'd have a pretty good sample of snowfall. Evidently it doesn't matter when it snows. Also of note is the 0.66" of precipitation the Co-Op reported, yet only 5" of snow. Given the fluff factor of this stuff (see every other Co-Op and CoCoRAHS observation), one might find the 8:1 ratio interesting.

For the record, ended up with 8.8" (8.75) at 3,000ft. That would jive a bit better when the lower elevations around Mansfield getting in the 6-7.5" range.

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Hopefully model guidance backs off on the warmth at least to a degree, and we can salvage at least some winter before it comes screeching to a halt. Hope that helped!

Yes, thanks very much. I figured you would be up on the coming pattern, so that info is helpful.

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Event totals: 4.8” Snow/0.34” L.E.

It was a busy day today, and although I got my 24-hour precipitation report in to CoCoRaHS, I didn’t get a chance to send in my final storm report to the forum, so I’ve got that below; a final 0.3” fell here after 6:00 P.M. yesterday evening to finish things off at 4.8” for the event.

Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

New Snow: 0.3 inches

New Liquid: Trace

Temperature: 25.3 F

Sky: Cloudy

Snow at the stake: 14.0 inches

Below I’ve added the north to south listing of final storm totals from the Vermont ski areas:

Jay Peak: 9”

Burke: 10”

Smuggler’s Notch: 10”

Stowe: 9”

Bolton Valley: 10”

Mad River Glen: 6”

Sugarbush: 9”

Pico: 9”

Killington: 9”

Okemo: 14”

Bromley: 14”

Magic Mountain: 18”

Stratton: 15”

Mount Snow: 19”

We went to Stowe today for turns, and boy, after in excess of five feet of snow in the past week or so, the conditions are stupendous, just like one would expect for prime season. The snow from this last event wasn’t quite the 2-4% H2O fluff that we picked up during the previous storm cycle last weekend, but it was decent medium-weight powder in the 7-8% H2O range based on my analyses here at the house, and it skied beautifully. The snowpack depth at the Mt. Mansfield Stake is at 81” as of this evening’s measurement, with what looks like roughly 2/3 of an inch of additional liquid going into the snowpack from the storm. Of course, I’m never sure of their liquid measurement if they aren’t actually capable of catching the snow that falls. I added a couple of pictures from today below:

02MAR12A.jpg

02MAR12B.jpg

The next storm is already on our doorstep (flakes were flying here as of ~10:15 P.M. or so), and as klw mentioned above, Winter Weather Advisories are up for most of the state:

02MAR12C.jpg

Our point forecast indicates the potential for a couple inches of new snow here, and I was pleasantly surprised to see that the point forecast for Mt. Mansfield has the temperature barely going above freezing tomorrow.

On a seasonal note, I was looking through my data and noticed that thanks to the boost of the past week or so, this season’s snowfall is rapidly approaching what was obtained at this location in the entire season of 2009-2010 (127.7”). That was a season of storms tracking way too far south, and I’d forgotten just how poor it was in terms of snowfall. I just checked the seasonal averages in my records, and the mean snowfall from here on out is just shy of 40”, so with the current 2011-2012 snowfall at 105.4”, even a below average March and April could see this season surpass 2009-2010 for snowfall. With the way much of this season went, I would consider it quite an impressive recovery if this season avoided being the least snowy of the past six.

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Nittany, thanks for taking up the reins in terms of getting people to send in their snowfall numbers to the NWS, but I figured I’d just echo the comments of some of the other guys and say that in my case, the 24-hour snowfall, liquid equivalent, and snowpack data from this location go in to CoCoRaHS every day at 6:00 A.M., and the NWS has access to those numbers and already uses them in their storm summaries. This location is 3 NW Waterbury:

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...

3 NW WATERBURY 4.8 600 AM 3/02 COCORAHS

…and that’s my 4.8-inch storm report there on the NWS map on the Chittenden County/Washington County line near the border of Waterbury and Bolton:

02MAR12D.jpg

Anyway, I’m always up for getting in as many numbers as possible, but I’ve not wanted to double report to the NWS system and cause any sort of confusion. Thanks for posting the snowfall map and text though, I think most of the folks that frequent the forum enjoy seeing the numbers posted and archived here.

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Event totals: 0.6” Snow/0.16” L.E.

I saw that snow started up last night around 10:15 P.M. or so, and did hear some ticks of sleet, so presumably that was in the stack this morning adding to the very high density of the snow. The north to south list of snow totals from the Vermont ski areas is below for those resorts that have reported in; it looks like overnight snowfall for this event was generally in the 1-3” range:

Jay Peak: 1”

Burke: 3”

Stowe: 1”

Bolton Valley: 1”

Mad River Glen: T”

Sugarbush: ½”

Pico: 3”

Killington: 3”

Mount Snow: 2”

Some details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below:

New Snow: 0.6 inches

New Liquid: 0.16 inches

Snow/Water Ratio: 3.8

Snow Density: 26.7% H2O

Temperature: 33.1 F

Sky: Flurries (1-2 mm flakes)

Snow at the stake: 13.0 inches

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2.6" new here and man, it must've come in pretty fast. The wife and I went out last night for some grub and some music. We were driving home probably around 11:30 and there were a few flakes visible in the headlights but not much.

Woke up this morning, six hours later, to a fresh blanket of snow. Fairly hefty stuff too--0.28" liquid equivelent.

20" at the stake.

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Dz and 33 at the moment. We had 1.8" coming 2-8 AM and 0.23" LE, bringing the depth up to 19", same as it was at the end of the 3/1 storm. Unless the midrange forecast changes bigtime, I don't see our snowpack ever getting deeper than right now, so it's apple pruning day. I'll still need the stepladder next month to get the tops, as a solid 3' would be needed under the snowshoes. Season total now 61", about 90% of my avg thru 3/3.

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I think we had about 2 inches here in Peacham but there was a tremendous amount of drifting with the South wind. I drove over to Burlington the afternoon and as soon as I hit Brandon I said out loud "Wait where did winter go?" as there was mostly just bare ground over there even after this week, It looks very wintry here in Peacham- at last. We did not lose much snow today as I don't think we torched nearly as badly as BTV did,

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